Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. current report, Q2 FY2014

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing by Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. was submitted on April 23, 2014, presenting unaudited consolidated results for the full year ended December 31, 2013. The financial data is prepared under Colombian Banking GAAP, which differs from U.S. GAAP and standard Colombian GAAP for non-financial entities. Grupo Aval operates as a holding company for a group of banks and financial institutions in Colombia and Central America, including Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, and Banco Popular. The company is not regulated as a financial institution itself but its subsidiaries are supervised by the Superintendency of Finance.

Key Financial Metrics (2013 Full Year)

  • Net Income: Ps. 1.6 trillion (Colombian Pesos), representing a 5% increase over 2012.
  • Net Interest Margin (NIM): Closed the year at 6.2%.
  • Return on Average Assets (ROAA): 1.9%.
  • Return on Average Equity (ROAE): 17.3% (calculated excluding Ps. 2,114.5 billion in capital raised in December 2013).
  • Total Assets: Increased by 20.9% year-over-year (yoy).
  • Gross Loans: Grew by 20.6% yoy.
  • Deposits: Grew by 24.2% yoy; checking accounts now represent 25% of total deposits.
  • Asset Quality: Past due loans finished the year at 2.4%.
  • Attributable Equity: Grew by 29.1% yoy.
  • Efficiency Ratio: Operating expenses to operating income averaged 48.8% over the 2009-2013 period.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Acquisitions: The company closed acquisitions of Grupo Financiero Reformador and BBVA Panamá in Central America. These added Ps. 6.7 trillion in assets and Ps. 6.0 trillion in liabilities to the balance sheet. While these significantly boosted asset and loan growth figures, they had no impact on the 2013 income statement.
  • Capital Raise: Between December 2013 and January 2014, Grupo Aval raised Ps. 2.4 trillion (USD 1.2 billion) via ordinary share issuance at Ps. 1,300 per share. Proceeds were used to prepay approximately USD 700 million in peso-denominated obligations and replenish liquidity for Banco de Bogotá.
  • Mergers: Porvenir successfully merged its operations with AFP Horizonte.
  • Excluding Acquisitions: Organic asset growth was 15.6% and organic loan growth was 14.7% compared to 2012.

Outlook, Risks, and Commentary

Management Commentary: Management highlighted "solid financial results" driven by strong balance sheet growth and improved profitability metrics. The capital raise in late 2013/early 2014 was strategic, aimed at deleveraging and strengthening liquidity.

Macroeconomic Context: The filing notes a significant reduction in Colombia's country risk premium and a boost in credit ratings to investment grade by S&P, Moody's, and Fitch between 2011 and 2013. The Colombian financial system showed strong CAGR in loans (16.3%) and deposits (15.0%) from 2007 to 2013.

Risks and Contingencies: The filing explicitly states that Grupo Aval is not a regulated financial institution and is not subject to capital adequacy regulations applicable to banks, though its subsidiaries are. Financial statements are unaudited for the 2013 period and will be audited in the subsequent Form 20-F filing. Differences between Colombian Banking GAAP and U.S. GAAP are noted as significant.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the reconciliation of Net Income and Shareholders' Equity between Colombian Banking GAAP and U.S. GAAP in the upcoming audited Form 20-F.
  • Confirm the integration progress and financial impact of the Central American acquisitions (Grupo Financiero Reformador and BBVA Panamá) in 2014 results.
  • Monitor the utilization of the Ps. 2.4 trillion capital raise and its effect on future ROAE calculations.
  • Review the specific breakdown of the 2.4% past due loans to assess credit risk exposure in the Colombian market.
  • Check for any updates on the regulatory status of the holding company versus its banking subsidiaries.