Black Stone Minerals, L.P. quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

Business context and reporting period

Black Stone Minerals, L.P. owns mineral and royalty interests and non-operated working interests across 41 states and 61 onshore basins. This unaudited Form 10-Q covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016; financial amounts below are in millions unless noted.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ2 2016Q2 2015Six months 2016Six months 2015
Total revenue$40.6$64.8$105.0$155.9
Operating loss$(19.5)$(121.2)$(7.9)$(101.0)
Net loss$(20.8)$(122.8)$(10.1)$(105.5)
Operating cash flowNot provided by quarterNot provided by quarter$83.5$144.1
Cash available for distribution to common/subordinated units and reinvestment$68.0$66.8$116.2$122.2

Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, was $74.0 million in Q2 2016 versus $71.3 million, and $129.8 million for the first half versus $132.2 million. These measures exclude items including impairments, unrealized derivative changes and equity compensation; they are not substitutes for GAAP results or operating cash flow.

First-half production increased 6.3% to 5.634 million Boe, while average realized price fell 28.6% to $19.26/Boe. Q2 production rose 7.4% to 2.873 million Boe; realized price declined 30.5% to $19.55/Boe. No conventional margin percentage is stated in the filing; the Partnership reported operating losses in both periods.

At June 30, cash was $9.8 million, current assets $78.9 million and current liabilities $43.5 million. Credit-facility borrowings were $285.0 million, with $165.0 million of available borrowing capacity under the $450.0 million borrowing base; weighted-average interest rate was 2.45%. The borrowing base had been reduced from $550.0 million in April, with the next redetermination scheduled for October 2016. The Partnership reported covenant compliance. First-half investing cash outflow was $172.9 million, including $136.3 million of acquisitions; financing cash inflow was $85.9 million. Cash declined $3.5 million from year-end.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue fell 37.4% in Q2 and 32.7% in the first half, principally from lower realized commodity prices and less favorable derivative results, partly offset by higher production and lease bonuses.
  • First-half oil and gas sales declined despite higher volumes. Lease bonus and other income increased to $16.5 million from $11.8 million.
  • Impairment expense dropped substantially: $0.7 million in Q2 and $6.8 million in the first half, versus $118.4 million and $131.8 million, respectively, in 2015. This largely explains why reported losses narrowed; it does not indicate a comparable improvement in commodity revenue.
  • Operating cash flow declined $60.5 million year over year, primarily reflecting lower cash collections from oil and gas sales and working-capital changes. Debt increased from $66.0 million at year-end 2015 to $285.0 million.

Outlook, management commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected 2016 drilling expenditures of $65–70 million, including $55–60 million in Haynesville/Bossier. A $15 million replacement-capital estimate was set for April 2016–March 2017. These are estimates, not earnings guidance.
  • Three disclosed 2016 acquisitions included Permian interests for $10.0 million, Colorado interests for $34.0 million, and a Freeport-McMoRan package for $87.9 million. The filing also refers to four acquisitions in its investing discussion, which includes a planned later closing and a prior-acquisition holdback.
  • Commodity prices remain volatile. The Partnership uses fixed-price swaps and reported substantial hedge coverage for available volumes: including post-quarter contracts, 99.2% of available oil hedge volumes and 98.5% of available natural-gas hedge volumes for the remainder of 2016; 43.7% and 98.4%, respectively, for 2017. Derivatives are not designated as accounting hedges, so fair-value changes affect reported earnings.
  • The board approved a Q2 distribution on August 8, payable August 25, of $0.2875 per common unit and $0.18375 per subordinated unit. The filing states distributions are not guaranteed and depend on cash availability, reserves and preferred-unit obligations.
  • Preferred units carried $54.0 million at June 30 and bear a 10% annual distribution; some were redeemed or converted during the first half. A compensation-plan change reclassified $10.1 million of cash-settled liabilities to equity-settled liabilities.
  • Key risks include commodity prices, production and operator activity, reserve replacement, acquisition execution, borrowing-base reductions, counterparty/receivable credit risk, and the ability to generate sufficient cash for distributions. Management reported no material change in previously disclosed risk factors, no material off-balance-sheet arrangements, and no pending litigation expected to have a material adverse effect. Disclosure controls were deemed effective.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether production growth and lease-bonus activity can offset low realized prices and derivative losses.
  2. The October 2016 borrowing-base outcome, remaining liquidity, covenant headroom and implications of higher debt.
  3. Acquisition close, integration and expected contribution to production and cash flow; reconcile the filing’s “four acquisitions” reference with the named transactions and cash uses.
  4. Distribution sustainability after replacement capital expenditures, preferred distributions and acquisition spending.
  5. Hedge volumes, contract pricing and counterparty exposure, including the effect of mark-to-market changes on reported earnings.