PEABODY ENERGY CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2012

Peabody Energy Corporation — Q1 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2012. Financial statements are unaudited. Peabody is a coal producer and trader operating primarily in the U.S. and Australia. Results include Macarthur Coal, acquired in late 2011, from the acquisition date.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ1 2012Q1 2011 or prior date
Total revenue$2,038.6 million$1,743.1 million; up 17.0%
Operating profit$350.2 million$314.3 million
Income from continuing operations, net of tax$182.3 million$194.6 million
Net income attributable to common stockholders$172.7 million; diluted EPS $0.63$176.5 million; diluted EPS $0.65
Adjusted EBITDA$512.6 million$435.3 million
Cash from operating activities$395.5 million$220.6 million
Cash and cash equivalents$952.4 million$799.1 million at December 31, 2011
Total debt$6,653.0 million$6,657.5 million at December 31, 2011
Available liquidity$2.4 billion—

Investing cash flow was an outflow of $203.1 million, including $235.3 million of additions to property, plant and equipment; financing cash flow was an outflow of $39.1 million. The declared dividend was $0.085 per share. Management reported compliance with debt covenants.

Changes and operating drivers

  • Revenue rose primarily on Macarthur contributions, higher Australian metallurgical and thermal coal prices, and higher U.S. realized prices. Australian Mining revenue increased 47.6% to $854.1 million; Western U.S. Mining revenue increased 8.1% to $761.0 million.
  • Total tons sold increased 0.8% to 61.7 million. Australian Mining sales rose 17.9% to 6.6 million tons; U.S. volumes softened amid mild weather, coal-to-gas switching and weak economic growth.
  • Total segment Adjusted EBITDA increased 21.9% to $641.0 million, while Corporate and Other Adjusted EBITDA deteriorated to negative $128.4 million from negative $90.4 million. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA was $512.6 million.
  • Despite stronger Adjusted EBITDA, continuing-operations net income fell $12.3 million. Interest expense doubled to $102.0 million and depreciation, depletion and amortization rose to $144.9 million, largely reflecting Macarthur acquisition-related debt and assets.
  • Net income was nearly flat year over year, partly because the discontinued-operations loss narrowed to $4.0 million from $15.9 million.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management reduced its 2012 U.S. sales-volume target to 185–195 million tons; those volumes were fully committed and priced as of the filing. It cited declining U.S. coal generation and expected coal-to-gas switching.
  • 2012 targets include approximately 14–15 million tons of metallurgical coal sales, 12–13 million tons of Australian thermal exports, and 33–36 million tons of total Australian production. Second-quarter metallurgical coal settlements were in line with $210 per tonne for high-quality hard coking coal and $152 per tonne for low-volatile PCI coal; much of the remaining 2012 metallurgical output was unpriced.
  • Macarthur was expected to contribute less than $100 million of EBITDA in 2012, reflecting overburden work at Coppabella and major repairs at Coppabella and Moorvale. Management expected this work to support better productivity and costs in 2013.
  • 2012 capital expenditures were forecast at $1.1–$1.3 billion, including $800–$950 million for growth projects. Management said liquidity and operating cash flow should meet anticipated capital needs over the next 12 months and foreseeable future.
  • Key risks include coal demand and price volatility, natural-gas competition, production/geology and transportation constraints, input-cost inflation, acquisition integration, foreign exchange, regulatory changes and environmental requirements. Australia’s minerals resource rent tax and carbon pricing framework were scheduled to take effect July 1, 2012; management estimated an initial average fugitive-emissions cost of about A$2 per ton, subject to operating mix and other factors.
  • Contingencies include a Gulf Power judgment of $20.5 million plus $6.9 million prejudgment interest, which Peabody appealed and for which it recorded no liability; and Australian Monto litigation seeking at least A$1,193.2 million, whose loss amount management said could not be reasonably estimated. Environmental cleanup liabilities were $48.9 million. Peabody had received $20.0 million of $52.6 million held by MF Global UK; the remaining claim was included in receivables, with no reserve estimable based on available information.
  • Off-balance-sheet instruments and obligations totaled $2.204 billion, including $931.5 million of self-bonding for reclamation. The filing states management did not expect material losses from guarantees and similar arrangements.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether U.S. demand weakness, coal-to-gas switching and lower planned volumes persist, and how contract adjustments affect realizations and costs.
  • Macarthur’s production recovery, repair and overburden costs, and progress toward the stated 2013 improvement expectations.
  • Actual 2012 capital spending, liquidity and debt service, including renewal of the receivables securitization program, which was due to extend to May 2012.
  • Realized Australian coal prices, currency effects, and the net costs or benefits of Australia’s new resource rent and carbon pricing measures.
  • Developments in the Gulf Power appeal, Monto claims, environmental matters and collection of the remaining MF Global UK funds.