CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL INC annual report, FY2015

Choice Hotels International, Inc. — 2015 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Year ended December 31, 2015. This is an annual filing, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing; quarterly figures below are unaudited.

Business context and operating performance

Choice is primarily a hotel franchisor, with a smaller SkyTouch hotel-technology business. At year-end, its system included 6,423 open hotels with 507,483 rooms, plus 720 hotels and 58,130 rooms in the development pipeline, across the U.S. and more than 35 countries and territories. Marketing and reservation fees are reported as revenue and an equal expense under the franchise agreements; they do not generate income for the Company.

  • Domestic franchise RevPAR rose 6.5% in 2015, reflecting a 3.7% increase in average daily rate and a 1.6 percentage-point increase in occupancy. Domestic rooms increased 0.4%; the effective royalty rate rose from 4.28% to 4.30%.
  • Domestic royalty revenue increased 7% to $281.3 million. International royalty revenue declined to $20.2 million from $24.5 million, principally due to unfavorable foreign currency movements.
  • Domestic hotels open increased 1.1% to 5,276; rooms under construction, awaiting conversion, or approved for development in the domestic system rose to 46,441 from 39,243.

Financial results and liquidity

Metric20152014Change
Total revenue$859.9 million$758.0 million+13.4%
Franchising revenue, excluding marketing/reservation and other specified non-franchise activities$366.7 million$344.8 million+6%
Operating income$225.3 million$214.6 million+5%
Income from continuing operations$128.0 million$121.5 million+5%
Net income$128.0 million$123.2 million+4%
Diluted EPS$2.22$2.10+6%
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$236.9 million$223.9 million+6%
Cash provided by operating activities$159.9 million$183.9 million−13%

Operating income increased as franchising revenue excluding marketing and reservation activities grew $25.8 million, partly offset by an $12.8 million increase in selling, general and administrative expense. Reported 2015 operating margin was approximately 26.2%; total revenue includes pass-through marketing and reservation amounts.

For the fourth quarter, revenue was $211.0 million versus $185.4 million; operating income was $47.2 million versus $46.3 million; continuing-operations net income was $29.2 million versus $25.3 million; and diluted EPS was $0.51 versus $0.43.

At December 31, cash and cash equivalents were $193.4 million, current assets $311.0 million, and current liabilities $208.0 million. Total debt was $814.1 million, including $156.0 million drawn on the new $450 million unsecured revolving facility. The Company reported a 3.05x total leverage ratio and compliance with its credit agreement covenants. Approximately $179.9 million of cash was held by foreign subsidiaries and management said it was intended to remain invested abroad. Shareholders’ deficit was $395.9 million.

Material changes, outlook, and risks

  • Operating cash flow declined mainly because net cash generated by marketing and reservation activities fell to $11.1 million from $70.2 million, alongside higher advances to franchisees. Investing cash use increased to $99.8 million, including $36.9 million of mezzanine and other loan advances and $23.7 million of equity-method investments.
  • Choice acquired Maxxton, a vacation-rental software provider, in August 2015. Cash paid net of cash acquired was $13.3 million; total consideration was $23.6 million, with additional performance-based compensation contingent on future targets and employment.
  • Management expected to continue dividends and repurchases, subject to Board discretion, business conditions, and credit-facility restrictions. The quarterly dividend was raised to $0.205 per share for 2016; estimated 2016 regular dividends were approximately $46.2 million. The Company expected to invest $250–$350 million over three to five years in brand-growth support, principally for Cambria. The filing provides no specific earnings or revenue guidance.
  • Key risks include lodging demand and room-rate downturns, hotel oversupply, franchisee financing and property-quality issues, competition and franchise termination, foreign currency and international exposure, interest rates and debt service, technology disruption and cybersecurity, and potential losses on loans, guarantees, real estate, and joint ventures. International royalties fell materially in 2015 despite modest room growth.
  • At year-end, Choice had $115.0 million of conditional commitments for franchisee financing and incentives, with $23.3 million expected to be advanced within 12 months; $43.5 million of additional conditional mezzanine-loan commitments; and $2.1 million of joint-venture commitments. Outstanding financial-support investments were approximately $128.7 million. The Company described performance under disclosed loan guarantees as remote.
  • A February 2016 change to Choice Privileges points-expiration rules was expected to increase the future redemption liability by approximately $21–$26 million. This is a subsequent event, not a 2015 year-end charge disclosed as already recorded.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile reported revenue growth with franchising revenue growth and the equal pass-through marketing and reservation revenue/expense, including deferred system-fee balances.
  • Assess the sustainability of domestic RevPAR and royalty-rate gains against international currency headwinds and the pace of franchise openings and terminations.
  • Review debt maturities, variable-rate exposure, covenant headroom, dividend limits, and the concentration of cash held in foreign subsidiaries.
  • Monitor the collection quality and returns on franchisee loans, forgivable notes, joint ventures, guarantees, and planned Cambria investments.
  • Track Maxxton’s performance and the loyalty-program liability increase arising from the revised points-expiration policy.