DANA Inc quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

Dana Holding Corporation — Q1 2016 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. Global supplier of driveline, sealing and thermal-management products, reporting the three months ended March 31, 2016, compared with Q1 2015. The filing identifies the registrant as Dana Holding Corporation.

Financial results and key metrics

MetricQ1 2016Q1 2015
Net sales$1.449 billion$1.608 billion
Gross margin$199 million; 13.7% of sales$228 million; 14.2% of sales
Income before taxes$72 million$104 million
Net income attributable to parent$45 million; diluted EPS $0.30$63 million; diluted EPS $0.38
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$148 million$176 million
Operating cash flow$(27) million$(20) million
Free cash flow (non-GAAP)$(98) million$(82) million

Cash and cash equivalents were $669 million at March 31, down from $791 million at year-end 2015; marketable securities were $164 million. Debt was $1.601 billion on the balance sheet, including current debt, before debt issuance costs. Reported global liquidity was $1.128 billion, including $304 million of revolver availability; $143 million of cash and securities held by a subsidiary had uncertain accessibility. No revolver borrowings were outstanding, and Dana reported compliance with debt covenants.

Changes versus prior period

  • Sales fell $159 million, or about 10%. Currency effects reduced sales by $72 million; organic sales also declined, reflecting weaker commercial-vehicle and off-highway demand and customer-specific reductions. Cost-recovery pricing actions reduced sales by a further $8 million.
  • Gross margin declined 0.5 percentage points. Management cited lower volumes and cost underabsorption, higher engineering and warranty costs, and pricing actions; material savings and the absence of prior-year supplier-transition costs partly offset these pressures.
  • Parent-attributable net income declined $18 million. Q1 2015 included a $5 million gain on derecognition of a Venezuelan subsidiary’s noncontrolling interest and a $2 million debt-extinguishment loss; other income was $1 million in Q1 2016 versus $12 million in Q1 2015.
  • Cash used in operations increased to $27 million from $20 million. Working capital consumed $128 million, mainly from increased receivables and inventory. Capital expenditures were $71 million versus $62 million.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • For full-year 2016, Dana forecast sales of $5.8–$6.0 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $640–$670 million, and free cash flow of $120–$140 million. These are non-GAAP measures where indicated. Expected capital spending was raised by $40 million to $320–$340 million to support future program launches.
  • Management anticipated $200–$300 million of year-over-year sales headwind from foreign exchange, with new business partly offsetting currency effects. It expected slight margin improvement, while describing end-market demand as mixed.
  • Market outlooks were uneven: North American light vehicles remained relatively strong, but Class 8 production was expected to decline and be near the low end of Dana’s forecast range. Dana lowered its South American outlook amid continued weakness; off-highway demand was expected to be flat to down 4% from 2015.
  • In April 2016, Dana approved closure of its Commercial Vehicle plant in Glasgow, Kentucky, expected to be completed by mid-2017. Estimated cash expenditures were $15–$20 million.
  • Brazil-based supplier SIFCO’s supply continuity remained uncertain amid its reorganization and prior noncompliance with supply obligations; Dana was relying on interim arrangements while pursuing alternatives. The filing also describes asbestos claims, environmental liabilities, a lease guarantee and other legal matters; management did not expect these contingencies to have a material adverse effect based on information then available.
  • Dana acquired Magnum Gaskets’ aftermarket distribution business in January for $18 million at closing, plus up to $2 million contingent consideration. The acquisition was not expected to materially affect reported results.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether sales, margins and cash generation recover as projected, given the Q1 decline and negative free cash flow.
  • Whether the full-year 2016 outlook remains achievable after higher planned capital spending and the stated currency and market headwinds.
  • How effectively Dana manages working capital, debt service and cash that may be restricted or difficult to repatriate.
  • Whether SIFCO supply arrangements remain reliable and whether the Glasgow closure or other restructuring results in additional costs.
  • How segment performance evolves, particularly Commercial Vehicle and Off-Highway, and whether new programs generate the expected future sales and returns.