Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q4 FY2015

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Dynagas LNG Partners LP
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Foreign Private Issuer)
Reporting Period: Nine months ended September 30, 2015 (Interim)
Business Overview: A growth-oriented limited partnership owning and operating high-specification liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers. As of November 13, 2015, the fleet consisted of five vessels with an average age of 5.9 years, employed on multi-year time charters with major energy companies (BG Group, Gazprom, Statoil).

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (Nine Months Ended Sept 30, 2015) Value (USD)
Voyage Revenues $108.2 million
Operating Income $66.0 million
Net Income $45.2 million
Adjusted EBITDA $84.7 million
Net Cash from Operating Activities $68.2 million
Total Debt (Outstanding) $560.0 million
Cash and Cash Equivalents $92.6 million
Available Liquidity $146.6 million (includes $30M Sponsor facility)
Earnings Per Common Unit (Basic/Diluted) $1.23
Fleet Utilization 99%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Voyage revenues increased 53.0% to $108.2 million from $70.7 million in the prior year period. This was driven by the full operation of two additional vessels (Arctic Aurora and Yenisei River) acquired in late 2014.
  • Profitability: Net income rose 28.3% to $45.2 million. Operating income increased 55.5% to $66.0 million.
  • Expense Increases:
    • Interest Costs: Increased 175.9% to $20.8 million due to higher weighted average indebtedness ($569.9M vs $272.2M) and a higher weighted average interest rate (4.5% vs 3.3%).
    • Depreciation: Increased 54.5% to $18.1 million due to fleet expansion and a revision in scrap rate estimates.
    • Management Fees: Increased 52.0% to $3.6 million due to additional vessel days and annual fee escalations.
  • Capital Structure: In July 2015, the Partnership issued 3,000,000 Series A Preferred Units, raising net proceeds of $72.3 million. Total debt decreased slightly from $575.0 million to $560.0 million due to scheduled principal repayments.

Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary

  • Capital Allocation: Proceeds from the Series A Preferred Units are intended to finance the acquisition of one Optional Vessel from the Sponsor. If the acquisition is not completed, funds will be used for general partnership purposes.
  • Contracted Backlog: As of November 13, 2015, the contracted revenue backlog was approximately $564.2 million with an average remaining duration of 4.3 years, providing stable cash flow visibility.
  • Distributions: The Board declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.4225 per common/subordinated unit for Q3 2015 and an initial distribution of $0.70 per Series A Preferred Unit.
  • Key Risks:
    • Fluctuations in LNG market trends and charter rates upon contract expiration.
    • Counterparty performance and ability of charterers to make payments.
    • Changes in operating expenses (bunker prices, insurance, drydocking).
    • Global economic slowdown and geopolitical disruptions affecting shipping routes.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Debt Covenants: Verify continued compliance with the $340M Credit Facility and $250M Notes covenants, specifically the minimum free liquidity requirement of $24.0 million.
  • Optional Vessel Acquisition: Confirm the status of the purchase option for the Optional Vessel, the deadline for which was extended to December 31, 2015.
  • Charter Expirations: Monitor the charter expiration dates for the Clean Energy (April 2017) and Ob River (September 2017) to assess re-chartering risks.
  • Preferred Unit Terms: Review the cumulative nature of Series A Preferred Unit distributions and the conditions under which holders gain voting rights (arrears for six or more quarters).
  • Scrap Rate Assumptions: Note the revision in scrap rate estimates which increased depreciation expense; monitor future adjustments to residual value assumptions.