EDENOR current report, Q4 FY2007

EDENOR Form 6-K Summary: Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (EDENOR)
Reporting Period: Nine months ended September 30, 2007 (9M07)
Business: Argentina's largest electricity distributor, serving the northwestern zone of the greater Buenos Aires metropolitan area.
Currency: Figures in Argentine Pesos (Ps.) and U.S. Dollars (USD). USD conversion rate: Ps. 3.15 (as of Sept 30, 2007).

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (9M07) Amount (Ps. Millions) Amount (USD Thousands)
Net Sales 1,503.2 477,220
Gross Margin 830.6 263,682
Net Operating Income 350.8 111,379
Net Income 69.9 22,198
Operating Cash Flow 308.7 97,999
Capital Expenditures 199.8 59,449
Outstanding Financial Debt (Nov 5, 2007) N/A USD 372 Million

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Net sales increased 47.0% to Ps. 1,503.2 million from Ps. 1,022.9 million in 9M06. This was driven by a 38.3% increase in distribution margins (VAD) effective Feb 1, 2007, and the accrual of a Ps. 218.6 million retroactive VAD adjustment (Nov 2005–Jan 2007). Excluding the unbilled retroactive portion, sales grew 28.9%.
  • Volume Increase: Energy sold rose 9.4% to 13,574.1 GWh, driven by a 7.6% increase in consumption per customer and a 1.7% increase in customer count.
  • Profitability: Gross margin surged 91.6% to Ps. 830.6 million. Net operating income jumped 1,053.9% to Ps. 350.8 million.
  • Net Income Decline: Despite operating gains, Net Income fell to Ps. 69.9 million from Ps. 260.0 million in 9M06. The prior year included a Ps. 254.7 million gain from debt restructuring and a Ps. 72.3 million tax benefit. The current period included a Ps. 106.8 million tax charge, Ps. 32.1 million exchange losses, and Ps. 46.3 million adjustment to present value of debt.
  • Costs: Electric power purchases increased 14.1% to Ps. 672.6 million. Transmission and distribution expenses rose 17.1% to Ps. 314.4 million.

Outlook, Risks, and Recent Events

  • Debt Management: On Oct 9, 2007, EDENOR issued USD 220 million in 10.5% Senior Notes due 2017. Proceeds are used to repurchase Discount Notes due 2014 and fund capex. As of Nov 5, 2007, outstanding debt was USD 372 million.
  • Regulatory Update: Resolution 1037 (Oct 2007) recognized a 9.63% cost increase under the Cost Monitoring Mechanism (CMM), allowing EDENOR to retain PUREE plan collections to offset costs until tariff adjustments are formalized.
  • Risks: Significant exposure to exchange rate fluctuations on USD-denominated debt. Tax liabilities are sensitive to the utilization of tax loss carryforwards. Regulatory changes in tariff structures (VAD) remain a primary driver of financial performance.
  • Unusual Items: The 9M07 results are heavily influenced by the non-cash accrual of the retroactive VAD increase (Ps. 218.6 million), of which only Ps. 33.5 million was invoiced by Sept 30, 2007.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Retroactive Revenue Recognition: Verify the collectability and billing schedule of the Ps. 185.1 million unbilled retroactive VAD adjustment.
  • Debt Repurchase Progress: Confirm the completion of the USD 220 million note issuance and the specific reduction in outstanding Discount Notes due 2014.
  • Tax Position: Review the sustainability of the Ps. 106.8 million tax charge and the status of tax loss carryforwards expiring at year-end.
  • Cash Flow vs. Net Income: Analyze the divergence between strong operating cash flow (Ps. 308.7 million) and lower net income (Ps. 69.9 million) due to non-cash accounting adjustments.
  • Regulatory Tariff Implementation: Monitor the timeline for the full inclusion of the 9.63% CMM cost increase into the official tariff scheme.