Business Context and Reporting Period
This Form 6-K filing by Statoil ASA (now Equinor) covers the second quarter and first half of 2016, with results reported as of July 27, 2016. The company operates in the exploration, production, transportation, refining, and marketing of petroleum. The reporting period was characterized by a low oil and gas price environment, which significantly impacted financial results despite solid operational performance and cost reduction initiatives. Starting in Q1 2016, the company changed its presentation currency from Norwegian kroner (NOK) to US dollars (USD).
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Operating Income (USD million) | 180 | 3,635 | 1,240 | 332 |
| Adjusted Earnings (USD million) | 913 | 2,883 | 1,769 | 5,828 |
| Adjusted Earnings After Tax (USD million) | (28) | 929 | 94 | 1,831 |
| Net Income (USD million) | (302) | 866 | 309 | (3,704) |
| Cash Flow from Operations (USD million) | 1,144 (Q2) | 2,538 (Q2) | 3,349 (H1) | 6,278 (H1) |
| Free Cash Flow (USD million) | (1,771) (Q2) | 104 (Q2) | (3,154) (H1) | (40) (H1) |
| Equity Production (mboe/day) | 1,959 | 1,873 | 2,007 (H1) | 1,964 (H1) |
| Group Average Liquids Price (USD/bbl) | 39 | 55 | 34 (H1) | 51 (H1) |
| Net Debt to Capital Employed | 31.2% | 22.4% (Q2 2015) | 31.2% | 22.4% |
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue and Profit Decline: Net operating income fell 95% year-over-year in Q2 2016 to USD 180 million, primarily due to a drop in oil and gas prices and lower refinery margins. Adjusted earnings decreased 68% to USD 913 million.
- Production Growth: Despite price headwinds, equity production increased 5% year-over-year to 1,959 mboe/day, driven by strong operational performance and new field ramp-ups, partially offset by divestments.
- Cost Reductions: Adjusted operating and administrative expenses decreased 18% in Q2 2016 due to ongoing cost improvement initiatives. Adjusted exploration expenses dropped 19% to USD 423 million.
- Impairments and Gains: Q2 2016 results included net impairment charges of USD 275 million (Gulf of Mexico asset) and a gain on sale of assets of USD 119 million (Edvard Grieg field divestment). In contrast, Q2 2015 included a significant gain of USD 1,346 million from the Shah Deniz divestment.
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow for the first half of 2016 was USD 3,349 million, a 47% decrease from the prior year, driven by lower commodity prices.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- Capital Discipline: Statoil lowered its 2016 organic capital expenditure guidance from USD 13 billion to USD 12 billion and exploration guidance from USD 2 billion to USD 1.8 billion.
- Production Guidance: The company maintained its production guidance, expecting annual organic production growth of approximately 1% from 2014 to 2017.
- Dividends: A dividend of USD 0.2201 per share was declared for Q2 2016. Shareholders have the option to receive the dividend in cash or newly issued shares via a scrip dividend program at a 5% discount.
- Safety Incidents: The quarter was marred by two fatal accidents: a helicopter crash on April 29 killing 13 people, and a contractor fatality in Korea on April 21. The Serious Incident Frequency (SIF) rose to 0.8 from 0.6 in the prior year.
- Risks: Key risks include continued low commodity prices, operational regularity, timing of new capacity, and the impact of production sharing agreements (PSA) on entitlement volumes.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Price Sensitivity: Verify the impact of current oil and gas prices on the company's ability to maintain positive free cash flow, given the negative free cash flow of USD 3.15 billion in H1 2016.
- Debt Levels: Monitor the net debt to capital employed ratio, which increased to 31.2% in Q2 2016 from 22.4% in Q2 2015.
- Cost Execution: Assess the sustainability of the cost reduction program, which contributed to lower operating expenses but may face limits in future periods.
- Safety Performance: Review the investigation outcomes of the helicopter accident and the company's safety protocols, as the SIF rate has deteriorated.
- Dividend Policy: Confirm the uptake of the scrip dividend option, as 43% of shareholders selected shares in the first quarter, impacting cash outflows.