EQUINOR ASA annual report, Q4 FY2018

Equinor ASA — 2018 Form 20-F summary

Business context and reporting period

This is Equinor’s annual report for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. The company changed its name from Statoil ASA to Equinor ASA in May 2018 and describes its strategy as developing a broad energy company while continuing oil and gas operations and expanding into renewables. Financial statements are prepared under IFRS as issued by the IASB and adopted by the EU.

Key financial and operating metrics

Metric20182017
Total revenues and other incomeUSD 79.6 billionUSD 61.2 billion
Net operating incomeUSD 20.1 billionUSD 13.8 billion
Net incomeUSD 7.5 billionUSD 4.6 billion
Adjusted earnings before taxUSD 18.0 billionNot stated here
Adjusted earnings after taxUSD 6.7 billionUSD 4.5 billion
Operating cash flowUSD 19.7 billionUSD 14.8 billion
Capital expendituresUSD 15.2 billion total; USD 9.9 billion organicUSD 10.8 billion total; USD 9.4 billion organic
Free cash flowUSD 3.1 billion; organic free cash flow USD 6.3 billionNot stated here
Gross interest-bearing debtUSD 25.7 billionUSD 28.3 billion
Net interest-bearing debt before adjustmentsUSD 11.1 billionUSD 15.4 billion
Adjusted net debt to capital employed22.2%29.0%
ROACE12.0%8.2%
Equity oil and gas production2.111 million boe/day2.080 million boe/day
Proved oil and gas reserves6.175 billion boe5.367 billion boe

Cash and cash equivalents were USD 7.6 billion and current financial investments were USD 7.0 billion at year-end. Cash increased by USD 3.5 billion during the year. The company reported total equity of USD 43.0 billion and total assets of USD 112.5 billion. The average Brent price rose 31% to USD 71.1 per barrel; European gas prices also increased, while the refining reference margin fell 16% to USD 5.3 per barrel.

Changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue increased 30%, net operating income 46%, and net income 64%, primarily reflecting higher oil and gas prices and higher volumes. Higher operating costs, exploration expenses, depreciation and financial losses partly offset the improvement.
  • Production reached a company record, up 1%. International equity production grew, while Norway’s production declined due to natural decline, lower production efficiency and turnaround losses.
  • Proved reserves rose 808 million boe; the annual reserve replacement ratio was 213% and the organic ratio was 189%.
  • Operating cash flow increased USD 4.9 billion. Net debt and the adjusted net-debt ratio declined, supported by stronger cash generation.
  • MMP net operating income fell to USD 1.9 billion from USD 2.2 billion, reflecting weaker trading and processing results, negative storage effects and lower refining margins.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Guidance: 2019 organic capital expenditures of about USD 11 billion and exploration activity of about USD 1.7 billion, excluding signature bonuses. Production in 2019 was expected to be around the 2018 level; production growth for 2019–2025 was forecast at about 3% annually. Scheduled maintenance was expected to reduce 2019 equity production by about 40,000 boe/day on average.
  • Projects and returns: Management reported seven projects sanctioned in 2018, with an average break-even price of USD 14 per barrel, and an approximately USD 30 per barrel break-even for the portfolio expected online by 2025. These are management estimates, not guarantees.
  • Distribution: The board proposed a fourth-quarter dividend of USD 0.26 per share, a 13% increase from the prior quarterly rate, subject to shareholder approval.
  • Low-carbon strategy: Renewable projects in which Equinor participated had about 1.3 GW of capacity. Management aimed to direct 15–20% of investments to new energy solutions by 2030. Operated upstream emissions intensity was reported at 9 kg CO2 per boe; the company also reported a 70 cubic-metre naphtha spill at Mongstad.
  • Market and operating risks: Results remain exposed to volatile commodity prices, refining margins, currency and interest-rate movements, reserves and project-execution uncertainty, safety and environmental incidents, climate-transition costs, regulation, and geopolitical, sanctions and cyber risks. Equinor also identified risks from joint ventures, contractors and Norwegian State ownership.
  • Contingencies: Ongoing gas-contract price-review arbitrations had estimated exposure of approximately USD 1.2 billion, with no provision recorded at year-end. A remaining Agbami redetermination provision was USD 854 million net of tax. Other disclosed matters included a Brazilian tax dispute, litigation over the BM-S-8 sale, and a drilling-rig contract dispute; no provisions were recorded for certain of these matters.
  • Unusual and accounting items: 2018 included a USD 923 million recognition of previously unrecognised deferred tax assets, net impairment reversals, and gains on asset sales. Equinor adopted IFRS 9 and IFRS 15 and changed its accounting for lifting imbalances in 2018; it said it would return to the sales method in 2019. IFRS 16 was also due to take effect in 2019. The report gives an expected lease liability of approximately USD 4.2 billion in one discussion and USD 4.66 billion in its reconciliation.
  • Controls and audit: KPMG issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting. Management said the material weakness disclosed for 2017 had been remediated; it reported no material misstatement from that weakness.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether oil and gas prices, production growth and project start-up assumptions support the 2019–2025 production and capital-spending outlook.
  • The quality and sustainability of free cash flow, adjusted earnings and reserve additions, including the effects of commodity prices, acquisitions and accounting adjustments.
  • The status, potential financial impact and timing of the USD 1.2 billion gas price-review exposure, Agbami provision and other disclosed disputes.
  • The expected balance-sheet and cash-flow effects of IFRS 16; specifically, why the report cites both approximately USD 4.2 billion and USD 4.66 billion of lease liabilities.
  • Approval and payment of the proposed USD 0.26 dividend, and whether capital returns remain consistent with investment needs and the company’s stated debt objectives.
  • Progress on safety, emissions and renewable investments, alongside exposure to climate policy, environmental liabilities and geopolitical or sanctions developments.