Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Gold Fields Limited (NYSE & JSE: GFI)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Operational Update)
Reporting Period: Quarter ended 31 March 2017 (Q1 2017)
Context: Gold Fields reported a slow start to 2017, characterized by safety incidents at its South Deep mine in South Africa and weather-related disruptions in Australia. The company provides detailed financial and operational results on a six-monthly basis; this filing serves as an operational update.
Key Financial and Operational Metrics
| Metric | Q1 2017 | Q4 2016 | Q1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Produced (000 oz) | 497 | 566 | 515 |
| Revenue (US$/oz) | 1,216 | 1,198 | 1,192 |
| Operating Costs (US$/tonne) | 42 | 45 | 40 |
| All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) (US$/oz) | 1,016 | 911 | 961 |
| Total All-in Cost (AIC) (US$/oz) | 1,114 | 941 | 986 |
| Net Debt (US$m) | 1,241 | 1,166 | 1,337 |
| Net Debt to EBITDA | 1.04x | 0.95x | 1.21x |
| Cash Flow from Operating Activities (US$m) | (35) | 82 | 26 |
Note: Cash flow from operating activities is net of tax, less net capital expenditure, environmental payments, and financing costs.
Material Changes vs. Prior Periods
- Production Decline: Attributable equivalent gold production fell 3% year-over-year (YoY) and 12% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to 497,000 oz. South Deep production dropped 28% YoY due to safety incidents and falls of ground.
- Cost Increases: AISC rose 6% YoY to US$1,016/oz, and Total AIC increased 13% YoY to US$1,114/oz. South Deep AIC surged 26% YoY to US$1,821/oz.
- Cash Flow Reversal: The company reported a net cash outflow of US$35m, compared to an inflow of US$26m in Q1 2016. This was driven by US$44m in growth capital expenditure (Damang, Gruyere, Salares Norte, South Deep) and dividend payments.
- Debt Position: Net debt increased to US$1,241m from US$1,166m in the prior quarter.
- Regional Performance:
- South Africa: Significant production loss at South Deep due to two fatalities and ground stability issues.
- Ghana: Production down 4% YoY; costs up due to the commencement of the Damang Re-Investment Project.
- Peru: Equivalent gold production up 9% YoY at Cerro Corona, with AIC down 12% YoY.
- Australia: Production flat YoY; costs up 6% YoY due to weather impacts and project spend.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- 2017 Guidance Intact: Management reaffirmed full-year 2017 guidance despite the slow start.
- Production: 2.10m – 2.15m oz.
- AISC: US$1,010 – US$1,030/oz.
- Total AIC: US$1,170 – US$1,190/oz.
- Operational Risks:
- Safety: Two fatalities at South Deep (tramming incidents) and three falls of ground in high-grade sections. The company is strengthening ground support standards.
- Weather: Significant rain events impacted open pit operations in Australia.
- Project Execution: Damang Re-Investment Project commenced with accelerated waste stripping; Gruyere project progressing with village construction.
- Management Commentary: CEO Nick Holland noted that while the start was slow, the build-up of excess broken stocks at South Deep is expected to be recovered in the next two quarters. Access to deferred high-grade areas is expected in the June quarter.
- Corporate Changes: Appointment of Dr. Carmen Letton as an independent non-executive director and Martin Preece as EVP: South Africa.
Key Facts for Investor Verification
- Safety Recovery Plan: Verify the timeline for recovering the ~300kg of gold lost due to accidents and the ~350kg lost due to falls of ground at South Deep.
- Capital Expenditure Discipline: Monitor the execution of the US$44m growth capex in Q1 and its impact on the full-year AIC guidance of US$1,170–1,190/oz.
- South Deep Production Ramp-up: Confirm if the June quarter sees the expected recovery of deferred high-grade mining and the reduction of underground stockpiles.
- Debt Management: Track the net debt trajectory given the Q1 outflow and the target net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.04x.
- Project Milestones: Verify progress on the Damang Re-Investment Project (targeting 36Mt mined in 2017) and the Gruyere Village occupancy (targeted end of May 2017).