HERBALIFE LTD. quarterly report, Q2 FY2017

Herbalife Ltd. — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2017. Amounts are in U.S. dollars; financial statements are unaudited. Herbalife sells nutrition products through independent Members and, in China, through service providers and other channels.

Financial results and position

MetricQ2 2017Q2 2016Six months 2017Six months 2016
Net sales$1,146.9 million$1,201.8 million$2,249.0 million$2,321.4 million
Operating income (loss)$204.9 million$(19.9) million$348.7 million$148.4 million
Net income (loss)$137.6 million$(22.9) million$222.8 million$72.9 million
Diluted EPS$1.61$(0.28)$2.59$0.85
Operating cash flowNot provided for quarterNot provided for quarter$277.1 million$368.0 million
  • Margins: Q2 gross margin was 80.9%, versus 80.3%; operating margin was 17.9%, versus (1.7%); net margin was 12.0%, versus (1.9%). First-half gross margin was 81.2%, versus 80.6%; operating margin was 15.5%, versus 6.4%; net margin was 9.9%, versus 3.1%.
  • Cash and liquidity: Cash and equivalents were $1,624.1 million at June 30, compared with $844.0 million at year-end 2016. Working capital was $1,406.6 million. The credit facility requires at least $200 million of consolidated cash; the company reported covenant compliance.
  • Debt: Balance-sheet debt was $2,288.4 million, comprising $1,235.0 million under the new term loan, $1,047.0 million carrying value of convertible notes, and $6.4 million other debt. Cash less balance-sheet debt was approximately $664 million net cash. The term loan’s weighted-average borrowing rate was 6.53% at June 30; a 1 percentage-point rate move was estimated to change annual interest expense by about $13 million.
  • Capital allocation: First-half investing cash outflow was $47.5 million. Financing cash inflow was $537.5 million, including $1,274.0 million of new-facility borrowings, offset by debt repayments and share repurchases. The company repurchased about $240.5 million of shares under its program during the first half; $1,259.5 million of authorization remained at June 30.

Changes and drivers

  • Net sales declined 4.6% in Q2 and 3.1% in the first half year over year; in local currency, they declined 3.4% and 1.8%, respectively. Worldwide Volume Points, management’s sales-volume indicator, fell 8.1% in Q2 and 3.5% in the first half.
  • The sales decline reflected weaker volume and unfavorable currency effects, partly offset by price increases. Q2 volume weakness was pronounced in North America (Volume Points down 18.1%), South and Central America (down 14.2%), and China (down 14.4%). EMEA Volume Points rose 2.4%.
  • Net income improved substantially from the prior-year Q2 loss, primarily because prior-year SG&A included $203.0 million of regulatory-settlement expense. 2017 results also included $38.9 million of China government-grant income and tax benefits from adoption of a share-based compensation accounting standard. Higher interest expense and lower contribution margin partly offset these benefits.
  • Gross-margin improvement reflected sourcing and self-manufacturing savings and price increases, partly offset by foreign exchange and higher inventory write-downs. First-half operating cash flow fell from $368.0 million to $277.1 million, mainly due to less favorable working-capital movements.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management said U.S. sales could remain pressured during the rest of 2017 as Members adapt to FTC Consent Order procedures, but did not expect a long-term material adverse effect. No quantified revenue or earnings guidance is provided in the filing text. Expected 2017 capital expenditures were approximately $115–$135 million.
  • The FTC Consent Order, effective July 2016, followed a $200 million payment and requires changes to U.S. Member classification, sales documentation and compensation, plus independent compliance audits for seven years. Management identified potential sales and compliance impacts; failure to comply could materially harm results.
  • The SEC and Department of Justice requested information concerning China anti-corruption compliance. The company said it was cooperating and could not predict the matter’s scope or outcome.
  • Material disclosed tax disputes include Mexican VAT and income-tax matters, Brazilian tax assessments, Indian VAT assessments, and a Korean customs assessment. Management generally said losses were not probable; some matters are being appealed, and possible losses could not be reasonably estimated. The company also reported $47.6 million of Mexico VAT-related assets and $17.0 million of Brazil ICMS-ST credits, which it believes are recoverable or usable.
  • China government grants contributed $38.9 million of Q2 and first-half operating income; future grants are not assured. Other notable items included FTC implementation costs, regulatory inquiry expenses, and expenses related to responding to short-seller allegations.
  • Management identified foreign exchange, variable-rate debt, Member retention, direct-selling regulation, China licensing and compliance, product liability, and legal and tax proceedings among key risks. Disclosure controls were reported effective at June 30, 2017; no material change in internal control over financial reporting was reported for the quarter.

Investor verification priorities

  • Assess whether the sales and Volume Point declines, particularly in North America and South and Central America, continued after Q2, and distinguish underlying demand from currency, pricing, and timing effects.
  • Separate recurring operating performance from the prior-year FTC settlement comparison, China grant income, and 2017 share-based compensation tax benefits.
  • Review the new credit facility’s leverage covenant, minimum-cash requirement, amortization schedule, variable-rate exposure, and capacity for further repurchases.
  • Track execution of FTC Consent Order controls and audits, including the effect on Member activity, eligible U.S. sales, and compensation.
  • Monitor developments in the disclosed tax disputes and China anti-corruption inquiry, including any changes in loss assessments or recoverability of tax-related assets.