IMPERIAL OIL LTD annual report, FY2013

Imperial Oil Limited — FY2013 Form 10-K

Business context and period: Canadian integrated oil company reporting under U.S. GAAP for the year ended December 31, 2013; amounts are Canadian dollars unless noted. Exxon Mobil Corporation owned 69.6%. Operations span Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. This annual filing also reports fourth-quarter results.

Financial performance and position

Metric20132012
Operating revenues$32.722 billion$31.053 billion
Net income$2.828 billion$3.766 billion
Diluted EPS$3.32$4.42
Operating cash flow$3.292 billion$4.680 billion
Capital and exploration expenditures$8.020 billion$5.683 billion
Cash at year-end$272 million$482 million
Total debt at year-end$6.287 billion$1.647 billion
Total assets$37.218 billion$29.364 billion
Dividends declared per share$0.49$0.48

Revenue rose about 5%, while net income declined about 25%. Net margin was approximately 8.6%, compared with 12.1% in 2012, calculated from reported revenue and net income. Operating cash flow fell about 30%; investing activities used $7.735 billion, and financing activities provided $4.233 billion. Reported current assets of $4.287 billion were below current liabilities of $7.088 billion (current ratio approximately 0.60, calculated).

Debt represented 24% of capital at year-end, versus 9% in 2012. Long-term debt included a $4.316 billion variable-rate loan from an ExxonMobil affiliate; notes and loans payable included $75 million from an affiliate. Management reported a 1.4% average effective interest rate on debt. Shareholders’ equity was $19.524 billion.

Fourth-quarter snapshot

Q4 2013 net income was $1.056 billion, or $1.24 diluted EPS, versus $1.076 billion, or $1.26 diluted EPS, in Q4 2012. Total revenues and other income were $8.363 billion versus $7.804 billion. Segment net income was Upstream $411 million, Downstream $625 million, Chemical $46 million, and Corporate and Other a loss of $26 million. The filing does not provide quarterly cash flow figures.

Material changes and operating developments

  • Net income fell primarily because of approximately $700 million in lower industry refining margins, higher Kearl costs, lower Syncrude volumes and lower Cold Lake contribution. A weaker Canadian dollar, higher Upstream liquids realizations, better marketing margins and lower refinery maintenance costs partly offset these pressures.
  • Downstream net income decreased to $1.052 billion from $1.772 billion; Upstream net income decreased to $1.712 billion from $1.888 billion. Chemical net income was broadly stable at $162 million.
  • A $280 million after-tax charge related to converting the Dartmouth refinery to a fuels terminal included a $245 million asset write-down and decommissioning, environmental and employee-related costs. Refinery operations ceased in September 2013.
  • Imperial acquired a 50% interest in Celtic assets and liabilities for approximately $1.6 billion, financed with related-party and third-party debt. The acquisition increased reported natural gas and liquids reserves and assets.
  • Net oil-equivalent production increased to 259,000 barrels per day from 243,000. Kearl production began in April; average Imperial-share output was about 16,000 barrels per day for the year. Syncrude production declined, mainly due to planned maintenance.
  • Total proved reserves were 3.622 billion oil-equivalent barrels, including 1.509 billion proved undeveloped barrels. Kearl start-up moved reserves into developed status; most undeveloped reserves relate to Kearl and Cold Lake.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management forecast 2014 capital and exploration spending of about $5.5 billion, including approximately $5 billion Upstream and $450 million Downstream. Environmental capital and operating expenditures were expected to be about $1.7 billion in 2014.
  • Kearl expansion was 72% complete at year-end and remained targeted for 2015 start-up. Cold Lake’s Nabiye project was 65% complete; year-end 2014 start-up remained the target but was under pressure from slower contractor productivity and harsh winter conditions.
  • Key exposures include oil and gas prices, bitumen price differentials, Canadian/U.S. dollar exchange rates, refining margins, transportation access, project execution, operational incidents and changing environmental or climate regulation. Imperial stated that it does not use derivatives to hedge these market exposures.
  • Management estimated annual after-tax earnings sensitivities of about $435 million for an $8/bbl change in crude prices, $130 million for a $1/bbl change in petroleum-product margins and $500 million for a nine-cent change in the Canadian dollar versus the U.S. dollar. These are single-factor estimates under current conditions, not forecasts.
  • Other major commitments included $3.243 billion of firm capital commitments, $10.881 billion of other long-term purchase agreements and $1.237 billion of asset retirement obligations. New long-term transportation agreements represented about $3.5 billion of commitments. Management expected these commitments to be met in the normal course.
  • The company disclosed pending claims but did not expect their ultimate outcomes to materially adversely affect the company. It reported effective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting; PwC issued unqualified audit opinions on the financial statements and internal controls.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Kearl expansion and Nabiye meet their stated schedule, cost and production targets, and whether Kearl operations stabilize at higher rates.
  • Whether operating cash generation improves enough to support the large planned capital program, dividends and debt service; track debt, liquidity and reliance on ExxonMobil financing.
  • How refining margins, bitumen differentials, currency movements and transportation capacity affect realized prices and segment earnings.
  • The composition and progress of the $10.881 billion of other long-term purchase agreements, including transportation commitments, and the effect of environmental and retirement obligations.
  • Reserve estimates and development assumptions, especially the substantial proved undeveloped volumes, which depend on project delivery, regulatory approvals, reservoir performance and long-term prices.