MFA FINANCIAL, INC. annual report, FY2014

MFA Financial, Inc. — 2014 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2014; filed February 12, 2015. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. MFA is a leveraged residential mortgage REIT investing in Agency and Non-Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), residential whole loans and, beginning in 2014, credit risk transfer (CRT) securities. In the second quarter, it reorganized as a holding company and began acquiring whole loans through consolidated trusts.

Financial performance and position

Metric20142013
Interest income$463.8 million$482.9 million
Interest expense$159.8 million$164.0 million
Net interest income$304.0 million$318.9 million
Net income$313.5 million$302.7 million
Net income available to common stock and participating securities$298.5 million; $0.81 per share$285.0 million; $0.78 per share
Net interest spread / margin2.40% / 2.78%2.32% / 2.70%
Common dividend declared per share$0.80$1.64, including special dividends
Book value per common share at year-end$8.12$8.06

Net interest income excludes interest from certain “Linked Transactions,” which MFA reported in other income. Net interest earned on those transactions was $16.4 million in 2014 versus $2.9 million in 2013. Full-year other income was $54.8 million, including $37.5 million of realized gains on Non-Agency MBS sales and $17.1 million of gains and net interest income from Linked Transactions. No credit-related OTTI losses were recognized through earnings in 2014.

  • Year-end balance sheet: Total assets were $12.35 billion, total liabilities $9.15 billion and stockholders’ equity $3.20 billion. MBS and CRT securities were reported at $10.76 billion; residential whole loans totaled $351.4 million across carrying-value and fair-value classifications.
  • Borrowing and leverage: Repurchase agreements were $8.27 billion, securitized debt $110.6 million and 8% Senior Notes $100 million. Reported GAAP debt-to-equity leverage was 2.8x; MFA’s non-GAAP measure, including Linked Transaction borrowings, was 3.3x.
  • Liquidity and cash flow: Cash and cash equivalents were $182.4 million. Management estimated total available liquidity above $761.7 million, including borrowing capacity against unpledged or excess-collateral MBS. Operating cash flow was $255.8 million; investing activities provided $451.0 million and financing activities used $1.09 billion. Cash declined $382.9 million during the year.
  • Fourth quarter: Net interest income was $72.2 million, net income $79.7 million, common and participating-security income $76.0 million, and basic and diluted EPS $0.20. The quarterly common dividend was $0.20 per share.

Changes versus the prior year

  • Common earnings rose to $298.5 million from $285.0 million, and EPS increased to $0.81 from $0.78. Higher Linked Transaction results and MBS sale gains, and the absence of certain 2013 charges, offset lower reported net interest income.
  • Net interest income fell 4.7% to $304.0 million, although spread and margin improved. The decline reflected a smaller average MBS balance and higher Non-Agency funding costs, partly offset by improved Non-Agency yields and lower Agency borrowing costs.
  • Agency MBS yield declined to 2.23% from 2.28%; Non-Agency MBS yield increased to 7.70% from 7.25%, principally reflecting credit-reserve releases and improved collateral performance.
  • MFA added about $2.13 billion of RPL/NPL MBS purchases during 2014, mostly reported within Linked Transactions; began investing in whole loans; and purchased $109.2 million of CRT securities. Combined MBS holdings including Linked Transactions rose to approximately $12.57 billion from $11.50 billion.
  • Common dividends fell to $0.80 per share from $1.64, which included $0.78 per share of 2013 special dividends. Year-end book value per share increased slightly, while cash balances declined.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • Management said it intended to continue selectively acquiring Agency MBS, Non-Agency MBS and residential whole loans in 2015. It described liquidity as adequate for current obligations and investment activity, but gave no specific earnings, margin, dividend or portfolio-growth guidance.
  • Management cited improving Legacy Non-Agency collateral performance, including estimated average loan-to-value declining to 76% from about 105% in January 2012. It released $95.0 million of Legacy MBS credit reserve to accretable discount in 2014, which is expected to support future interest income; estimates remain sensitive to actual loan performance.
  • Interest-rate sensitivity remains material. The filing’s modeled immediate +100-basis-point shock indicated a 5.66% decline in projected 12-month net interest income and a 0.69% decline in portfolio value. The model is assumption-dependent and not a forecast.
  • Key exposures include short-term, uncommitted repo funding and margin calls; interest-rate and prepayment risk; credit losses on Non-Agency MBS and whole loans; loan-servicing and foreclosure costs; collateral valuation uncertainty; counterparty concentration; and potential changes to GSEs, REIT rules or Investment Company Act exemptions. California represented 44.3% of Legacy Non-Agency mortgage collateral.
  • Repo funding was spread across 25 lenders, but five counterparties individually represented more than 5% of equity at risk; Credit Suisse was the largest at 18.3%. The company reported compliance with financial covenants at year-end.
  • Unusual/current items included the new whole-loan business, $3.4 million of related investment operating expenses, $447,000 of gains on whole loans held at fair value, and $137,000 of loan-loss provision. The filing reported no material legal proceedings or material off-balance-sheet arrangements.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  1. Reconcile reported net interest income with income and expense from Linked Transactions, and assess whether the improved spread is sustainable as portfolio balances and funding costs change.
  2. Review repo maturities, lender concentration, collateral haircuts, margin requirements and the composition of the stated $761.7 million liquidity estimate.
  3. Test the assumptions behind the $900.6 million Legacy Non-Agency credit reserve, the 2014 reserve release and projected loan recoveries against actual delinquency, default and loss-severity trends.
  4. Assess whole-loan performance, including the fair value of delinquent loans, servicing outcomes, foreclosure timelines, REO costs and expected cash flows.
  5. Compare the $0.80 common dividend with REIT taxable income and cash generation; the filing estimated $263.7 million of 2014 taxable income and $7.3 million undistributed at year-end.
  6. Review the detailed audited statements and notes for definitions and presentation effects. KPMG issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting.