MFA FINANCIAL, INC. quarterly report, Q1 FY2011

MFA Financial, Inc. — Q1 2011 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period

Unaudited results for the three months ended March 31, 2011, compared with Q1 2010. MFA is a REIT investing primarily in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS), using leverage to earn the spread between investment income and financing costs. At quarter-end, MBS were 92.5% of total assets.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ1 2011 / March 31, 2011Comparable / prior period
Interest income$109.9 million$107.7 million in Q1 2010
Net interest income$75.2 million$69.2 million in Q1 2010
Net income$82.9 million$82.7 million in Q1 2010
Net income available to common stock and participating securities$80.8 million; $0.27 per diluted share$80.6 million; $0.29 per diluted share in Q1 2010
Net interest spread / margin2.87% / 3.31%2.73% / 3.29% in Q1 2010
Cash and cash equivalents$629.4 million$345.2 million at December 31, 2010
Total assets / stockholders’ equity$11.44 billion / $2.89 billion$8.69 billion / $2.25 billion at December 31, 2010
Repurchase agreements / securitized debt$7.65 billion / $663.4 million$5.99 billion / $220.9 million at December 31, 2010
GAAP debt-to-equity leverage2.9x2.8x at December 31, 2010
Operating cash flow$62.1 million$60.4 million in Q1 2010

Cash increased by $284.2 million in the quarter. Investing activities used $2.075 billion, primarily for MBS purchases; financing activities provided $2.297 billion. The common dividend declared for Q1 was $0.235 per share. MFA issued 74.75 million shares in a March public offering, raising approximately $605 million net.

Material changes versus Q1 2010 and the prior quarter-end

  • Net interest income rose 8.6%, principally reflecting a substantially larger Non-Agency MBS portfolio and lower funding costs. Net income was nearly flat, while diluted EPS declined from $0.29 to $0.27, reflecting the larger weighted-average share count.
  • Agency MBS interest income declined 23.5% to $60.2 million; reported drivers included lower yields and a smaller average portfolio. Non-Agency MBS interest income increased to $49.6 million from $29.0 million as average investment more than doubled, although its net yield fell to 8.58% from 10.46%.
  • Interest expense fell to $34.7 million from $38.5 million, despite higher average borrowings. The effective funding rate decreased to 1.99% from 2.40%.
  • MBS fair value rose to $10.58 billion from $8.06 billion at year-end. Cash, equity, and borrowings also increased, reflecting the equity raise, portfolio purchases, and February resecuritization.
  • Other income included $14.9 million from Linked Transactions. No MBS were sold in Q1 2011; Q1 2010 included MBS sale gains and losses on terminated repurchase agreements.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Management said it intended to continue investing in Agency and Non-Agency MBS and viewed market opportunities as attractive, while noting that Non-Agency purchase discounts had narrowed. It expected most assets to remain in Agency MBS. No specific earnings or dividend guidance was provided.
  • The February resecuritization generated $488.4 million of third-party senior debt and cash proceeds, while MFA retained substantial subordinate/support interests and first-loss economic exposure. The consolidated VIE assets are restricted to settling VIE obligations; senior bondholders have no general recourse to MFA, subject to specified repurchase obligations for representation-and-warranty breaches.
  • Liquidity included a reported $1.208 billion cushion: $629.4 million cash, $504.2 million unpledged Agency MBS, and $74.5 million excess collateral. Management believed resources were adequate, but warned that falling collateral values, margin calls, tighter markets, or lenders declining to renew short-term repo financing could materially pressure liquidity and leverage.
  • Interest-rate exposure remains material: repo costs can reset faster than asset yields, and swaps hedge only part of borrowings. The filing’s modeled +100-basis-point shock projected an 8.93% decrease in net interest income and a 1.19% decrease in portfolio value; management cautioned that the estimates depend on assumptions and are not forecasts.
  • Non-Agency MBS carry credit and cash-flow estimation risk. Credit Reserve and impairment-related discounts totaled about $945.9 million for reported Non-Agency MBS, and no OTTI loss was recognized in Q1. Actual defaults, loss severities, prepayments, or property values could differ from management estimates.
  • Lealand Place, a 191-unit apartment property, was classified as held for sale on March 31; management found fair value exceeded carrying value less selling costs. Dodd-Frank implementation and other regulatory changes could increase compliance costs or affect financing, securitization, and investment markets.
  • Management reported effective disclosure controls and no material changes to internal control over financial reporting. No material pending legal proceedings were reported.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether portfolio expansion and the lower Non-Agency yields sustain net interest income and per-share earnings after the large equity issuance.
  • Repo renewal terms, collateral haircuts, margin-call capacity, and the company’s actual leverage, including borrowings embedded in Linked Transactions.
  • Non-Agency MBS performance versus cash-flow assumptions, including credit reserves, delinquencies, realized losses, and any future impairment charges.
  • How the resecuritizations’ retained interests, debt amortization, and representation-and-warranty obligations affect risk and cash flows.
  • Whether the declared dividend is supported by REIT taxable income and available cash; GAAP earnings and REIT taxable income may differ materially.