MODINE MANUFACTURING CO quarterly report, Q1 FY2013

Modine Manufacturing Company — Q1 FY2013 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. The filing covers the three months ended June 30, 2012, Modine’s first quarter of fiscal 2013. Modine supplies thermal-management products across automotive, commercial vehicle, off-highway, and commercial HVAC markets. Comparative Q1 FY2012 results were revised for previously identified errors; the filing says those revisions were not material to the prior statements.

Financial results and liquidity

Unless otherwise stated, amounts are in millions of dollars.

  • Sales and margins: Net sales were $350.4, down 16.2% from $417.9. Gross profit was $51.6, and gross margin fell to 14.7% from 16.7%, primarily reflecting lower volumes and unfavorable currency effects.
  • Profitability: Operating income fell to $3.9 from $20.3. Pretax continuing-operations income was $1.0; a $2.1 tax provision produced a $1.1 continuing-operations loss. The effective tax rate was 205.8%, mainly due to valuation allowances on certain foreign losses. Including $0.2 of discontinued-operations earnings, net loss attributable to Modine was $1.2, or $0.03 per diluted share, versus earnings of $12.6, or $0.27 per share.
  • Cash flow: Operating activities provided $4.8, compared with $14.0 used in Q1 FY2012. Capital expenditures were $11.7; investing activities used $12.3. Financing activities provided $20.1, and cash increased $11.7 to $43.2.
  • Debt and liquidity: Balance-sheet debt was $183.7 at June 30, versus $164.3 at March 31; cash was $43.2. The company reported $149.1 of available credit lines and compliance with debt covenants. Its four-quarter interest coverage ratio was 8.77 against a 3.00 minimum, and leverage was 1.87 against a 3.25 maximum.
  • Other balance-sheet items: Total assets were $868.5, down from $893.5 at March 31. Pension liabilities were $90.3. Trade receivables from the ten largest customers represented 52% of receivables.

Material changes and segment performance

  • Management attributed the consolidated sales decline to weaker end-market demand, the strategic wind-down of automotive module business, and $23.5 of unfavorable foreign-exchange impact. Gross profit also included a $2.9 unfavorable currency impact.
  • Original Equipment—Europe: Sales declined to $125.4 from $166.8; the segment reported a $0.2 operating loss versus $11.6 of income. Lower volumes, delayed commercial-vehicle program launches, currency effects, and $4.5 of restructuring expense contributed.
  • Original Equipment—Asia: Sales fell to $15.8 from $21.3; the segment reported a $2.3 operating loss versus $0.8 of income, amid weak Chinese off-highway demand and the automotive-business wind-down.
  • Original Equipment—North America: Sales decreased slightly to $153.6, while operating income increased to $13.8 from $10.8, supported by improved gross margin and lower SG&A.
  • South America: Sales fell to $31.2 from $47.9 and operating income to $0.7 from $3.2, reflecting post-emissions-change commercial-vehicle weakness, lower aftermarket sales, and currency effects.
  • Commercial Products: Sales declined to $30.1 from $34.1 and operating income to $1.0 from $3.4, mainly due to weak demand and lower volumes.

Outlook, risks, and unusual items

  • FY2013 outlook: Management maintained its prior outlook: sales down 5%–10% year over year; operating income of 3.5%–4.0% of sales and diluted EPS of $0.60–$0.70, both excluding European restructuring. Planned program reductions are about $80 million, including the BMW wind-down in Europe and Asia and certain North American automotive and military programs.
  • European restructuring: The plan includes product-line exits, cost reductions, headcount actions, and asset dispositions, focusing the segment on commercial vehicles. The company expects about $12.5 million of additional costs through FY2017, mostly by FY2014, and approximately $17 million of total future cash expenditures. Long-term targets include 15%–17% gross margin, $6–$9 million annual SG&A savings, 8%–10% operating margin, and 15% ROACE.
  • Accounting and controls: An out-of-period commodity-hedge correction shifted approximately $0.5 million of pretax earnings from Q4 FY2012 to Q1 FY2013; management said it was not material to either quarter. The filing also describes revisions to Q1 FY2012 results. Disclosure controls were deemed ineffective because of a material weakness related to European VAT application; remediation was underway.
  • Contingencies: Modine recorded an estimated $10.7 million liability for European VAT exposures, including estimated interest and penalties, and said the ultimate resolution was uncertain. Environmental reserves were $6.1 million; the company noted uncertainty in environmental matters and ongoing litigation, while stating it did not expect a material adverse effect based on currently available information.
  • Additional risks: Weak markets in Europe, South America, and Asia; currency and commodity-price movements; customer and program-launch risks; restructuring execution; and realization of tax benefits. Commodity hedges became ineffective in Q4 FY2012, and the company reported $4.3 million of commodity-derivative liabilities at June 30.

Investor verification priorities

  • Track whether sales, margins, and earnings follow the FY2013 outlook, particularly given planned program reductions and weak regional demand.
  • Verify European restructuring milestones, cash costs, savings, and progress toward stated margin and ROACE targets.
  • Monitor cash generation, debt levels, credit availability, and continuing compliance with covenant requirements.
  • Assess resolution of the VAT exposure and remediation of the related control weakness; the filing does not provide a final outcome.
  • Review subsequent tax-valuation-allowance decisions and the impact of commodity and foreign-exchange exposures.