MORGAN STANLEY quarterly report, Q1 FY1999

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Morgan Stanley Dean Witter & Co.
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: February 28, 1999
Business Overview: A global financial services firm operating through two primary segments: Securities and Asset Management (investment banking, trading, asset management) and Credit and Transaction Services (Discover Card, consumer credit, brokerage).

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (in millions, except per share) Q1 1999 Q1 1998
Total Revenues $8,405 $7,585
Net Revenues $5,351 $4,035
Net Income $1,037 $574
Diluted EPS $1.76 $0.91
Total Assets $321,778 $317,590 (Nov 30, 1998)
Shareholders' Equity $14,837 $14,119 (Nov 30, 1998)
Cash and Cash Equivalents $6,225 $16,878 (Nov 30, 1998)
Long-Term Borrowings $27,298 $27,435 (Nov 30, 1998)
Return on Common Equity (Annualized) 29.5% 16.8%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profitability Surge: Net income increased 81% year-over-year to $1,037 million. Excluding a $117 million cumulative effect of an accounting change in the prior year, net income grew 50%.
  • Revenue Growth: Total revenues rose 11% to $8.4 billion, driven by record levels in principal trading, investment banking, and commissions.
  • Expense Increases: Non-interest expenses increased 27% to $3.68 billion, primarily due to a 32% rise in compensation and benefits linked to record revenues.
  • Cash Flow: Net cash used for operating activities was $23.4 billion, compared to $14.2 billion in the prior year, largely due to changes in financial instruments owned and securities borrowed.
  • Asset Quality: The provision for consumer loan losses decreased 56% to $177 million, reflecting improved credit quality and the sale of certain loan portfolios.

Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary

  • Market Conditions: Management cited favorable global market conditions, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, contrasting with the volatility of late 1998. The Far East remained sluggish due to ongoing economic difficulties.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: On March 25, 1999, the company completed the acquisition of AB Asesores, a major Spanish financial services firm, to expand its international asset management and brokerage capabilities.
  • Year 2000 (Y2K) Readiness: The company designated Y2K compliance as its highest priority. Remediation and testing of mission-critical systems were completed by March 31, 1999. Estimated total costs are between $200 million and $225 million, with approximately $130 million expended through February 28, 1999.
  • Liquidity and Capital: The company maintains strong liquidity with diverse funding sources. Credit ratings remain stable (e.g., A+ from S&P, Aa3 from Moody's). The company redeemed $352 million in Capital Units effective March 1, 1999.
  • Risks: Key risks include market volatility, credit quality in consumer loans, and potential disruptions from third-party Y2K failures. The company holds significant positions in non-investment grade securities and derivatives, which carry higher market and credit risks.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Accounting Change Impact: Verify the $117 million charge in Q1 1998 related to SOP 98-5 (start-up costs) to accurately compare organic growth.
  • Y2K Contingency: Assess the sufficiency of the company's contingency plans for third-party failures, as the company cannot control external remediation efforts.
  • Trading Volatility: Review the composition of the $21.8 billion in derivative contracts and the exposure to non-investment grade securities ($2.4 billion) given market sensitivity.
  • Consumer Loan Quality: Monitor net charge-off rates and delinquency trends, as economic shifts could materially impact the provision for loan losses.
  • Integration of AB Asesores: Track the financial impact and integration progress of the Spanish acquisition in subsequent quarters.