MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP INC annual report, Q4 FY2015

Business context and reporting period

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) filed this Form 20-F on July 27, 2015, covering the fiscal year ended March 31, 2015. This is an annual report, not a standalone 2014 fourth-quarter filing; the supplied text does not provide separate Q4 results. Financial statements are audited and prepared under U.S. GAAP, with amounts generally in Japanese yen.

MUFG is a diversified financial group spanning commercial and trust banking, securities, asset management, cards and consumer finance. Major developments included consolidating its Americas operations under MUFG Americas Holdings and increasing its ownership of Thailand’s Krungsri to 76.88% following integration of BTMU’s Bangkok branch.

Financial performance and position

Unless noted otherwise, figures below are for fiscal 2015 and comparisons are with fiscal 2014. Yen amounts are in trillions unless specified.

MetricFY2015 / March 31, 2015Comparable FY2014 / March 31, 2014
Total revenue (interest plus non-interest income)¥5.740T¥4.343T
Net interest income¥2.231T¥1.961T
Provision (credit) for credit losses¥87.0B provision¥106.4B credit
Non-interest income¥2.845T¥1.821T
Non-interest expense¥2.727T¥2.468T
Income before tax¥2.263T¥1.420T
Net income attributable to MUFG¥1.531T¥1.015T
Diluted earnings per common share¥107.50¥69.98
Net interest margin; average interest spread0.94%; 0.90%0.92%; 0.89%
Return on average assets; return on average equity0.55%; 11.71%0.40%; 9.31%
Total assets; net loans¥280.89T; ¥117.21T¥253.66T; ¥109.18T
Deposits; long-term debt¥171.99T; ¥19.97T¥162.52T; ¥14.50T
Total equity; equity-to-assets ratio¥15.28T; 5.44%¥12.75T; 5.03%

Cash-flow statement: operating cash flow was ¥2.385T, investing cash flow was negative ¥10.976T, and financing cash flow was positive ¥8.183T. Cash and cash equivalents fell ¥336.0B to ¥3.353T. These bank cash flows should not be interpreted as conventional free cash flow.

Deposits were MUFG’s primary funding source and exceeded net loans by ¥54.78T at year-end. Japanese Basel III regulatory ratios were: Common Equity Tier 1 11.14% (minimum 4.50%), Tier 1 12.62% (minimum 6.00%) and total capital 15.68% (minimum 8.00%). The reported U.S.-GAAP total-equity-to-assets ratio is distinct from regulatory capital ratios.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue increased about 32%, while net income attributable to MUFG rose about 51%. Net interest income increased ¥270.2B, mainly on higher volumes and rates for foreign loans, and growth in foreign interest-earning assets.
  • Non-interest income increased ¥1.024T, primarily because trading account profits swung to ¥1.149T from a ¥33.9B loss. MUFG attributed the improvement largely to higher fair values of foreign-currency bonds, including U.S. Treasury and European sovereign bonds, as interest rates declined. This makes reported earnings notably sensitive to market valuations.
  • Net foreign exchange losses widened to ¥113.1B from ¥61.8B. Investment securities gains fell to ¥154.7B from ¥303.5B.
  • Credit costs shifted from a ¥106.4B credit to an ¥87.0B provision. A large domestic electronics manufacturer deteriorated, while Krungsri recorded ¥94.6B of provisions, including for consumer and SME loans amid slower Thai growth.
  • Non-interest expenses rose ¥258.6B. Factors included Krungsri consolidation, higher staff and technology/compliance costs, the Japanese consumption tax increase, and BTMU’s ¥315M (about ¥34.5B) payment to New York’s DFS.
  • Impaired loans declined to ¥1.687T, or 1.43% of loans, from ¥1.861T, or 1.69%. The allowance fell to ¥1.055T from ¥1.094T; coverage of impaired loans was 36.0%, down from 40.3%.
  • Long-term debt increased ¥5.47T, reflecting additional borrowing and bond issuance to diversify funding. Common equity increased, supported by earnings and positive securities and foreign currency translation movements.

Outlook, management commentary, risks and unusual items

Management launched a medium-term plan for fiscal 2016–2018 focused on customer needs, group-wide coordination and productivity. Priorities include expanding corporate and investment banking, transaction banking, asset management and commercial banking platforms in Asia and the United States, while maintaining a strong capital base. The filing gives no numerical earnings or revenue guidance.

  • Market and economic exposure: Japan represented 60.3% of assets and 59.1% of loans. Management highlighted weak domestic demand after the consumption-tax increase, low interest rates and pressure on domestic lending spreads. Sudden rate increases, Japanese government bond declines, equity-price changes and foreign-exchange movements could affect earnings, asset values and capital.
  • Credit and geographic risk: foreign loans grew 21.7%; the group has exposure to borrowers and financial institutions across the United States, Europe and emerging markets. Thai consumer and SME credit quality weakened. Credit losses may exceed allowances if economic conditions or borrower repayment capacity deteriorate.
  • Legal and regulatory matters: in November 2014 BTMU agreed to pay DFS $315M and take compliance-related actions concerning its handling of a prior U.S. sanctions investigation. This followed a 2013 DFS payment of $250M and a 2012 OFAC settlement of about $8.6M. MUFG also disclosed investigations and civil litigation relating to submissions to interbank benchmark-rate bodies; outcomes are uncertain.
  • Other risks: management identified cyberattacks, data protection, natural disasters and business continuity, regulatory change (including Basel III and a planned U.S. intermediate holding company by July 2016), competition, acquisitions and goodwill impairment as material risks. A further ratings downgrade could increase collateral needs and funding costs.
  • Unusual/comparative items: FY2014 included a ¥115.2B government grant related to MUTB’s pension obligation transfer; it did not recur in FY2015. FY2015 included the DFS payment. The Japanese tax reform reduced FY2015 tax expense by about ¥40.0B; the effective tax rate was 29.4%, versus 23.8% in FY2014.
  • MUFG repurchased ¥100B of shares in November–December 2014 and announced a further ¥100B program completed in June 2015. The filing estimates each program reduced capital ratios by about 0.1 percentage point.

Management reported effective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting; Deloitte issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal controls. The filing also disclosed that certain Deloitte personnel held BTMU deposits above Japan’s insured limit. After review, MUFG’s Audit Committee concluded the matter did not impair the auditor’s objectivity; it was discussing preventive measures with Deloitte.

Most important facts an investor should verify

  • Confirm the reporting period: the filing is for the year ended March 31, 2015, not a standalone 2014 Q4 report.
  • Assess how much of the earnings increase depends on trading and fair-value gains, and whether those gains are repeatable.
  • Review credit quality by segment, especially the electronics borrower and Krungsri provisions, nonaccrual trends, TDRs and allowance coverage.
  • Check the sustainability of foreign loan growth, deposit funding, higher long-term debt and capital buffers as Basel III requirements phase in.
  • Track the DFS compliance undertakings, benchmark-rate investigations and litigation, and the auditor-independence issue disclosed in the filing.