NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC annual report, FY2020

NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC. — FY2020 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended November 30, 2020. The filing also reports fourth-quarter results. NOVAGOLD is a pre-revenue gold exploration and development company; its principal asset is a 50% interest in the Donlin Gold project in Alaska, jointly owned with Barrick. It does not produce gold or generate operating revenue.

Financial and operating highlights

MetricFY2020FY2019
Revenue from principal businessNoneNone
Loss from operations$33.2 million$26.8 million
Net loss$33.6 million; $0.10 per share$27.8 million; $0.09 per share
Net cash used in operating activities$10.0 million$6.1 million
Cash and cash equivalents$60.9 million$67.5 million
Term deposits$61.0 million$81.0 million
Total assets$224.4 million$245.8 million
Promissory note payable to Barrick$109.8 million$103.8 million
  • Cash and term deposits together totaled $121.9 million at year-end, down $26.6 million from 2019. NOVAGOLD funded its Donlin Gold share with $15.3 million in 2020.
  • Liquidity is supported by $96.0 million in recorded Newmont notes receivable: a $75 million note due upon completion of a Galore Creek pre-feasibility study or July 27, 2021, and a $25 million note due upon completion of a feasibility study or July 27, 2023. A further $75 million contingent note is unvalued because construction approval was not considered probable.
  • The Barrick note comprises $51.6 million principal and $58.2 million accrued interest, bears interest at U.S. prime plus 2%, and is payable from 85% of NOVAGOLD’s share of future Donlin production revenue or from certain proceeds if its interest is reduced. There is no current gold production, so operating margins are not applicable.
  • At the Donlin project level, 2020 operating loss was $29.0 million versus $21.0 million in 2019; drilling, studies and engineering costs rose to $17.6 million from $9.4 million.

Changes and fourth-quarter results

  • Annual operating loss widened by $6.4 million, mainly from higher general and administrative costs and Donlin Gold expenses. G&A increased to $18.7 million from $16.3 million, including higher share-based compensation and professional fees; Donlin Gold equity loss increased to $14.5 million from $10.5 million, reflecting the 2020 drilling program.
  • Net loss from continuing operations increased to $33.6 million from $27.8 million. Lower interest income contributed; a $0.8 million income tax recovery and lower interest expense partly offset the increase.
  • Fourth-quarter net loss was $7.0 million, compared with $7.9 million in the prior-year quarter, primarily due to the income tax recovery.

Donlin Gold: outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Donlin completed 85 holes totaling approximately 23,400 meters in 2020. Early assays showed higher grades over thinner intervals than prior modeling predicted, particularly in sedimentary rocks. Follow-up drilling and studies were planned for 2021; results were still being integrated into an interim model.
  • NOVAGOLD expected to contribute $18–$22 million to Donlin Gold in 2021, including follow-up drilling, camp improvements, studies, permitting and community engagement. Total anticipated 2021 corporate and project expenditures were $31–$35 million. Management said available working capital was sufficient for the next 12 months, assuming expected funding and receipts.
  • The Donlin feasibility study’s economics remain based on a 2011 study. It estimated total initial project capital of about $6.7 billion on a 100% basis, a 27-year mine life, after-tax NPV at 5% of $547 million and IRR of 6.0% at a $1,200/oz gold price. The company engaged Wood to update costs, economics, permitting and technical information, with a report intended for 2021; the update did not yet include ongoing optimization work.
  • Donlin’s stated 33.849 million ounces of proven and probable reserves are estimated under Canadian NI 43-101 standards. The filing says the project has no known reserves under SEC Industry Guide 7; resource and reserve estimates are uncertain and are not assurance of economic extraction.
  • Permitting remains subject to outstanding matters, including state water-right decisions, reconsideration of the state pipeline right-of-way authorization, and an appeal concerning the state water-quality certification. Decisions were expected in the first half of 2021. Some village councils oppose the project, and permitting and related litigation could delay or prevent development.
  • Other major risks include the project’s remote location and substantial infrastructure needs, future construction financing, gold-price and cost changes, dependence on Barrick and joint-venture approvals, COVID-19 disruptions, reclamation obligations, and the possibility that exploration or development will not lead to profitable production. The 2021 program and construction timing are plans, not commitments to build.
  • The company reported it believed it was a passive foreign investment company (PFIC) for U.S. tax purposes in FY2020 and might remain one. It paid no dividends. The financial-statement auditor gave unqualified opinions on the statements and internal controls; recognition of the unvalued contingent Newmont note was identified as a critical audit matter.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the expected $75 million Newmont note receipt occurs by July 2021 and whether the second note remains collectible on its stated terms.
  • The updated Donlin feasibility study’s capital and operating costs, project economics, mine plan and timing, and how subsequent drilling changes resource modeling.
  • Final outcomes and timing of outstanding Donlin permits, water-right applications, appeals and pipeline right-of-way review.
  • Donlin’s 2021 spending, continued cost-sharing and decision-making with Barrick, and the financing required if engineering or construction advances.
  • Changes in cash runway, the Barrick note balance and interest accrual, and any dilution from future equity financing or share-based awards.
  • U.S. investors’ PFIC status and related tax reporting implications; consult a tax adviser.