NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

National HealthCare Corporation — Q2 2016 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. The report covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016. NHC operates or manages senior-care facilities and homecare programs in 10 states, and also provides insurance, management, accounting, and rental services. Results are unaudited.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2016Q2 2015Six months 2016Six months 2015
Net operating revenues$227.8m$224.9m$457.4m$447.3m
Income before income taxes$19.6m$19.8m$42.0m$41.5m
Net income$11.9m$12.4m$25.6m$25.6m
Net income available to common stockholders$11.9m$10.2m$25.6m$21.3m
Diluted earnings per common share$0.78$0.71$1.68$1.48

Quarterly revenue increased 1.3%, while pretax income fell 1.4%. Six-month revenue rose 2.2% and pretax income rose 1.1%; net income was essentially unchanged. Common-stockholder income increased 16.4% for the quarter and 20.2% for the half, primarily because preferred stock was redeemed in November 2015 and preferred dividends no longer reduced common earnings. Common dividends declared were $0.45 per share in Q2 and $0.85 per share for the half.

Costs and expenses rose 1.9% in Q2 and 2.6% for the half. Salaries, wages, and benefits increased 2.4% and 2.9%, respectively; this cost was 59.3% of revenue in Q2 versus 58.7%, and 58.0% for the half versus 57.6%. Interest expense increased to $0.9m in Q2 and $1.9m for the half, principally reflecting borrowing associated with the preferred-stock redemption. Non-operating income increased to $4.9m in Q2 and $9.7m for the half, partly due to improved equity-method investment earnings.

Cash flow and balance sheet. Six-month operating cash flow was $36.1m, down from $40.2m. Capital spending was $36.1m, compared with $23.0m a year earlier; investing cash outflow was $32.2m. Financing cash outflow was $4.6m, including $12.1m in common dividends, partly offset by $10.1m from common-share issuance. Cash and cash equivalents ended at $37.5m, compared with $38.2m at year-end 2015.

At June 30, NHC had $120.0m of long-term debt: $110.0m drawn on a $175.0m revolving facility and a $10.0m term note. The facility had $65.0m available and matures in October 2020. Capital-lease obligations totaled $31.9m. Marketable securities were $141.8m, with additional restricted cash and securities. Management stated these resources and operating cash flows were expected to meet near- and long-term needs; restricted assets are not necessarily freely available for general use. Total assets were $1.09bn and stockholders’ equity was $671.5m.

Changes, outlook, and risks

  • Skilled-nursing census averaged 89.3% in Q2 versus 90.0% a year earlier, and 89.6% for the half versus 90.1%. Composite skilled-nursing per diem rates increased 0.7% in Q2 and 0.5% for the half.
  • Three recently opened facilities generated approximately $0.7m of Q2 pretax operating losses; five newer entities generated approximately $1.1m of first-half losses. Management said excluding these losses, pretax income would have increased 2.3% for Q2 and 3.7% for the half.
  • A new ten-year triple-net lease for 11 properties is expected to increase annual rental income by approximately $2.3m. NHC ceased managing one facility on March 1, 2016, reducing expected management-fee revenue by about $0.6m annually.
  • Three development projects were under construction at quarter-end and expected to begin operating in Q4 2016. CMS’s FY2017 skilled-nursing rule provided an approximate 2.4% rate update effective October 1, 2016. Management gave no company earnings guidance; it noted planned construction, possible market expansion, and an expectation to continue common dividends subject to quarterly board approval.
  • Marketable equity securities totaled $141.8m, of which $122.4m was NHI stock (86% of the portfolio). NHC reported substantial unrealized gains on securities through other comprehensive income; a 10% equity-price move would change the fair value of its equity investments by approximately $14.2m.
  • Accrued risk reserves were $98.5m. NHC and/or managed centers were defendants in 36 professional-liability claims; claims could exceed reserves and insurance. The company also disclosed an unresolved DOJ investigation concerning rehabilitative-therapy billing and medical necessity, and a Caris hospice eligibility qui tam case. Potential outcomes and liabilities could not be assessed.
  • NHC paid $6.8m in 2015 following South Carolina Medicaid audit findings and is appealing to recover the funds; no receivable was recorded. Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement, occupancy, labor costs, regulatory changes, litigation, and investment-market concentration are material exposures.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether census and per-diem trends, together with higher labor costs, sustain or pressure operating profitability.
  • Progress, opening dates, costs, and operating performance of projects expected to commence in Q4 2016.
  • Use and terms of the $65m remaining revolving-credit capacity, and cash available after considering restricted balances and planned capital spending.
  • Developments in the DOJ and Caris investigations, professional-liability claims and reserves, and the South Carolina Medicaid appeal.
  • Valuation and concentration risk in NHI shares, including the effect of market movements on comprehensive income and equity.