NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LP quarterly report, Q1 FY2019

Natural Resource Partners L.P. — Q1 2019 Form 10-Q

Business context and period: Unaudited results for the three months ended March 31, 2019. NRP owns and leases U.S. mineral properties, principally coal, and holds a 49% non-controlling interest in Ciner Wyoming, a soda ash producer. The December 2018 sale of its construction aggregates business is reflected as discontinued operations; comparisons are recast accordingly.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ1 2019Q1 2018
Revenue and other income$67.0 million$60.1 million
Income from operations$49.9 million$44.2 million
Net income from continuing operations$35.8 million$26.3 million
Net income$35.7 million$24.3 million
Net income attributable to common unitholders$27.7 million$16.5 million
Basic / diluted net income per common unit$2.26 / $1.75$1.35 / $1.08
Net cash from operating activities$23.0 million$19.8 million
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$52.4 million$52.2 million
Distributable cash flow / free cash flow (non-GAAP)$23.1 million / $23.3 million$20.7 million / $20.0 million
Cash and cash equivalents$112.4 million$101.8 million at Dec. 31, 2018
Restricted cash$17.3 million$104.2 million at Dec. 31, 2018
Total debt, net$587.7 million$672.8 million at Dec. 31, 2018

NRP reported total liquidity of $229.7 million at quarter-end, including cash, restricted cash and $100 million of unused revolving-credit capacity. Operating margin, calculated as operating income divided by revenue and other income, was approximately 74.5%, versus 73.6% a year earlier. The partnership declared and paid a $0.45-per-unit common distribution for the prior quarter and paid $7.5 million of preferred distributions during Q1.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue and other income rose 11%. Coal Royalty and Other revenue increased 10%, while Soda Ash equity earnings increased 21% to $11.7 million.
  • Total coal production fell 4% to 6.0 million tons, but average coal royalty revenue per ton increased 9%; coal royalty revenue rose 4%. NRP attributed regional production movements to mine timing, lease terminations and lessee constraints.
  • Operating expenses increased 8% to $17.1 million, mainly from higher operating and maintenance costs. The filing attributes much of the increase to an overriding royalty arrangement with an affiliate; related expense is offset by royalty revenue from the property.
  • Net interest expense declined $3.8 million to $14.2 million, primarily due to lower debt balances. Net income from discontinued operations improved from a $1.9 million loss to a $46,000 loss following the aggregates-business sale.
  • Cash from operations increased $3.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat: improved Coal Royalty and Other results were offset by lower cash distributions from Ciner Wyoming.
  • NRP repaid $86.5 million of Opco senior-note principal in Q1, including a $49.3 million prepayment using proceeds from the aggregates sale. Total debt, net, declined by $85.1 million from year-end.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected metallurgical coal prices to remain relatively stable for the rest of 2019. It anticipated modest declines in domestic thermal-coal prices and production in the second half as existing contracts roll off.
  • Management expected near-term U.S. soda ash demand and supply to remain stable, with global demand supported by economic growth. Ciner Wyoming was considering an expansion within three years; a material project could reduce distributions to NRP temporarily, while potentially improving longer-term productivity.
  • After quarter-end, NRP issued $300 million of 9.125% senior notes due 2025 and planned to redeem its 10.50% notes due 2022 on May 11, 2019, at 105.25% of principal plus accrued interest, using note proceeds and approximately $76 million of cash. Management said the refinancing would reduce debt by a further $46 million, lower annual interest expense and extend maturities. It expected approximately $29 million of second-quarter expense from the redemption premium and write-off of unamortized debt costs; approximately $6 million of financing fees were also incurred for balance-sheet treatment.
  • In April 2019, NRP extended its $100 million Opco revolving-credit facility maturity from April 2020 to April 2023. The facility has leverage and fixed-charge-coverage covenants; the maximum leverage threshold can decrease if common distributions rise above $0.45 per unit, with an exception for the announced one-time special tax distribution.
  • Also after quarter-end, the board declared the regular $0.45-per-unit distribution and a one-time $0.85-per-unit special distribution intended to cover unitholders’ tax liabilities from the aggregates sale.
  • Commodity-price volatility is a key risk: lower coal prices could reduce revenue and potentially impair assets or affect covenant compliance; soda ash prices and energy costs affect Ciner Wyoming. NRP had no Opco revolving-facility borrowings at March 31, 2019 and stated it was in covenant compliance.
  • Anadarko’s contingent-consideration lawsuit remains unresolved. NRP disputes liability; estimated possible loss ranges from zero to approximately $40 million, plus interest, court costs and attorneys’ fees if the plaintiff prevails and is awarded the amount sought. Management could not predict the outcome.
  • Two customers represented 41% of Q1 revenue: Foresight Energy, 24%, and Contura Energy, 17%. The filing also notes forward-looking statements are subject to risks and that actual results may differ materially.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Completion and final economics of the 2025-note issuance and 2022-note redemption, including the expected debt reduction, interest savings and refinancing charges.
  • Use of remaining restricted cash for Opco debt amortization and liquidity after the refinancing and special distribution.
  • Coal production, prices and contract coverage—particularly expected second-half thermal-coal trends—and the effect on royalty revenue.
  • Ciner Wyoming’s potential expansion plans, funding approach and any resulting reduction in cash distributions to NRP.
  • Developments in the Anadarko litigation and the potential range of exposure.
  • Customer concentration and lessee financial and operating conditions, as well as the assumptions and limitations underlying non-GAAP measures such as Adjusted EBITDA, DCF and FCF.