NATIONAL RURAL UTILITIES COOPERATIVE FINANCE CORP annual report, FY2014

Business context and reporting period

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corporation (CFC) filed this Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2014. Figures are consolidated with Rural Telephone Finance Cooperative (RTFC), National Cooperative Services Corporation (NCSC), and certain controlled entities. CFC is a member-owned, tax-exempt cooperative lender, not a conventional profit-maximizing company; it primarily finances rural electric cooperatives and provides guarantees and letters of credit. About 98% of consolidated exposure was to rural electric cooperatives.

Key financial metrics

Amounts below are in U.S. dollars; financial statement figures are rounded.

MetricFY2014 / May 31, 2014Comparable FY2013 / May 31, 2013
Interest income$957.5 million$955.8 million
Net interest income$302.9 million$263.7 million
Net income$192.9 million; $190.1 million attributable to CFC$358.1 million; $353.8 million attributable to CFC
Adjusted net income (non-GAAP)$153.4 million$216.8 million
TIER / adjusted TIER1.29 / 1.211.52 / 1.29
Total assets$22.23 billion$22.07 billion
Loans to members$20.48 billion$20.31 billion
Total debt outstanding$20.62 billion$20.55 billion
Total equity$970.4 million$811.3 million
Allowance for loan losses$56.4 million; 0.28% of loans$54.3 million; 0.27% of loans
Operating cash flow$190.0 million$163.5 million

Net interest yield was 1.31%; adjusted net yield, which includes derivative cash settlements, was 0.95%. Average loan yield declined to 4.60% from 4.86%, while average debt cost declined to 3.11% from 3.48%.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Net income fell $165.2 million, largely because the provision for loan losses shifted from a $70.1 million release in FY2013 to a $3.5 million expense in FY2014, and derivative results shifted from an $84.8 million gain to a $34.4 million loss. The prior-year reserve release reflected revised loss-model assumptions.
  • Net interest income increased $39.2 million, primarily from refinancing higher-cost debt at lower rates. Adjusted net interest income rose $21.7 million, partly offset by higher derivative cash-settlement expense.
  • Loans increased $171 million, or about 1%. RTFC loans declined $53 million as CFC distribution, CFC power supply, and NCSC lending grew.
  • Nonperforming and restructured loans together fell to $9.7 million from $62.5 million. Nonperforming loans were $2.1 million; restructured loans were $7.6 million and performing under modified terms.
  • Total equity increased $159 million, primarily reflecting earnings, partly offset by approximately $41 million in patronage capital retirements. Adjusted debt-to-equity rose to 5.90 from 5.76, against management’s stated goal of staying below 6.00.

Liquidity, outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Liquidity and debt: Cash, investments, and time deposits totaled $944 million. Available liquidity included $3.224 billion under revolving bank lines, $624 million under committed Federal Financing Bank facilities, and up to $2.232 billion under the Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation facility, subject to market conditions. CFC had $1.512 billion of long-term debt due within 12 months and $3.887 billion of short-term funding scheduled to mature. Management expected to refinance maturities and roll over short-term funding; these expectations depend on continued market access and covenant compliance.
  • Management outlook: CFC expected new long-term loan advances to exceed scheduled repayments, projected approximately $2.016 billion in long-term advances over the next 12 months, and anticipated improved core lending earnings from loan growth and lower funding costs. Management expected adjusted debt-to-equity to remain below 6.00.
  • Funding actions: CFC exchanged $209 million of 8% medium-term notes for $218 million of 4.023% collateral trust bonds and $91 million cash. It redeemed $267 million of 7.5% member capital securities and had $59 million of additional call notices outstanding; members invested $147 million in new 5% securities.
  • Credit and concentration: The portfolio is heavily concentrated in rural electric utilities and is exposed to borrower deterioration, industry or regulatory changes, and collateral values. One nonperforming borrower was seeking a buyer, and management anticipated that a sale might not repay the full amount owed.
  • Market and funding risks: CFC relies on capital markets, member investments, bank facilities, and government-supported funding programs. A ratings downgrade could raise funding costs, limit commercial-paper access, or trigger derivative payments. At year-end, derivative rating triggers could require gross payments of up to $173 million; net of amounts collectible, the disclosed potential payment was about $125 million. A separate $10 million collateral-posting trigger also applied.
  • Other exposures: Guarantees outstanding were $1.065 billion, and unadvanced loan commitments totaled $13.912 billion, most subject to material-adverse-change clauses or expected to be drawn only gradually. Foreclosed assets were $245.7 million, with a $13.5 million operating loss in FY2014, including a $1 million impairment charge related to CAH trade names. ICC-related claims against CFC and certain officers and directors remained on appeal; management believed legal proceedings would not materially harm results and recorded no legal reserve.
  • Regulatory and tax matters: CFC’s federal tax-exempt status could be affected by legislative, administrative, or business changes. Proposed derivatives margin rules and environmental regulations affecting member utilities could increase costs; the ultimate impact was uncertain.
  • Audit and controls: The auditor gave an unqualified opinion on the FY2014 consolidated financial statements. Management concluded disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were effective; the auditor did not attest to internal control effectiveness.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether loan growth, funding access, and refinancing assumptions support management’s liquidity and earnings outlook, especially given near-term debt maturities and short-term funding rollover needs.
  2. How much FY2014 earnings were affected by noncash derivative fair-value movements versus recurring net interest income and cash settlements; adjusted figures are non-GAAP.
  3. Whether the allowance for loan losses remains appropriate as assumptions, borrower conditions, and the concentrated electric-sector exposure change.
  4. Whether adjusted debt-to-equity remains below management’s 6.00 target and covenant limits, and whether planned patronage retirements proceed.
  5. Developments in the nonperforming borrower’s sale process, ICC litigation appeals, derivative rating triggers, and CFC’s tax-exempt status.