PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2010

Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. — Q1 2010 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2010; comparisons are with Q1 2009 unless otherwise stated. Amounts are in millions of dollars except per-share data. The combined filing covers PSEG, PSEG Power LLC and Public Service Electric and Gas Company (PSE&G).

Business context and results

PSEG is a diversified energy holding company. Power operates wholesale generation and energy supply businesses; PSE&G is a regulated New Jersey electric and gas transmission and distribution utility. Energy Holdings owns energy-related investments and leveraged leases.

Consolidated metricQ1 2010Q1 2009Change
Operating revenues$3,680$3,920Down 6%
Operating income$934$927Up 1%
Income before tax$847$748Up 13%
Net income$491$444Up 11%
Diluted EPS$0.97$0.88Up 10%
Operating margin25.4%23.6%Higher
Net margin13.3%11.3%Higher
Operating cash flow$1,072$1,389Down $317
Capital expenditures$427$402Up $25
Cash and equivalents, quarter-end$312$350 at Dec. 31, 2009Down $38 during quarter
Total long-term debt, including securitization and project debt$7,906$7,645 at Dec. 31, 2009Up $261

Operating cash flow less capital expenditures was approximately $645 million, versus $987 million in Q1 2009. The filing attributes much of the cash-flow decline to lower margins, lower collateral receipts and changes in deferred energy costs. Quarter-end total debt including current maturities was approximately $8.2 billion. PSEG reported $3.25 billion of available liquidity under committed credit facilities, against $3.55 billion of total facilities.

Business performance and changes

  • Power: Earnings available to PSEG rose to $364 million from $314 million. Revenues fell 7% to $2,303 million, while lower energy costs and substantially smaller impairment charges supported earnings. Favorable NDT fund and non-trading mark-to-market results were important contributors.
  • PSE&G: Earnings available to PSEG declined to $117 million from $123 million. Revenues fell 11% to $2,444 million, with lower gas and electric supply revenues largely offset by lower commodity costs; milder weather and customer migration affected volumes.
  • Energy Holdings: Earnings declined to $7 million from $11 million, mainly due to lower gains on leveraged-lease dispositions and lower equity-method income.
  • Consolidated energy costs declined 15% to $1,768 million, while operations and maintenance expense rose 4% and depreciation and amortization rose 12%. Interest expense fell to $116 million from $145 million. Other-than-temporary impairments decreased to $1 million from $61 million.
  • The quarterly common dividend increased to $0.3425 per share from $0.3325; cash dividends paid were $173 million. The prior $750 million share-repurchase authorization expired in February 2010 and was not renewed.

Liquidity, debt and investment

  • Operating cash flow remained positive but declined year over year. PSEG said operating cash, cash on hand and financing activities were expected to fund capital expenditures and dividends.
  • During the quarter, PSE&G issued $300 million of 5.50% notes due 2040, repaid $300 million of floating-rate debt at maturity and redeemed $80 million of preferred stock. Power paid a $175 million dividend to PSEG. In April, after quarter-end, Power issued $550 million of senior notes and completed an exchange involving $195 million of 7.75% notes due 2011.
  • Expected 2010 pension contributions were $415 million; $249 million had been contributed through March, and management reported $332 million contributed through April.
  • Key investments include transmission upgrades, distribution reliability, solar programs, generation upgrades and new gas-fired peaking capacity. Management said projected construction and investment spending through 2012 remained consistent with the 2009 Form 10-K; the filing does not provide a consolidated numeric capital-spending forecast here.

Outlook, commentary and material risks

  • Management cited mild weather, economic weakness and low natural-gas prices as ongoing pressures. Heating degree days were 10.5% lower than in Q1 2009; Power’s BGSS sales volumes fell about 11%, while PSE&G gas and electric delivery volumes declined 7% and 1%, respectively.
  • Customers moving from PSE&G’s BGS supply contracts to third-party suppliers reduced Power’s contracted sales and could continue to pressure generation margins if market prices remain below BGS contract prices. Power generation volumes were nevertheless about 7% higher, with increased output sold into power pools and under new wholesale contracts at lower prices.
  • A severe March storm damaged more than 1,000 poles and disrupted service to about 635,000 customers. PSE&G restored service within a week. Storm-related first-quarter costs exceeded $41 million, including $16 million capitalized and $9 million of incremental costs for which the company expected to seek deferral and recovery.
  • A New Jersey distribution base-rate case remained pending. PSE&G sought a $204 million increase; the Rate Counsel recommended a much smaller net increase, and management anticipated a decision around mid-year if settlement talks failed. Outcomes were not assured.
  • Environmental exposures include PSE&G’s estimated $690 million MGP remediation liability, offset by a regulatory asset, and potentially material Passaic River/Newark Bay claims. Power also faces uncertainty over future air-emissions and cooling-water requirements; the filing notes that cooling-system costs could be material and were not included in forecast capital expenditures.
  • The IRS leveraged-lease tax dispute remains significant. PSEG reported approximately $600 million that could become currently payable if deductions were conceded, with $320 million deposited with the IRS. The company described possible substantial tax, interest and penalty payments and said a total-loss outcome could result in an additional $140–$160 million earnings charge.
  • If Power fell below investment grade, counterparties could require additional collateral of about $968 million. PSEG said available liquidity under PSEG and Power credit facilities was $2.648 billion. Derivatives regulation, commodity-price volatility, counterparty nonperformance and credit-rating deterioration were also identified as risks.
  • New health-care legislation resulted in a $9 million noncash after-tax charge, primarily at Power. PSE&G deferred a related $78 million as a regulatory asset for future recovery. Potential future costs from other provisions were still under evaluation.
  • Management gave no specific consolidated earnings guidance in the supplied filing text. It described future margins as vulnerable to lower market prices, reduced demand and customer migration. The Susquehanna-Roseland transmission project, estimated at $750 million, remained subject to approvals and timing risks.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of Q1 earnings growth came from recurring operations versus NDT fund gains, mark-to-market results and the year-over-year reduction in impairment charges.
  • Whether BGS customer migration, lower wholesale prices and weather-related volume weakness continue to reduce Power margins and PSE&G earnings.
  • The outcome and timing of PSE&G’s base-rate case and other regulatory proceedings, including the recovery of storm costs and deferred program expenditures.
  • Developments in the leveraged-lease IRS dispute, including cash-tax timing, deposits, possible penalties and potential earnings exposure.
  • Whether environmental and emissions requirements create costs beyond recorded liabilities and current capital plans, particularly for MGP remediation, river claims and cooling-water compliance.
  • Operating cash flow, pension contributions, capital spending, debt maturities and available liquidity, especially if commodity-market collateral requirements rise.