Business Context and Reporting Period
This Form 10-Q covers the quarterly period ended March 31, 2007, for Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) and its principal subsidiaries: Public Service Electric and Gas Company (PSE&G), PSEG Power LLC (Power), and PSEG Energy Holdings L.L.C. (Energy Holdings). PSEG operates as a holding company with four reportable segments: PSE&G (regulated utility), Power (wholesale generation and trading), and two subsidiaries of Energy Holdings (Global and Resources). The filing includes unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for all entities.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric (Millions) | Q1 2007 | Q1 2006 |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenues | $3,614 | $3,461 |
| Operating Income | $750 | $528 |
| Net Income | $329 | $203 |
| Diluted EPS (Net Income) | $1.30 | $0.81 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $956 | $910 |
| Total Assets | $28,362 | $28,570 |
| Total Long-Term Debt | $10,314 | $10,370 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | $483 | $218 |
Segment Performance (Net Income)
- PSE&G: $132 million (vs. $78 million in Q1 2006)
- Power: $213 million (vs. $112 million in Q1 2006)
- Energy Holdings: $3 million (vs. $28 million in Q1 2006)
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Growth: Consolidated operating revenues increased 4% to $3.614 billion, driven by higher volumes due to weather and rate increases from settlements in late 2006.
- Profitability Surge: Net income increased 62% to $329 million. Income from continuing operations rose to $335 million from $208 million.
- Segment Drivers:
- PSE&G: Net income rose 69% due to increased delivery volumes (14% increase in degree days) and rate relief from the November 2006 base rate cases.
- Power: Net income rose 90% due to higher realized prices from recontracting, increased sales volumes, and lower generation costs. The PJM Reliability Pricing Model (RPM) is expected to add incremental margin.
- Energy Holdings: Net income declined 93% due to mark-to-market losses at Texas generation facilities, the adoption of new accounting standards (FIN 48), and the absence of equity earnings from a sold asset (RGE).
- Discontinued Operations: A loss of $6 million was recorded, primarily related to the Lawrenceburg facility pending sale.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
Outlook and Management Commentary
- Capacity Markets: Power expects the implementation of the PJM Reliability Pricing Model (RPM) to generate incremental margins of $125 million to $175 million in 2007.
- Dividends: PSEG declared a quarterly dividend of $0.585 per share. Power paid a $125 million dividend to PSEG, and Energy Holdings made a $145 million return of capital distribution.
- Capital Allocation: Excess cash is currently being used to reduce debt. Beginning mid-2008, excess cash is expected to be available for new investments or share repurchases.
- Accounting Changes: Adoption of FIN 48 (Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes) and FSP 13-2 resulted in a reduction of opening 2007 Retained Earnings of approximately $160 million for Energy Holdings and a $6 million after-tax earnings decrease for PSEG in Q1 2007.
Risks and Contingencies
- Environmental Liabilities: Significant exposure exists regarding the Passaic River remediation (estimated costs could be material) and MGP site remediation ($408 million accrued). Power faces potential costs up to $1 billion for cooling water intake structures at the Salem facility if regulatory requirements change.
- Regulatory and Tax: PSEG faces an IRS audit regarding leveraged lease transactions (potential $796 million deferred tax liability at risk). Energy Holdings faces tax audit claims in Peru and Chile.
- Market Risk: Power is exposed to commodity price volatility. Unrealized losses on derivative hedges increased Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss by $159 million in Q1 2007 due to higher electricity prices.
- Legal Proceedings: Ongoing disputes include a class action challenging the New Jersey Competition Act, FERC proceedings regarding transmission cost allocation, and an Italian criminal investigation into the Bioenergie facility (operations resumed April 2007).
Investor Verification Checklist
- Debt Covenants: Verify compliance with debt-to-capitalization ratios (PSEG: 50.7%, PSE&G: 47.5%, Power: 37.5%) and EBITDA coverage ratios.
- Environmental Reserves: Review the adequacy of the $408 million MGP remediation accrual and potential future costs for the Passaic River and Salem cooling towers.
- Tax Position: Assess the impact of the IRS audit on leveraged leases and the $479 million in unrecognized tax benefits recorded under FIN 48.
- Derivative Exposure: Monitor the $460 million net unrealized loss on mark-to-market energy contracts and the potential for reclassification to earnings over the next 12 months ($186 million).
- Asset Sales: Confirm the closing of the Lawrenceburg facility sale (expected Q2 2007) and the potential sale of Electroandes in Peru.