Polaris Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2010

Polaris Industries Inc. — Q2 2010 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2010. Unaudited results; the company notes seasonal sales and production patterns mean interim results may not indicate full-year performance. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2010Q2 2009First half 2010First half 2009
Sales$430.9m$345.9m$792.6m$657.9m
Gross profit$113.1m$83.3m$208.0m$159.7m
Gross margin26.2%24.1%26.2%24.3%
Operating income$42.9m$27.1m$74.9m$49.9m
Net income$25.6m$17.5m$45.4m$25.9m
Diluted EPS$0.75$0.53$1.34$0.79
  • Q2 sales rose 25% and net income 47%; first-half sales rose 20% and net income 75%. Management attributed earnings growth principally to higher sales volume and improved gross margins.
  • Q2 gross margin improved 210 basis points; first-half margin improved 190 basis points. Management cited product-cost reductions, favorable currency, product mix, and higher production volumes.
  • Operating expenses increased 24% in Q2 and 20% in the first half, largely from higher incentive compensation and stock-based compensation; expenses as a share of sales declined 10 basis points in both periods.
  • Q2 sales by product line: off-road vehicles (ORVs) $342.0m, up 31%; Victory motorcycles $15.5m, up 48%; parts, garments and accessories (PG&A) $71.4m, up 8%; snowmobiles $2.0m, down 73%. ORVs accounted for 79% of Q2 sales.

Cash flow, balance sheet and capital

  • First-half operating cash flow was $57.0m, versus cash use of $8.7m in 2009. Investing used $11.7m, including $20.9m of property and equipment purchases; financing used $19.3m. Cash increased $26.0m to $166.3m.
  • At June 30, 2010, total assets were $821.3m and current assets $567.8m; current liabilities were $362.2m. Inventory was $222.6m, up from $179.3m at year-end 2009, primarily as the company supported higher sales volumes.
  • Borrowings were $200.0m, classified as long-term; the company reported no new credit-agreement borrowings during the first half. Its unsecured facility includes a $250m revolving line and a $200m term loan and matures December 2, 2011. Debt-to-total-capital was 45%, versus 63% at June 30, 2009.
  • Management said cash, operating cash flow and available borrowing capacity should fund operations, regular dividends, repurchases and capital needs for the foreseeable future. First-half dividends paid were $26.3m; the board declared another $0.40-per-share dividend payable in August.

Changes, outlook and notable items

  • Management reported market-share gains in ORVs, Victory motorcycles and international operations, supported by product offerings and its Max Velocity retail program. North American ORV retail sales increased in the mid-teens in Q2; ORV dealer inventories were down 37% year over year. Victory retail sales rose more than 10%, and dealer inventories fell 32%.
  • The company expects full-year 2010 snowmobile sales to be approximately equal to 2009. No overall revenue or earnings guidance is stated in the supplied filing text.
  • Manufacturing realignment: consolidate operations at Roseau, Minnesota, and Spirit Lake, Iowa, and establish a facility in Mexico; sell or close Osceola, Wisconsin, by 2012. Expected transition charges are $20m–$25m over several years, including $8m–$10m in 2010; planned capital expenditures are up to $35m, with expected annual savings exceeding $30m once complete. First-half exit and startup costs were approximately $1m each.
  • Risks to the realignment include delays, costs exceeding expectations, disruption to product quality or supply, and savings failing to materialize. The filing also cites economic and consumer-demand uncertainty, weather, warranty and product-liability exposure, foreign exchange, commodities, credit markets, and competition.
  • Q2 included a $0.8m noncash impairment of KTM shares after the decline in fair value was deemed other than temporary. Commodity contracts not designated as hedges generated $2.5m of Q2 losses in cost of sales; currency movements contributed to higher non-operating expense.
  • Management expected yen exchange rates and commodity costs to pressure second-half 2010 gross margins; the Canadian dollar was expected to support sales and net income. Forecast currency effects for other currencies were slightly negative.
  • Polaris may have to repurchase repossessed dealer-financed products up to an approximately $89.3m annual maximum for 2010; its exposure is the difference between repurchase cost and resale proceeds. Management reported no material historical losses under the arrangement.
  • A snowmobile-related lawsuit was settled and dismissed with prejudice in April 2010; no class was certified and management said the settlement would not materially affect the company. Management considered other pending legal matters unlikely to have a material adverse effect.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • Whether sales growth, market-share gains and gross-margin improvement continued beyond this seasonal reporting period.
  • Actual 2010 and total transition charges, capital spending, closure timing, and realized savings from the manufacturing realignment.
  • Inventory growth, operating cash conversion and the company’s ability to maintain liquidity while funding dividends, investment and any share repurchases.
  • Exposure to yen and commodity costs, and whether currency and commodity assumptions for the second half proved accurate.
  • Changes in dealer-financing exposure, product repurchase obligations, warranty accruals and product-liability contingencies.