Champion Homes, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2021

Business context and reporting period

This is Skyline Champion Corporation’s unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter ended December 26, 2020, the third quarter of fiscal 2021; comparable periods ended December 28, 2019. The filing describes a North American factory-built housing manufacturer with U.S. and Canadian manufacturing, U.S. retail centers, and transportation operations. The filing registrant is Skyline Champion Corporation (NYSE: SKY), notwithstanding the request metadata naming Champion Homes, Inc.

Financial performance and position

Unless otherwise noted, amounts below are in millions of U.S. dollars.

MetricQuarter ended Dec. 26, 2020Prior-year quarterNine months ended Dec. 26, 2020Prior-year nine months
Net sales$377.6$342.2$973.2$1,068.6
Gross profit / margin$71.8 / 19.0%$68.9 / 20.1%$188.6 / 19.4%$219.0 / 20.5%
Operating income / margin$27.5 / 7.3%$23.7 / 6.9%$62.1 / 6.4%$73.6 / 6.9%
Net income / diluted EPS$21.6 / $0.38$17.0 / $0.30$51.0 / $0.90$52.2 / $0.92
Adjusted EBITDA / margin$32.1 / 8.5%$29.7 / 8.7%$83.5 / 8.6%$94.3 / 8.8%

Quarterly sales increased 10.3%, led by higher U.S. and Canadian home volumes and selling prices. For the nine-month period, sales declined 8.9%; lower home volumes and transportation sales reflected pandemic-related disruptions earlier in the fiscal year. Nine-month net income fell 2.2%, while Adjusted EBITDA declined 11.4%. Quarterly gross margin contracted primarily due to higher material costs, especially forest products; pricing, higher volumes, and labor efficiencies partly offset the pressure.

Operating cash flow was $103.8 million for the first nine months, versus $73.1 million a year earlier. Investing activities used $1.2 million and financing activities used $47.9 million; cash increased $57.6 million to $267.1 million. Management attributed stronger operating cash flow partly to customer deposits, CARES Act payroll-tax deferrals, and Canadian wage subsidies.

At December 26, 2020, cash was $267.1 million, total assets $825.9 million, and stockholders’ equity $532.2 million. Long-term debt was $39.3 million, down from $77.3 million at March 28, 2020; this excludes $25.6 million of floor-plan payables. The $100 million revolving facility had $39.2 million of available borrowings after $33.9 million of letters of credit. The company reported compliance with its debt covenants.

Material changes, outlook, risks, and unusual items

  • Quarterly U.S. manufacturing and retail sales rose 10.3%, with homes sold up 6.2% and average selling price up 4.0%. Nine-month U.S. homes sold fell 9.3%. Canadian quarterly sales rose 15.5%; nine-month sales declined 9.3%.
  • Unfilled U.S. and Canadian manufacturing orders were $488.5 million at quarter-end, versus $133.1 million a year earlier. Orders may be canceled without penalty. Management said demand significantly exceeded production, with output constrained by capacity, hiring and training, attendance, materials, and potential COVID-19 interruptions.
  • Management cited continued opportunity from affordability, demographic trends, alternative dwelling units, and migration from urban to rural areas. It expects cash and operating cash flow to cover near-term working capital, capital spending, and debt obligations, and anticipates covenant compliance and adequate liquidity. No specific revenue, earnings, or margin guidance was provided.
  • COVID-19 effects remained uncertain. As of quarter-end, one manufacturing facility was temporarily idled due to labor availability; intermittent facility closures and elevated absenteeism had occurred. Material prices were volatile and manufacturing costs had trended higher. Three retail centers were closed during the second quarter, leaving 18 open.
  • The company recognized $6.2 million of Canadian wage subsidies and $0.8 million of U.S. wage subsidies during the nine months; no Canadian subsidy was recognized in the quarter. It also recognized a $1.7 million R&D tax-credit benefit in the quarter. A further $11.6 million of payroll taxes had been deferred, with payments beginning in December 2021.
  • Contingent repurchase obligations to retailer floor-plan lenders were estimated at $148.8 million, excluding resale value of homes; the related loss reserve was $0.9 million. The company also had $34.3 million of surety-bond obligations and $33.9 million of letters of credit. Management did not expect legal proceedings or these contingencies to have a material adverse effect.
  • Other principal risks include housing-market cyclicality and demand, labor and supply constraints, raw-material costs, COVID-19, competition, product quality and liability, regulation, interest and foreign-exchange rates, cybersecurity, and potential goodwill impairment.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether production can catch up with the unusually large, cancellable backlog without further labor, capacity, materials, or COVID-19 disruption.
  • Whether rising material costs can be passed through to customers, and whether the recent gross-margin decline persists.
  • How much reported operating cash flow depended on customer deposits, subsidies, and deferred payroll taxes, and the timing of the deferred tax payments.
  • Revolver availability, covenant headroom, and potential cash exposure from repurchase agreements, letters of credit, surety bonds, and legacy guarantees.
  • The durability of quarterly volume recovery and the gap between quarterly improvement and weaker nine-month sales and Adjusted EBITDA.