Sable Offshore Corp. annual report, FY2023

Sable Offshore Corp. — FY2023 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period

This report covers the year ended December 31, 2023. Its audited financial statements and MD&A are those of Flame Acquisition Corp., Sable’s former SPAC, before the February 14, 2024 business combination. They do not present the operating results of the Santa Ynez Unit (SYU) assets acquired from ExxonMobil or the Pipelines. Sable’s SYU assets were acquired at closing, effective January 1, 2022; the filing says SYU’s 2023 audited financial statements would be provided separately.

SYU comprises three offshore platforms, 16 federal leases and an onshore processing facility in California. Production has been shut in since the 2015 Line 901 spill; facilities and pipelines remain in a safe state and require maintenance. Sable’s investment case depends on securing approvals, repairing and restarting the system, and restoring transportation to market.

Financial performance and liquidity

  • Revenue and margins: Flame reported no revenue or operating activity in 2023 or 2022. Operating margins are therefore not meaningful; the historical results are not Sable’s oil-and-gas operating results.
  • Net loss: $32.2 million in 2023 versus $2.6 million in 2022. The 2023 loss included $27.1 million of noncash warrant-liability fair-value expense and $3.7 million of fair-value expense on related-party convertible notes. Operating costs were $4.9 million, down from $6.2 million; trust-account interest income was $4.4 million versus $4.0 million. Basic and diluted loss per share was $1.78 versus $0.07.
  • Cash flow: Net cash used in operating activities was $3.8 million, compared with $1.7 million in 2022. Cash at year-end was $267,816. The trust account held $63.6 million, generally restricted before the business combination.
  • Liquidity: Year-end working-capital deficit was $16.4 million. The auditor’s report includes a going-concern emphasis, citing remaining restart approvals and repair timing. Management said the post-closing PIPE financing and business combination addressed near-term funding needs, but additional financing may be needed if restart costs exceed estimates or approvals are delayed.
  • Debt: At the February 2024 closing, Sable entered into a five-year secured term loan with Exxon for $622.9 million plus accrued interest. Interest may be capitalized as PIK; management elected to capitalize accrued interest. Restart triggers a springing maturity, creating a refinancing requirement. The 2023 balance sheet also included $39.2 million of warrant liabilities and related-party notes, which were converted or repaid at closing as described in the filing.
  • Post-closing funding: Sable issued 44,024,910 PIPE shares at $10 per share, raising $440.25 million. This was below the original $520 million commitment after an investor could not fund its $125 million subscription; additional commitments replaced $55 million of that shortfall.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • The net loss widened substantially, principally because warrant and convertible-note fair-value expenses replaced the prior year’s warrant fair-value gain; operating costs declined.
  • Public shareholders redeemed 22.6 million shares in 2023, removing $230.1 million from the trust account. Year-end redeemable shares were 6.1 million, with $63.5 million recorded at redemption value.
  • The February 2024 business combination transformed the former SPAC into an offshore oil-and-gas company, added the SYU assets and Pipelines, and introduced significant secured debt and PIPE equity financing. These events occurred after the 2023 reporting date.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Restart target and cost: Management targeted restarting production in the third quarter of 2024 and estimated restart costs at approximately $197 million. The estimate is subject to cost, repair, staffing and permitting uncertainties. No production revenue or cash flow is expected before restart.
  • Approvals and pipeline status: Restart requires regulatory approvals, pipeline safety measures under the Consent Decree and California AB-864, and repairs. As of the filing, Sable had submitted a county transition plan and was pursuing an enhanced alternative pipeline-safety plan; key OSFM approvals remained outstanding. Management believed outstanding requirements would not prevent the targeted schedule, but provided no assurance of timely approval.
  • Asset-retention contingency: If production has not restarted by January 1, 2026, Exxon may exercise an option to take back the SYU assets without reimbursing Sable’s costs, other than deemed repayment of principal and accrued interest under the term loan.
  • Resources are not reserves: SYU quantities are classified as contingent resources, not SEC reserves, because they depend on approvals, transportation access and a commitment to restart. Recovery and reclassification are not assured.
  • Pipeline settlement: On March 26, 2024, Sable agreed to a settlement of certain pipeline-related claims, including rights-of-way claims. Sable agreed to fund $35 million and provide a separate $35 million standby letter of credit. Court approval was pending, and final approval on the stated terms was not assured.
  • Debt and financial flexibility: The term loan has restrictive covenants and a springing maturity after restart. Sable is barred from entering derivative contracts until the loan is refinanced in full. California pipeline rates, if regulated as intrastate common-carrier service, may depend on CPUC proceedings.
  • Other principal risks: Extended shutdown and aging equipment; offshore operational and spill exposure; concentrated California operations, including wildfire, earthquake and mudslide risks; commodity-price and basis differentials; regulatory and litigation delays; capital needs; and potentially inadequate insurance or collateral demands.
  • Financial reporting and cybersecurity: Management reported ineffective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting at December 31, 2023, including material weaknesses involving complex financial instruments and prior warrant accounting. The filing also states that a formal cybersecurity risk-management program was not yet in place, though management planned implementation during 2024.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Progress on pipeline repairs, AB-864/OSFM approvals and the actual restart date, cost and production rate.
  • Available post-closing liquidity, spending against the approximately $197 million restart estimate, and any additional capital requirements.
  • The term loan’s current principal including PIK interest, detailed maturity and repayment triggers, covenant compliance, and feasible refinancing options.
  • Final court approval and funding of the $35 million pipeline settlement, plus the effect of the additional $35 million letter of credit on liquidity.
  • SYU’s separately reported financial statements, resource estimates and any subsequent reserve disclosures; the 10-K’s SPAC financials are not a substitute.
  • Remediation of internal-control weaknesses and implementation and testing of the cybersecurity program.