US BANCORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2010

U.S. Bancorp — Q3 2010 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2010. Comparisons are with the corresponding 2009 periods unless otherwise noted. Dollar figures are in U.S. dollars; “billion” and “million” are abbreviated for readability.

Business context and results

U.S. Bancorp is a diversified banking and financial services company. Its businesses include Wholesale Banking, Consumer Banking, Wealth Management & Securities Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support.

MetricQ3 2010Q3 2009Nine months 2010Nine months 2009
Net interest income, taxable-equivalent$2.477bn$2.157bn$7.289bn$6.356bn
Total net revenue, taxable-equivalent$4.587bn$4.250bn$13.427bn$12.292bn
Noninterest income, as reported$2.110bn$2.093bn$6.138bn$5.936bn
Noninterest expense$2.385bn$2.053bn$6.898bn$6.053bn
Provision for credit losses$995m$1.456bn$3.444bn$4.169bn
Net income attributable to U.S. Bancorp$908m$603m$2.343bn$1.603bn
Diluted earnings per common share$0.45$0.30$1.24$0.66

Financial position, credit, and liquidity

  • Margins and returns: Q3 net interest margin was 3.91%, up from 3.67%; return on average assets was 1.26% versus 0.90%, and return on average common equity was 12.8% versus 10.0%. The efficiency ratio worsened to 51.9% from 47.5%.
  • Balance sheet at September 30: Assets were $290.7bn; loans $194.6bn; investment securities $49.0bn; deposits $187.4bn; short-term borrowings $34.3bn; long-term debt $30.4bn; and U.S. Bancorp shareholders’ equity $29.2bn. Compared with year-end 2009, assets grew 3.4%, deposits 2.3%, and long-term debt declined 6.8%; loans were essentially unchanged.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $2.806bn, down from $4.220bn. Investing activities used $7.715bn and financing activities provided $3.173bn. Cash and due from banks ended at $4.470bn, versus $6.206bn at year-end 2009.
  • Credit: Q3 net charge-offs were $995m, down from $1.041bn; for nine months they were $3.244bn, up from $2.758bn. The allowance for credit losses was $5.540bn, or 2.85% of loans (3.10% excluding FDIC-covered loans). Total nonperforming assets were $5.414bn, down from $5.907bn at year-end; excluding covered assets, they were $3.563bn, down 8.7%. Covered-loan delinquency remained a concern: 90-day-past-due ratios including nonperforming loans were 11.12% for covered loans versus 2.37% for loans excluding covered loans.
  • Capital: Tier 1 capital was 10.3%, total risk-based capital 13.3%, and leverage 9.0%; all exceeded regulatory “well-capitalized” requirements. Tier 1 common equity to risk-weighted assets was 7.6%.
  • Dividends: Common dividends declared were $0.05 per share for Q3 and $0.15 for the first nine months, unchanged from 2009.

Material changes versus prior periods

  • Q3 net income attributable to the company rose 50.6%; nine-month net income rose 46.2%. Revenue growth and lower credit-loss provision supported the improvement, while noninterest expense increased 16.2% in Q3 and 14.0% year to date.
  • Higher net interest income reflected growth in earning assets, acquisitions, more lower-cost core deposits, and improved net interest margin. Q3 noninterest income was nearly flat; payments-related, commercial-products, and mortgage-banking revenue gains were partly offset by lower deposit service charges and trust fees.
  • Expense growth reflected acquisitions, compensation and benefits, business initiatives, and tax-advantaged investment costs. The efficiency ratio’s deterioration indicates expenses grew faster than the relevant revenue base.
  • Credit trends were mixed: Q3 charge-offs declined year over year and delinquencies eased in most major categories during the quarter, but nine-month charge-offs increased. Nonperforming assets excluding covered assets declined, while residential mortgage and credit-card stress and foreclosed properties remained notable.
  • Year-to-date 2010 diluted EPS included a reported nonrecurring $0.05 net benefit from the income trust securities exchange. The comparison with 2009 is also affected by 2009’s $1.4bn provision above net charge-offs, $293m net securities losses, $123m FDIC special assessment, $92m real-estate transaction gain, Visa-related gain, and preferred-stock redemption accounting. The filing’s EPS calculation also identifies a $118m equity portion of the 2010 exchange; investors should distinguish this item from recurring earnings.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Management expected nonperforming assets excluding covered assets and net charge-offs to trend lower in Q4 2010, and expected overall loan modifications to moderate through year-end. These are expectations, not guarantees.
  • The company described its liquidity position as strong, citing core deposits and access to domestic and global capital markets. It reported approximately $4.0bn of dividends available from banking subsidiaries to the parent after meeting well-capitalized requirements.
  • The company recorded $85m of investment-security impairment charges in the first nine months, mainly on non-agency mortgage-backed and structured investment-related securities. It warned that adverse market changes could cause additional impairment.
  • U.S. Bancorp announced a strategic alliance involving the long-term asset-management business of FAF Advisors, with closing expected in Q4 2010; the company planned to retain its money-market fund business.
  • Management said it had no plans to halt foreclosures and believed its foreclosure procedures followed established safeguards, while noting increased industry scrutiny of foreclosure documentation and review.
  • The Dodd-Frank Act was expected to adversely affect results once implemented, including through interchange-fee regulation, deposit-insurance assessment changes, and capital-rule changes. The company said the eventual impact could not yet be quantified; instruments affected by the capital exclusion added 1.4 percentage points to the Tier 1 ratio as of quarter-end.
  • Other identified risks include a weak or renewedly contracting economy, commercial and residential real-estate deterioration, credit and collateral losses, interest-rate and market movements, legislation and regulation, competition, customer behavior, and operational, liquidity, and legal risks.
  • Contingencies include Visa litigation, with a $91m recorded liability and no specified maximum indemnification amount; mortgage-sale representation-and-warranty exposure, for which $147m was reserved; and overdraft-fee class-action cases, for which no loss range could be determined. Airline-ticket merchant-processing exposure included $4.8bn of tickets for future travel, partly supported by $474m of collateral and other protections.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether falling Q4 charge-offs and nonperforming assets materialized, particularly in covered loans, residential mortgages, commercial real estate, and credit cards.
  • How much of the earnings improvement is recurring after considering acquisitions, the ITS exchange, securities impairments, Visa items, and prior-year comparison effects.
  • Whether deposit growth and funding costs sustain the improved net interest margin, and how short-term borrowing growth affects liquidity and funding risk.
  • Whether rising expenses and the higher efficiency ratio moderate, and whether fee income is affected by Dodd-Frank implementation and overdraft-policy changes.
  • Developments in foreclosure reviews, Visa litigation, mortgage repurchase claims, and other legal or regulatory contingencies.
  • Capital resilience after the planned regulatory changes; confirm the filing’s non-GAAP capital measures and definitions when comparing them with peers.