UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. quarterly report, Q2 FY2020

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. — Q2 2020 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2020. The company is a vertically integrated property-and-casualty insurer focused on residential homeowners coverage, principally in Florida, and operates in 18 states. Its interim financial statements were reviewed by its independent accountant, not audited.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2020Q2 2019Six months 2020Six months 2019
Direct premiums written$404.7 million$358.0 million$739.2 million$647.2 million
Net premiums earned$226.4 million$210.4 million$447.2 million$420.1 million
Total premiums earned and other revenues$252.7 million$233.7 million$488.0 million$470.3 million
Net income$19.9 million$37.3 million$39.9 million$77.4 million
Diluted EPS$0.62$1.08$1.23$2.22
Net loss ratio66.9%53.9%64.0%53.9%
Expense ratio32.7%33.0%32.8%33.2%
Combined ratio99.5%86.9%96.8%87.0%

Combined ratio is operating costs and expenses divided by net premiums earned; below 100% indicates underwriting profit. Revenue growth did not offset higher claims costs: Q2 operating expenses rose 23.2% while total revenues rose 8.1%. Q2 pre-tax income fell 46.1% to $27.4 million. Investment income declined 16.6% to $6.2 million in Q2 and 16.3% to $13.0 million for the half year. H1 results also included a $4.2 million unrealized loss on equity securities, versus a $21.8 million gain in the prior-year period.

Financial position and liquidity

  • At June 30, total assets were $2.05 billion, total liabilities $1.52 billion, and stockholders’ equity $527.7 million, up from $493.9 million at year-end 2019. Book value per share was $16.56, up 9.5% from $15.13.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $331.7 million, versus $182.1 million at December 31, 2019. Operating cash flow for the first six months was $190.8 million, compared with $56.0 million in 2019; cash, including restricted cash, increased $149.9 million.
  • Long-term debt was $9.2 million. Debt-to-total-capital and debt-to-equity ratios were each 1.7%, down from 2.0%. The company said operating cash flows should meet working-capital needs for at least 12 months.
  • Invested assets totaled $934.5 million; the fixed-income portfolio had an average A+ credit rating and 3.4-year duration. The company held $50.7 million of net unrealized gains on fixed-income securities before credit losses at quarter-end.
  • Reinsurance payable was $499.7 million and prepaid reinsurance premiums were $453.0 million, reflecting the June 1 renewal of the catastrophe program. Unpaid losses and loss-adjustment expenses were $147.7 million.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Q2 direct premiums written grew 13.1%; Florida grew 12.8% and other states 14.5%. H1 direct premiums written increased 14.2%. Management cited growth, rate increases, and slightly improved retention.
  • Claims were the main pressure on earnings. Q2 net losses and loss-adjustment expenses rose 33.6% to $151.3 million; management attributed the increase to higher core losses, $17.0 million of weather losses above expected levels, and business growth. The core loss ratio increased from 37% to 40%.
  • For H1, net losses and loss-adjustment expenses rose 26.5% to $286.4 million. The period included $18.0 million of weather losses above expected levels and $4.8 million of net adverse prior-year reserve development, principally from revised hurricane loss estimates. Q2 net adverse development was $0.5 million.
  • Management highlighted elevated Florida claim frequency and severity, represented and litigated claims, and assignment-of-benefits disputes. A 12.4% Florida homeowners rate increase was approved, effective May 2020 for new business and July 2020 for renewals; the company also changed underwriting guidelines and expanded claims and litigation management efforts.
  • The 2020–2021 reinsurance program began June 1. Its projected combined cost for the insurance entities was $494 million, approximately 34.6% of estimated direct premiums earned for the treaty year. UPCIC’s first-event tower extends to $3.26 billion. Multi-year reinsurance commitments include $128.3 million in 2021 and $71.3 million in 2022.
  • Management reported no material COVID-19 impact through Q2, but increased cash as a precaution, paused purchases of equity securities, and accumulated cash as investments matured or paid down. It cautioned that lower reinvestment yields could reduce investment income and that the pandemic’s longer-term effects remain uncertain. Premium-payment grace periods and late-fee waivers were implemented; management had not seen significant use as of the filing.

Outlook, risks, and contingencies

  • The filing provides no earnings or revenue guidance. Management was cautiously optimistic about renewals and premium production but said it would monitor COVID-19, the economy, liquidity, and capital resources.
  • Key risks include catastrophe losses exceeding retained or reinsured amounts, reinsurance availability, pricing and collection risk, Florida geographic concentration, reserve-estimation uncertainty, investment-market and interest-rate volatility, and litigation and regulatory developments.
  • The company reported that both insurance entities exceeded minimum statutory capital requirements. UPCIC could pay $12.1 million of ordinary dividends in 2020 without prior regulatory approval; APPCIC had no such ordinary-dividend capacity. No dividends were paid by the insurance entities to their parent in the first half.
  • Management considered reasonably estimable possible losses from legal proceedings immaterial, while noting actual losses could vary and exceed accrued amounts. The company also disclosed $856.3 million of contractual obligations, including reinsurance commitments and estimated unpaid losses.
  • The board declared a $0.16-per-share Q3 2020 dividend, payable August 7, 2020. The company repurchased 884,175 shares for $16.6 million during H1 under its share-repurchase program.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether higher Florida claims costs, litigation, weather losses, and adverse reserve development continue to pressure loss and combined ratios, and whether approved rate increases and claims actions improve results.
  • Whether the reinsurance program delivers the disclosed catastrophe protection at its projected cost, and the company’s exposure to reinsurer nonpayment or losses beyond coverage.
  • Whether premium collections, liquidity, and investment income withstand the ongoing economic effects of COVID-19 and lower interest rates.
  • How the $494 million reinsurance cost and $199.6 million of future multi-year reinsurance commitments affect cash needs and margins.
  • The Q2 share-repurchase disclosures differ on average price: the MD&A highlights $17.53, while the quarterly repurchase table reports $17.50. Verify the correct figure; both report 572,068 shares repurchased.