WELLS FARGO & COMPANY quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

Wells Fargo & Company — Q3 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2012. Wells Fargo is a diversified financial services company; it reported $1.375 trillion in assets at quarter-end.

Financial performance and condition

MetricQ3 2012Comparable period
Total revenue$21.213 billion$19.628 billion in Q3 2011; up 8%
Net income$4.937 billion$4.055 billion in Q3 2011; up 22%
Net income applicable to common stock$4.717 billion$3.839 billion in Q3 2011
Diluted EPS$0.88$0.72 in Q3 2011
Net interest income$10.662 billion$10.542 billion in Q3 2011
Noninterest income$10.551 billion$9.086 billion in Q3 2011
Noninterest expense$12.112 billion$11.677 billion in Q3 2011; up 4%
Provision for credit losses$1.591 billion$1.811 billion in Q3 2011
Net interest margin3.66%3.84% in Q3 2011
Efficiency ratio57.1%59.5% in Q3 2011

For the first nine months of 2012, revenue was $64.138 billion, net income was $13.807 billion, diluted EPS was $2.45, and net interest margin was 3.82%. Year-over-year changes were +6%, +17%, +17%, and down 14 basis points, respectively.

Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $50.2 billion, investing cash flow was negative $85.8 billion, and financing cash flow was positive $33.1 billion. Cash and due from banks fell $2.5 billion from year-end 2011 to $17.0 billion. Operating cash flow included substantial mortgage origination and sale activity.

Balance sheet and funding: Total assets were $1.375 trillion, loans $782.6 billion, deposits $952.2 billion, short-term borrowings $52.0 billion, and long-term debt $130.8 billion. Core deposits were $901.1 billion, or 115% of average loans. The allowance for loan losses was $17.4 billion, 2.22% of loans.

Capital: Tier 1 capital ratio was 11.50%, total capital ratio 14.51%, Tier 1 leverage ratio 9.40%, and Basel I Tier 1 common equity ratio 9.92%. Management estimated a Basel III Tier 1 common equity ratio of 8.02%, based on proposed rules and subject to change.

Material changes versus prior periods

  • Higher mortgage banking and trading income were major contributors to Q3 revenue growth. Mortgage banking income rose 53% year over year to $2.8 billion; originations were $139 billion, up 56%.
  • Trading gains were $529 million, versus a $442 million loss in Q3 2011. Mortgage loan origination and sales gains were $2.610 billion, versus $803 million.
  • Net interest income grew modestly, but margin declined as higher-yielding assets ran off and deposit growth kept short-term investments elevated.
  • Credit quality generally improved: year-over-year net charge-offs fell to $2.4 billion from $2.6 billion, and nonperforming assets were $25.3 billion versus $26.0 billion at December 31, 2011. Core loans and deposits grew; total loans rose 3% year over year.
  • Reported credit metrics were affected by new OCC guidance: $1.4 billion of performing consumer loans moved to nonaccrual, $567 million of charge-offs were recorded, and $4.3 billion of loans were classified as troubled debt restructurings. Excluding those charge-offs, the annualized net charge-off rate was 0.92%, versus the reported 1.21%.
  • Card fees fell 27% in Q3, primarily reflecting lower debit interchange rates under Durbin Amendment rules. Noninterest expense increased, partly from higher personnel and mortgage-volume costs; merger integration costs declined after completion of Wachovia integration activities.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management targeted an efficiency ratio of 55%–59% and expected to remain within that range in Q4 2012. Q3’s 57.1% was the lowest in 10 quarters.
  • Management expected continued net interest margin pressure in the low-rate environment. It anticipated future allowance releases absent significant economic deterioration or material Hurricane Sandy effects.
  • Hurricane Sandy occurred after quarter-end. The company was assessing exposure, primarily in consumer and commercial real estate lending, but could not reasonably estimate potential losses.
  • The mortgage repurchase liability was $2.033 billion, up from $1.326 billion at year-end 2011. The high end of reasonably possible losses in excess of the recorded liability was $2.5 billion. Repurchase demands, housing conditions, appeals outcomes, and counterparty recoveries remain uncertain.
  • Mortgage servicing and foreclosure matters include a federal/state settlement with approximately $5.3 billion of program commitments. Separately, Wells Fargo paid $175 million in Q3 under a DOJ settlement concerning mortgage pricing and product placement allegations, which the company denied.
  • For litigation matters, the high end of reasonably possible losses beyond recorded liabilities was $1.2 billion. The company said an unfavorable resolution could materially affect results in a particular period, though it did not expect a material adverse effect on consolidated financial position.
  • Other risks include housing and economic conditions, mortgage servicing and repurchase obligations, legal and regulatory developments, low rates, market volatility, cyber and operational risks, and evolving Basel III and Dodd-Frank requirements.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether mortgage banking volumes and elevated origination gains persist, and how retention of conforming mortgages affects future spread income and fees.
  • Underlying credit trends after separating OCC-guidance effects, especially nonaccruals, charge-offs, TDRs, allowance releases, and mortgage performance.
  • Ultimate mortgage repurchase losses relative to the $2.033 billion reserve and $2.5 billion reasonably possible excess-loss estimate.
  • Progress and financial effects of mortgage servicing settlement commitments, related operating costs, and remaining legal exposures.
  • Net interest margin, deposit costs, and earnings sensitivity as assets and liabilities reprice; the filing forecasts continued margin pressure.
  • Potential Hurricane Sandy credit losses and the effect on the allowance, which management could not estimate at filing.
  • Capital ratios under final regulatory rules and any effects on distributions, repurchases, or funding requirements.