Soybeans Falling on Friday as USDA Increases Production

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Soybeans Falling on Friday as USDA Increases Production

Soybeans are giving all to the Thursday strength back, with midday losses of 20 to 30 cents on Friday. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price is down 29 3/4 cents at $12.44 ¾. Soymeal futures are down $3.20, as Soy Oil is posting 192 point loses. There was just 1 delivery issued against September soybeans overnight, with 3 for soybean meal and 134 deliveries against September bean oil. They expire on Monday.

USDA’s monthly Crop Production report showed soybean yield at 52.8 bpa, up 0.1 bpa from the August projection and compared to estimates of 52.4 bpa. Production was 16 mbu higher to 4.535 bbu, as harvested acres were also raised by 100,000 acres to 85.881 million acres.  

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Old crop US stocks were unchanged this month at 325 mbu. With the increase to production, USDA cut carryout for 2026/27 soybeans by 10 mbu to 310 mbu as exports were raised by 10 mbu. Monthly WASDE data showed the 2025/26 world ending stocks estimate up 0.15 MMT to 125.27 MMT, as new crop was down 0.19 MMT to 124.02 MMT. 

Weekly Export Sales data from this morning showed 175,309 MT in net cancellations for the week of 9/3 for old crop, fitting with estimates looking for no sales to net cancellations of 500,000 MT. New crop sales were seen at 2.637 MMT, exceeding the expected range of 1 to 2.6 MMT in the week of September 3, as 672,381 MT were rolled over from unshipped 2025/26 sales. 

Soybean meal sales in the week of 9/3 came in at 42,552 MT for 2025/26, with 284,535 MT for 2026/27 and in the middle of the expected range of 150,000 to 950,000 MT. Bean oil sales were tallied at just 83 MT, vs, estimates of 0 to 12,000 MT.

Sep 26 Soybeans  are at $12.96, down 20 cents,

Nearby Cash  is at $12.44 3/4, down 29 3/4 cents,

Nov 26 Soybeans  are at $13.02 3/4, down 29 1/2 cents,

Jan 27 Soybeans  are at $13.18, down 29 1/4 cents,


On the date of publication, Austin Schroeder did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

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