RLI Trading at a Premium to Industry: How Should You Play the Stock?

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RLI Trading at a Premium to Industry: How Should You Play the Stock?

RLI Corp. RLI shares are trading at a premium to the Zacks Property and Casualty Insurance industry. Its price-to-book value of 3.15X is higher than the industry average of 1.46X.

Shares of The Travelers Companies, Inc. TRV, W.R. Berkley Corporation WRB and Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF are also trading at a multiple higher than the industry average.

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RLI shares have lost 12% in the past year against the industry’s return of 6.6%. 

With a market capitalization of $5.65 billion, the average volume of shares traded in the last three months was 0.9 million.

RLI Trading Above 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Averages

Shares of RLI closed at $61.46 and are trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at $53.44 and $59.14, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum. SMA is a widely used technical analysis tool to predict future price trends by analyzing historical price data.

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RLI’s Growth Projection Encourages

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RLI’s 2026 revenues is pegged at $1.83 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 3.2%. 
The consensus estimate for 2027 earnings per share and revenues indicates an increase of 0.6% and 3%, respectively, from the corresponding 2026 estimates.

RLI’s Favorable Return on Capital

RLI’s return on equity (ROE) has also been improving over the last few quarters, reflecting its efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds. The trailing 12 months ROE was 17.7%, which compared favorably with the industry average of 7.4%.

Average Target Price for RLI Suggests Upside

Based on short-term price targets offered by five analysts, the Zacks average price target is $64 per share. The average suggests a potential 5.5% upside from the last closing price.

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Factors Acting in Favor of RLI

RLI continues to grow through product diversification. Its compelling product portfolio, focus on introducing new products, re-underwriting of several of its products, sturdy business expansion, sustained rate increase and expanded distribution position this insurer well to generate an improved top line. 

A conservative underwriting and reserving policy helps RLI achieve favorable reserve releases from the prior years despite incurring catastrophe losses.

RLI is one of the industry’s most profitable P&C writers, with an impressive track record of delivering 29 consecutive years of underwriting profitability.

This insurer has been enhancing shareholders' value by distributing wealth in the form of dividend hikes, special dividends and share buybacks. It boasts an impressive dividend track record. It has paid dividends for 198 consecutive quarters and increased regular dividends in each of the last 50 years, making the stock an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors. 

The insurer has been strengthening its balance sheet by improving liquidity and leverage. A sound capital structure helps it meet the interests of its policyholders, enhance operations in the insurance sector and drive its book value for the long term.

End Notes

RLI is one of the industry’s most profitable P&C writers, with an impressive track record of delivering 30 consecutive years of underwriting profitability. A strong local branch office network, a broad range of product offerings, and a focus on specialty insurance lines should continue to contribute to its superior profitability. The stock's impressive dividend history makes it an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors. 

Given its premium valuation, it is prudent to wait for a better entry point for this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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RLI Corp. (RLI): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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