ARROW FINANCIAL CORP quarterly report, Q2 FY2013

Arrow Financial Corporation — Q2 2013 Form 10-Q

Business and period: Arrow is a New York-based bank holding company with two banking subsidiaries and related insurance, investment-advisory, and other businesses. This unaudited filing covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2013; dollar amounts below are in millions unless otherwise stated.

Financial performance and condition

MetricQ2 2013 / June 30, 2013Comparable period / change
Net income$5.207; diluted EPS $0.43Q2 2012: $5.594; $0.47 EPS
Net interest income$13.586 GAAP; $14.766 tax-equivalentTax-equivalent amount down 3.0% year over year
Net interest margin2.99% tax-equivalent3.26% in Q2 2012
Noninterest income / expense$7.071 / $13.274Income up 3.9%; expense up 4.9% year over year
Total assets$2,083.2Up 5.9% from June 30, 2012
Loans / deposits$1,204.7 / $1,779.9Loans up 5.1%; deposits up 4.4% year over year
Cash and cash equivalents$44.6$57.8 at June 30, 2012
Stockholders’ equity$177.6Book value $14.75 per share; tangible book value $12.56

For the six months, net income was $10.388 and diluted EPS was $0.86, versus $10.882 and $0.91 in 2012. Tax-equivalent net interest income declined 3.0% to $29.586, and margin fell to 3.05% from 3.29%. Noninterest income rose 6.6% to $14.245, while noninterest expense increased 3.4% to $26.685. Return on average assets and equity were 1.01% and 11.78%, respectively, for the half-year, down from 1.11% and 12.95%.

Six-month operating cash flow was $18.6; investing activities used $78.5, principally reflecting securities purchases and loan growth; financing activities provided $55.6, including deposit growth. Cash and cash equivalents declined $4.2 from year-end to $44.6.

At quarter-end, borrowings included $14.7 of federal funds and repurchase agreements, $40.0 of overnight FHLB advances, $30.0 of FHLB term advances, and $20.0 of junior subordinated obligations. Regulatory capital ratios were 9.19% Tier 1 leverage, 14.82% Tier 1 risk-based, and 15.96% total risk-based at the holding company; Arrow and both banks were classified as well-capitalized.

Material changes and asset quality

  • Q2 net income declined 6.9% and diluted EPS declined 8.5% year over year. Management attributed the decline principally to margin compression: earning-asset yields fell faster than funding costs.
  • Q2 tax-equivalent net interest margin fell 27 basis points year over year to 2.99%. The yield on earning assets declined to 3.44% from 3.96%, while the cost of interest-bearing liabilities fell to 0.54% from 0.84%.
  • Loan growth was led by automobile lending; period-end loans increased 2.8% from year-end, including a $26.0 increase in automobile loans. Deposits rose 2.8% from year-end, mainly from non-municipal deposits.
  • Nonperforming loans were $6.812 (0.57% of loans), and nonperforming assets were $7.987 (0.38% of assets). The allowance was $14.678, or 1.22% of loans and 215.47% of nonperforming loans. Q2 net charge-offs were $25 thousand.
  • First-half net charge-offs were $820 thousand, including a $753 thousand commercial loan charge-off in Q1 that had been fully reserved at year-end 2012. Management cautioned that full-year charge-offs could exceed the company’s recent historically low range.

Outlook, risks, and unusual items

  • Outlook: No numerical earnings or growth guidance is provided. Management said margin pressure may continue and gave no assurance that net interest income or earnings would resume growth. Long-term market rates rose late in Q2 after Federal Reserve comments on potentially reducing asset purchases; the duration and effect of the move remained uncertain.
  • Interest-rate and market risk: Management noted that deposit costs could reprice faster than asset yields if rates rise, while continued asset repricing and reinvestment could further compress margins. A modeled 200-basis-point rate increase reduced projected net interest income by 3.68%; a modeled decline in long-term rates increased it by 0.97%. These are scenario estimates, not forecasts.
  • Liquidity: Management reported no liquidity problems and considered funding adequate. Available sources included $222.3 of unused FHLB borrowing capacity, $285.6 available under Federal Reserve facilities, and $30.0 of correspondent-bank federal funds lines.
  • Credit and lending risks: A weaker regional or national economy could raise delinquencies, charge-offs, provisioning, and asset-maintenance costs. Management described loan demand as modest in several categories and competition as intense. Municipal deposits are seasonal and may be affected by competition or changes in municipal finances.
  • Securities and equity: Net unrealized securities losses reduced accumulated other comprehensive income by $3.3 during the first half, primarily as market yields increased. Management considered securities impairments temporary, reported no other-than-temporary impairment losses, and said it did not expect to be required to sell impaired securities before recovery.
  • Other items: Q2 2012 included a $294 thousand pre-tax reversal of a Visa litigation reserve, contributing to higher year-over-year expense in 2013. In Q2 2013, Arrow sold certain held-to-maturity securities after ratings fell below its investment threshold, citing an allowable accounting exception. New regulatory capital rules begin phasing in for Arrow in 2015; management estimated the company would have exceeded the new minimums and conservation buffer using June 2013 figures.
  • Management reported no material pending legal proceedings beyond routine business litigation and no material changes to the risk factors in its 2012 Form 10-K. The interim financial statements received a review, not an audit; the independent accountant reported no material modifications needed.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether margin compression persists and how changes in market rates affect asset yields, deposit costs, and loan demand.
  • Whether the loan-loss allowance remains adequate in light of the Q1 commercial charge-off, delinquencies, and future economic conditions.
  • Whether deposit growth and seasonal municipal balances support funding needs without increased reliance on borrowings.
  • How rising market yields affect securities fair values, accumulated other comprehensive income, and liquidity flexibility.
  • Progress and implications of the regulatory capital rules taking effect from 2015, and the sustainability of dividends and share repurchases.