Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd. current report, Q4 FY2012

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: BioCancell Ltd. (formerly BioCancell Therapeutics Inc.)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Translation of Quarterly Report)
Reporting Period: Nine months and three months ended September 30, 2012
Business Overview: A clinical-stage biotechnology company developing targeted cancer therapies. The company completed a restructuring on August 14, 2012, merging with BioCancell USA to become a public company listed on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE). The company has no revenue and is focused on the development of drug candidates BC-819 (for bladder, pancreatic, and ovarian cancer) and BC-821 (a next-generation candidate).

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (NIS Thousands) 9 Months Ended Sept 30, 2012 9 Months Ended Sept 30, 2011 3 Months Ended Sept 30, 2012 3 Months Ended Sept 30, 2011
Revenue 0 0 0 0
Net Loss (18,746) (11,347) (3,051) (2,256)
R&D Expenses (Net) (9,693) (8,018) (1,366) (3,155)
Admin & General Expenses (4,365) (5,447) (972) (1,665)
Financing Expenses (Net) (4,688) 2,118 (Income) (713) 2,564 (Income)
Cash & Equivalents (Sept 30, 2012) 1,772 - - -
Working Capital (46,611) (13,043) - -
Current Ratio 28% 19% - -

Note: All figures are in NIS thousands. Financing expenses include significant non-cash fair value adjustments on convertible notes and warrants.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Net Loss Increase: Net loss for the nine months increased by approximately 65% compared to the prior year, driven primarily by a shift from financing income to financing expenses due to fair value adjustments on financial instruments.
  • R&D Expenses: Net R&D expenses increased 21% year-over-year for the nine-month period due to higher costs for Phase IIb pancreatic cancer trials, partially offset by the completion of bladder and ovarian cancer trials.
  • Quarterly R&D Decrease: For the three months ended September 30, 2012, net R&D expenses decreased 57% compared to the prior year quarter, attributed to the completion of patient recruitment for bladder cancer trials and the conclusion of ovarian cancer trials.
  • Financing Activity: The company converted or repaid significant convertible loans in July 2012, reducing long-term liabilities but incurring fair value losses in the current period.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Clinical Development Outlook

  • Bladder Cancer (Phase IIb): Recruitment completed. Full results expected in Q2 2013. Interim results showed 63% of patients had no recurrence after 3 months.
  • Pancreatic Cancer (Phase IIb): Recruitment completed. Full results expected in Q1 2013. Interim results showed 4 of 6 treated patients had tumor shrinkage or stable disease.
  • Ovarian Cancer (Phase I/IIa): Trial concluded successfully; full report submitted to regulators. Future development decisions pending.
  • BC-821: The company plans to develop production processes for this new candidate to commence pre-clinical trials, aiming to start clinical trials in early 2014.

Liquidity and Capital

  • Going Concern: The filing explicitly states significant doubt regarding the company's ability to continue as a "going concern" without additional capital.
  • Recent Fundraising: In November 2012 (subsequent to the period end), the company raised NIS 15.7 million via a public offering. Management estimates current resources will suffice until June 2013.
  • Loans: The company secured short-term loans from Clal Biotechnology Industries Ltd. (CBI) totaling up to NIS 5 million in August and September 2012.

Risks and Contingencies

  • Merger Discussions: Preliminary discussions regarding a potential merger with Proteologics Ltd. are ongoing but are in early stages with no guarantees of consummation.
  • Regulatory Risk: Continued development depends on obtaining regulatory approvals and achieving positive clinical trial results.
  • Foreign Exchange: The company has significant exposure to USD/ILS exchange rate fluctuations regarding liabilities and grant repayments.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Cash Runway: Verify the sufficiency of the NIS 15.7 million raised in November 2012 to cover operations through June 2013 as projected.
  • Clinical Trial Results: Monitor the release of full Phase IIb results for bladder cancer (expected Q2 2013) and pancreatic cancer (expected Q1 2013).
  • Merger Status: Track the progress of the potential merger with Proteologics Ltd., noting the involvement of an independent committee due to related-party interests.
  • Debt Obligations: Confirm the repayment terms and status of the short-term loans from CBI and any remaining convertible liabilities.
  • Going Concern Status: Assess whether the company can secure additional funding before the projected cash depletion date to avoid insolvency risks.