Fox Corp quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Business context and reporting period

Fox Corporation’s Form 10-Q covers the quarter and nine months ended March 31, 2019, the third quarter of fiscal 2019. The supplied “2018 Q3” metadata does not match the filing period. FOX became a standalone, publicly traded company on March 19, 2019, separating from Twenty-First Century Fox (21CF) as part of the Disney transaction. The business comprises Cable Network Programming, Television, and Other, Corporate and Eliminations.

Fiscal 2019 results are consolidated after the separation; prior-period results are combined historical results of the businesses transferred from 21CF. Pre-separation corporate costs were allocated, and management cautions that historical results may not reflect the costs of operating independently.

Financial results

Amounts are in millions of dollars except per-share data. Comparisons are with the corresponding 2018 period.

MetricThree months ended Mar. 31, 2019Three months ended Mar. 31, 2018Nine months ended Mar. 31, 2019Nine months ended Mar. 31, 2018
Revenue$2,752$2,463$8,876$7,759
Income before tax$706$654$1,568$1,577
Net income$539$466$1,178$1,748
Net income attributable to FOX stockholders$529$457$1,141$1,716
Diluted EPS$0.85$0.74$1.84$2.76
Total Segment EBITDA$766$706$1,972$1,852
  • Quarterly revenue rose 12%; nine-month revenue rose 14%. Growth reflected higher advertising, affiliate fees and other revenue.
  • Quarterly Segment EBITDA increased 8%; nine-month Segment EBITDA increased 6%. As a share of revenue, it was approximately 27.8% for the quarter versus 28.7%, and 22.2% for nine months versus 23.9%. Segment EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure and excludes, among other items, depreciation, impairment, interest, other items and taxes.
  • Quarterly stockholder net income increased 16%. For nine months it fell 34%, principally because the prior-year period included a $624 million provisional Tax Act benefit.
  • Operating expenses increased 15% for the quarter and 18% for nine months, driven mainly by sports rights amortization and production costs; they also include a $55 million write-down of entertainment and syndicated programming rights. SG&A rose 4% and 8%, respectively.

Segments

  • Cable Network Programming: Revenue was $1,383 million for the quarter, up 4%, and $4,082 million for nine months, up 8%. Segment EBITDA rose 7% and 9%, respectively, supported by affiliate fees and advertising. Management cited subscriber declines at traditional distributors, partly offset by online distributors, and higher sports and news costs.
  • Television: Revenue was $1,370 million for the quarter, up 20%, and $4,796 million for nine months, up 20%. Segment EBITDA rose 22% for the quarter but fell 4% for nine months as higher expenses, including the programming-rights write-down, more than offset revenue growth. Advertising benefited from NFL programming, midterm political spending, and entertainment programming; comparisons also reflected the prior-year Winter Olympics airing elsewhere.

Cash flow, debt and liquidity

  • Nine-month operating cash flow was $1,624 million, versus $785 million. Investing used $311 million, versus providing $197 million; financing used $995 million, versus providing $780 million. Cash increased by $318 million to $2,818 million from June 30, 2018.
  • At March 31, cash was $2,818 million and current assets were $5,964 million against current liabilities of $1,297 million. The balance sheet reported $6,750 million of borrowings, net of debt issuance costs; the $6.8 billion face amount consists of fixed-rate senior notes due 2022–2049. Their disclosed fair value was $7,320 million.
  • FOX had an undrawn $1.0 billion unsecured revolving facility maturing in March 2024 and reported compliance with its covenants. The $1.7 billion bridge facility arranged for the transaction was terminated without borrowing. Credit ratings were Baa2/BBB, both with stable outlooks.
  • FOX issued $6.8 billion of notes in January 2019 and used proceeds and cash to fund the transaction dividend and related costs. It paid 21CF an $8.5 billion dividend and received $2.0 billion from Disney, a net cash effect reducing the dividend. A $6.5 billion transaction-tax determination included an approximately $700 million prepayment subject to adjustment.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • No formal revenue or earnings guidance is provided. Management expects to invest approximately $150–$200 million in standalone technical facilities over the two years after separation. It estimates that the tax basis step-up may generate about $1.5 billion of annual tax deductions and reduce annual cash taxes by approximately $360 million at the stated tax rate; estimates depend on final appraisals and other adjustments.
  • Management attributes revenue growth to contractual affiliate-rate increases, sports and political advertising, and digital content licensing. It noted moderating sequential affiliate-fee growth as prior-year rate increases are lapped. Risks include traditional subscriber declines, advertising-market weakness, competition and consumer shifts, sports-rights costs and renewals, standalone costs, reliance on transition services, and tax and separation-related liabilities.
  • Other, net included $204 million of quarterly unrealized investment gains ($132 million for nine months), primarily from Roku fair-value changes, alongside transaction costs of $106 million for the quarter and $184 million for nine months. The nine-month tax expense was $390 million versus a prior-year tax benefit of $171 million.
  • After the quarter, FOX announced a sports-wagering partnership with The Stars Group and a $236 million investment for a 4.99% stake. Also after quarter-end, on May 2, 2019, a court vacated the entire approximately $129 million punitive-damages award in the Bones profits-participant matter. FOX News-related employment claims and regulatory inquiries remain; the company said recorded and settled amounts were not material and it could not estimate potential liability.
  • Total firm commitments and future debt payments were approximately $41 billion at March 31, 2019, up from $32 billion at June 30, 2018. The increase mainly reflected the notes issuance and expanded, extended sports-rights arrangements, including MLB rights through the 2028 season.
  • FOX reported effective disclosure controls. It is continuing to build standalone processes and controls following separation. A temporary stockholder-rights plan and dual-class voting structure may affect takeover prospects and shareholder influence; the Murdoch Family Trust held approximately 38.4% of Class B shares immediately following the distribution.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Confirm the reporting period: this is the quarter ended March 31, 2019, not 2018 Q3; assess comparability given the March 2019 separation and historical cost allocations.
  2. Track affiliate-fee growth, traditional and online distributor subscriber trends, advertising demand, and sports-rights costs against revenue and segment EBITDA.
  3. Reconcile reported earnings and cash generation for investment fair-value gains, the programming-rights write-down, transaction costs, and the prior-year Tax Act benefit.
  4. Review debt service, covenant headroom, programming and other firm commitments, and the final adjustment to the transaction-tax prepayment.
  5. Monitor standalone transition costs and facility investment, the estimated tax benefits, material litigation or regulatory developments, and the FOX Bet investment and partnership execution.