Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Golar LNG Ltd.
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Interim Results)
Reporting Period: Quarter ended September 30, 2017 (3Q 2017)
Business Overview: Golar LNG is transitioning from a mid-stream shipping company to a fully integrated gas-to-wire energy company. Key strategic assets include the FLNG vessel Hilli Episeyo (Hilli), the OneLNG upstream joint venture, and the Golar Power downstream joint venture.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric (in thousands) | 3Q 2017 | 2Q 2017 | YTD 3Q 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Operating Revenues | $32,432 | $28,408 | $85,950 |
| EBITDA (Non-GAAP) | ($5,511) | ($6,604) | N/A |
| Operating Loss | ($22,896) | ($23,970) | ($88,256) |
| Net Loss Attributable to Golar | ($43,875) | ($73,808) | ($183,526) |
| Unrestricted Cash | $286,562 | N/A | N/A |
| Current Portion of Long-Term Debt | $1,102,560 | N/A | N/A |
Note: EBITDA is defined as operating loss before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization. The current portion of debt includes $702.1 million related to lessor-owned subsidiaries consolidated under US GAAP; underlying exposure is approximately $400.5 million.
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Operating Performance: Operating loss narrowed to $22.9 million from $24.0 million in 2Q 2017. EBITDA improved to a loss of $5.5 million from $6.6 million.
- Revenue: Total operating revenues increased $4.0 million to $32.4 million, driven by a $1.0 million rise in time charter revenues due to improved utilization late in the quarter.
- Expenses: Voyage expenses increased $1.3 million to $13.1 million, largely due to repositioning and cool-down costs for the Golar Tundra. Vessel operating expenses rose $1.7 million to $13.8 million due to fleet management and maintenance costs.
- Net Loss: Net loss attributable to Golar decreased significantly to $43.9 million from $73.8 million. This improvement was driven by:
- A $7.1 million decrease in interest expense (partially due to capitalization of deemed interest on the Golar Power investment).
- $4.4 million in non-cash financial income from mark-to-market gains on Total Return Swaps (TRS), interest rate swaps, and IDR Earn-Out Units.
- A $5.9 million equity loss in affiliates, primarily from Golar Power and OneLNG.
Guidance, Outlook, and Management Commentary
Strategic Transformation
Management emphasizes a transition to an integrated energy model. Key building blocks include:
- FLNG Hilli: Arrived in Cameroon in November 2017. Production of first commercial LNG is anticipated around year-end 2017. Expected to generate ~$164 million annual operating cash flow over 8 years.
- OneLNG (Fortuna Project): Final Investment Decision (FID) expected in early 2018. First gas targeted for 2021.
- Golar Power (Sergipe Project): Financing expected to close in 1Q 2018. Project to commence in Jan 2020, generating ~$330 million annual operating cash flow (50% attributable to Golar).
Market Outlook
The LNG shipping market shows signs of recovery with demand exceeding supply growth for the first time since 2013. Spot rates have risen to 3-year highs. Management expects effective time charter rates in 4Q 2017 to be more than double those in 3Q 2017.
Risks and Contingencies
- Financing: Critical for the Fortuna project FID and Sergipe project completion.
- Commissioning: Timeliness of the Hilli commissioning and production start-up.
- Market Volatility: Fluctuations in LNG prices, charter rates, and vessel values.
- Counterparty Risk: Reliance on joint venture partners and contract counterparties.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Hilli Commissioning: Verify the timeline for the Notice of Readiness and first commercial LNG production in Cameroon.
- Debt Structure: Confirm the drawdown of the $960 million post-delivery sale and leaseback facility for Hilli and the reduction of the Letter of Credit (LC) from $400 million to $300 million.
- OneLNG Financing: Monitor progress on bank and alternative financing for the Fortuna project to ensure FID is achieved in early 2018.
- Golar Partners Transaction: Track the closing of the 50% equity interest sale of Hilli to Golar Partners (expected by April 30, 2018) and the impact on liquidity.
- Shipping Rates: Validate the sustainability of the reported increase in spot and time charter rates into 2018.