PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC annual report, FY2021

Papa John’s International, Inc. — Fiscal 2021 Form 10-K Summary

Business context and reporting period

Papa John’s operates and franchises pizza delivery, carryout and, in certain international markets, dine-in restaurants. The filing covers the 52-week fiscal year ended December 26, 2021, compared primarily with the 52-week fiscal year ended December 27, 2020.

  • System footprint increased to 5,650 restaurants in 50 countries and territories, comprising 600 company-owned and 5,050 franchised locations.
  • Net unit growth was 250, including 50 North American units and 200 international units.
  • The company has four reportable segments: Domestic Company-owned restaurants, North America franchising, North America commissaries and International operations.
  • Management emphasized menu innovation, digital ordering, customer loyalty, franchise development and international expansion. Over half of domestic sales originated through digital channels.

Financial performance and key metrics

Metric20212020Change
Total revenues$2.068 billion$1.813 billion14.1% increase
Operating income$168.2 million$90.3 million$78.0 million increase
Operating margin8.1%5.0%3.1 percentage-point improvement
Income before income taxes$150.9 million$75.4 million$75.5 million increase
Net income attributable to the Company$120.0 million$57.9 million107.1% increase
Net income attributable to common shareholders$4.1 million$41.7 millionLower due primarily to a $109.9 million preferred-stock redemption charge
GAAP diluted EPS$0.12$1.28Decline due primarily to the preferred-stock transaction
Adjusted diluted EPS$3.51$1.40Increase of $2.11
Cash flow from operating activities$184.7 million$186.4 millionSlight decrease
Free cash flow$109.7 million$137.1 millionDecrease primarily from higher capital expenditures

Revenue growth was driven by higher company-owned restaurant sales, franchise royalties, commissary volumes and pricing, international royalties and technology-related revenue. Approximately 47% of North America revenue in each of the last two fiscal years came from sales and services provided to franchisees, including commissary products, marketing fund contributions and technology services.

  • Total comparable sales growth was 12.1%; North America comparable sales grew 11.8% and international comparable sales grew 13.0%.
  • Domestic company-owned comparable sales grew 11.3%, while North America franchised comparable sales grew 12.0%.
  • Global system-wide restaurant sales increased 15.4%, excluding foreign currency effects.
  • Total costs and expenses declined to 91.9% of revenue from 95.0%, reflecting operating leverage and the absence of certain 2020 franchise assistance costs, partly offset by higher labor and commodity costs.
  • The effective tax rate declined to 17.2% from 19.6%, partly because of a $2.7 million benefit from finalization of the 2020 federal tax return and excess tax benefits from equity activity.

Liquidity, capital allocation and debt

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $70.6 million at year-end, compared with $130.2 million in 2020.
  • Outstanding debt was $490.0 million, consisting of $400.0 million of 3.875% senior notes due September 2029 and $90.0 million drawn under a $600.0 million revolving facility maturing September 2026.
  • Remaining revolver availability was approximately $510.0 million. The company reported a 2.0-to-1.0 leverage ratio versus a permitted maximum of 5.25-to-1.0 and a 5.0-to-1.0 interest coverage ratio versus a minimum of 2.0-to-1.0; all financial covenants were satisfied.
  • Financing cash outflows included $188.6 million to repurchase and convert all Series B Convertible Preferred Stock, $72.5 million of common-stock repurchases and $40.4 million of common dividends.
  • The Board authorized a $425.0 million common-stock repurchase program. Approximately $411.5 million remained available as of February 17, 2022, after additional post-year-end repurchases.
  • Annual common dividends increased from $0.90 to $1.40 per share during 2021; a $0.35 per-share first-quarter 2022 dividend was declared and paid in February 2022.
  • Management expects cash, operating cash flow and borrowing capacity to fund near-term cash requirements, dividends, interest payments and planned repurchases.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue, operating income and pre-tax income increased substantially, supported by continued pandemic-era demand, menu innovation, loyalty-program activity and unit growth.
  • Operating income excluding special items increased 88.4% to $181.3 million from $96.2 million.
  • The temporary franchise assistance program ended in the third quarter of 2020, improving 2021 franchise royalty rates and reducing discretionary marketing-fund support.
  • The company incurred $13.1 million of 2021 corporate reorganization costs related to its Atlanta office, compared with $6.0 million in 2020. Cumulative reorganization costs were approximately $19.1 million, and management stated that significant remaining costs were not expected.
  • Capital expenditures increased to $68.6 million from $35.7 million, primarily for company-owned restaurant development, technology upgrades, growth initiatives and the Atlanta office.
  • Debt increased from $350.0 million to $490.0 million as the company refinanced its credit structure and funded capital returns, including the preferred-stock transaction.
  • The Series B Convertible Preferred Stock was fully repurchased and converted in 2021; the transaction reduced GAAP diluted EPS by $3.10 per share.

Guidance, outlook, commentary and risks

  • Management did not provide a clear quantitative 2022 revenue or earnings outlook in the filing. It stated that annual comparable-sales and revenue growth rates achieved during the pandemic are not expected to continue at the same level.
  • Labor shortages, wage pressure, food-cost inflation, supply-chain disruptions and store-development constraints are expected to remain priorities in 2022.
  • Management expects 2022 capital expenditures of approximately $75 million to $85 million, primarily for company-owned stores and technology.
  • Projected 2022 cheese prices were materially above 2021 levels, increasing commodity-cost risk; management may use menu-price increases and cost reductions where competitive conditions permit.
  • Growth initiatives include agreements to open more than 220 international restaurants by 2025, 100 domestic restaurants by 2029 and more than 1,350 restaurants in South China by 2040.
  • Key risks include COVID-19 and other public-health developments, labor availability and costs, commodity inflation, reliance on a sole or limited number of suppliers, intense competition, franchisee financial health, foreign currency movements, cyber and technology disruptions, privacy regulation, food safety, litigation, insurance claims and debt covenant restrictions.
  • International operations represented approximately 7.3% of 2021 consolidated revenue. A 10% adverse foreign-currency movement was estimated to reduce annual revenue by approximately $15.6 million and operating income by approximately $3.3 million.
  • Material contingencies include approximately $88.1 million of insurance reserves, $47.9 million of net franchisee loans, approximately $11.5 million of maximum potential lease-guarantee payments and ongoing employment and antitrust litigation for which no liability was recorded because a loss was not considered probable or reasonably estimable.

Most important facts for an investor to verify

  • Reconcile GAAP EPS of $0.12 with adjusted EPS of $3.51 and understand the $109.9 million preferred-stock redemption charge.
  • Assess whether comparable-sales growth can be sustained as pandemic-related demand normalizes and labor, commodity and delivery costs remain elevated.
  • Review debt agreements, variable-rate exposure, interest-rate swaps, covenant headroom and the company’s continued use of debt to fund repurchases and dividends.
  • Evaluate the economic performance, financing capacity and execution ability of franchisees behind the announced domestic and international development pipeline.
  • Monitor 2022 capital expenditures, store openings, supply-chain reliability and the effect of higher projected cheese prices on restaurant and commissary margins.
  • Review insurance-reserve assumptions, franchisee-loan credit allowances and the status of disclosed litigation and lease guarantees.
  • Confirm the effect of future repurchases and dividends on liquidity, leverage and share count.