TFS Financial CORP annual report, FY2021

TFS Financial Corporation — FY2021 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. This annual filing covers the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021, rather than a calendar fourth quarter. TFS is a savings-and-loan holding company whose principal subsidiary, Third Federal Savings and Loan Association of Cleveland, focuses on residential mortgage lending and retail deposits, primarily in Ohio and Florida.

Key financial metrics

MetricFY2021 / September 30, 2021Prior comparable period
Total assets$14.06 billion$14.64 billion
Net interest income$231.6 million$242.3 million
Net income$81.0 million; diluted EPS $0.29$83.3 million; diluted EPS $0.29
Net interest margin / spread1.66% / 1.52%1.69% / 1.52%
Return on average assets / equity0.56% / 4.77%0.56% / 4.88%
Operating cash flow$83.2 million$121.8 million
Deposits / borrowed funds$8.99 billion / $3.09 billion$9.23 billion / $3.52 billion
Shareholders’ equity$1.73 billion; 12.3% of assets$1.67 billion
  • Revenue and expenses: Interest and dividend income fell 14% to $389.4 million, while interest expense fell 26% to $157.7 million. Non-interest income rose 4% to $55.3 million, including $33.1 million of net gains on loan sales. Non-interest expense increased 2% to $195.8 million.
  • Cash flow and liquidity: Investing activities provided $547.4 million and financing activities used $640.2 million; cash and cash equivalents declined $9.7 million to $488.3 million. Average liquidity ratio was 6.66% (management’s stated minimum target: 5%). The Association reported access to additional borrowing capacity of $4.34 billion at the FHLB and $245.7 million at the Federal Reserve discount window, subject to applicable terms and collateral.
  • Credit and capital: Loans, net, were $12.51 billion, down 5%. Non-accrual loans were $44.0 million, or 0.35% of loans; non-performing assets were 0.32% of total assets. The loan allowance was $64.3 million; the additional $25.0 million allowance for unfunded commitments brought total credit-loss allowances to $89.3 million. The Association’s total risk-based capital ratio was 21.00%, above the 10.00% well-capitalized threshold.

Material changes versus FY2020

  • Net income decreased $2.3 million, or about 3%. Lower asset yields and average loan balances reduced net interest income by $10.6 million, partly offset by lower funding costs.
  • Loan sales totaled $762.3 million versus $844.3 million in FY2020; the resulting net gain on loan sales increased to $33.1 million from $28.4 million. Loans held for investment, net, declined $594.0 million.
  • Deposits fell $231.9 million and FHLB borrowings fell $429.9 million. Certificates of deposit due within one year totaled $3.47 billion at year-end.
  • CECL adoption on October 1, 2020 increased the allowance at adoption by $46.1 million before tax and reduced opening retained earnings by $35.8 million after tax. FY2021 included a $9.0 million release of credit-loss provision, versus a $3.0 million provision in FY2020.
  • Shareholders’ equity increased $60.4 million, aided by net income and a $64.2 million improvement in accumulated other comprehensive loss; quarterly dividends declared totaled $1.1225 per share. No shares were repurchased during FY2021.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • Management gave no explicit earnings or revenue guidance. It plans to expand mortgage-loan sale activity in FY2022 and beyond, testing risk-based pricing and loan-level pricing adjustments outside Ohio and Florida; startup and marketing costs are expected but not to significantly affect FY2022 results.
  • Management identifies interest-rate risk, credit quality, liquidity/funding access and operating expenses as key areas to manage. In its modeled scenario, a gradual 200-basis-point rate increase would raise 12-month earnings at risk by 3.47%; an instantaneous 200-basis-point increase would reduce economic value of equity by 8.21%. These model estimates depend on assumptions and are not forecasts.
  • COVID-19 forbearance plans remained active for 149 customers with $21.8 million of loans at year-end, down from $165.6 million a year earlier. Their resolution could affect future delinquencies, charge-offs and provisions.
  • The Association received a second consecutive “Needs to Improve” Community Reinvestment Act rating. The filing says a possible FHLB restriction on advances with maturities over one year had not been imposed as of November 24, 2021; management expected no funding impact, but continued access is a risk to monitor.
  • Other principal risks include intense deposit and lending competition; margin sensitivity to rates and refinancing; concentrated residential real-estate exposure; reliance on secondary mortgage markets and potential loan repurchases; cyber and vendor risks; and regulatory, pandemic and weather-related risks. Legal proceedings in the ordinary course were not expected by management to have a material adverse effect.
  • The independent auditor issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal controls. The allowance for credit losses was identified as a critical audit matter, reflecting estimation and model complexity.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Review the composition, assumptions and sensitivity of the $89.3 million total credit-loss allowance, including the $25.0 million reserve for unfunded commitments, and the treatment and subsequent performance of COVID-19 relief loans.
  • Track deposit retention and repricing, especially the $3.47 billion of CDs maturing within one year, and verify whether the CRA rating affects access to longer-term FHLB advances.
  • Assess whether loan-sale gains and planned expansion of mortgage banking can offset pressure on net interest income and margins.
  • Monitor home-equity credit performance, loan concentrations in Ohio and Florida, interest-rate swap costs, and the modeled exposure to rate changes.
  • Verify future dividend capacity and policy: the mutual holding company controls approximately 80.9% of shares, and its dividend waivers require member approval and regulatory non-objection.