Biglari Holdings Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2023

Biglari Holdings Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Biglari Holdings is a diversified holding company with restaurant, property and casualty insurance, oil and gas, licensing and media, and investment partnership activities. The company is led by Sardar Biglari, who held approximately 66.3% of the economic interest and 70.4% of the voting interest as of September 30, 2023. This unaudited Form 10-Q covers the third quarter and first nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared with the corresponding 2022 periods.

Key financial metrics

  • Revenue: Third-quarter revenue was $90.9 million, down from $92.0 million; nine-month revenue was $274.7 million, up from $269.8 million.
  • Net earnings attributable to shareholders: Third-quarter loss was $56.5 million, or $(195.55) per equivalent Class A share, compared with earnings of $32.0 million, or $109.13 per share. Nine-month earnings were $10.3 million, or $35.44 per share, compared with a $42.1 million loss, or $(140.30) per share.
  • Primary earnings volatility: Investment partnership losses were $89.6 million in the third quarter and $24.5 million for the first nine months, compared with gains of $29.7 million and losses of $82.2 million, respectively, in the prior-year periods. The third-quarter investment partnership loss reduced net earnings by $68.4 million after tax.
  • Operating businesses: Net earnings contribution increased to $15.6 million in the third quarter and $29.3 million for the first nine months, from $9.6 million and $23.3 million, respectively. Nine-month contributions were $16.2 million from restaurants, $8.0 million from insurance, $18.5 million from oil and gas, and $0.1 million from brand licensing, partly offset by $13.0 million of corporate and other costs.
  • Restaurant operations: Revenue increased 4.1% in the third quarter and 4.4% for the first nine months. Nine-month restaurant earnings before tax rose to $20.8 million from $12.8 million. The restaurant base declined to 510 locations from 545 at December 31, 2022, including 159 company-operated and 315 franchise locations across Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin.
  • Insurance: Nine-month insurance earnings before tax increased to $10.1 million from $6.9 million. First Guard produced a $7.4 million underwriting gain, while Southern Pioneer had a $0.7 million underwriting loss.
  • Oil and gas: Nine-month revenue declined to $35.1 million from $38.6 million, but earnings before tax increased to $23.9 million from $19.6 million, primarily because of a $13.6 million gain on an Abraxas Petroleum royalty-based arrangement. The company noted an average West Texas Intermediate price of approximately $77.30 per barrel in the first nine months of 2023 versus $98.27 in 2022.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $48.7 million, down from $99.8 million, primarily because 2022 included $51.2 million of investment partnership distributions. Investing cash usage was $56.2 million, including $41.5 million of partnership investments and $16.9 million of capital expenditures. Financing provided $4.4 million.
  • Liquidity and investments: Cash and cash equivalents were $34.0 million, investments were $84.4 million, and the fair value of investment partnership interests was $445.7 million at September 30. Cash, investments, and partnership interests totaled $564.0 million before deducting $276.3 million representing company stock held by the partnerships.
  • Debt and leases: The company had $19.0 million outstanding under its $30.0 million revolving line of credit at 8.0% interest, versus $10.0 million at year-end 2022. Lease obligations totaled $103.7 million, comprising $15.2 million current and $88.4 million long term.
  • Balance sheet: Total assets were $827.2 million and total shareholders’ equity was $557.4 million at September 30, 2023. The company had no noncontrolling interests, compared with $8.6 million at December 31, 2022.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Third-quarter results moved from a $32.0 million profit to a $56.5 million loss, driven principally by the $89.6 million investment partnership loss.
  • Nine-month results improved from a $42.1 million loss to $10.3 million of earnings attributable to shareholders, reflecting stronger operating results and substantially lower investment partnership losses.
  • Restaurant operating performance improved, with lower operating costs as a percentage of company-operated sales, although the store count declined and traditional franchise royalties fell.
  • Insurance results improved, mainly because of better First Guard underwriting and lower prior-year claim development; Southern Pioneer remained unprofitable on an underwriting basis.
  • Oil and gas earnings benefited from the $13.6 million Abraxas transaction gain, while Southern Oil revenue and earnings declined substantially.
  • Cash and cash equivalents declined by $3.5 million from year-end, while investments and partnership interests increased. Borrowings under the revolving credit facility increased by $9.0 million.
  • The company acquired the remaining 10% of Abraxas Petroleum for $5.4 million on June 14, 2023, eliminating the related noncontrolling interest.

Guidance, outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • The filing does not provide quantitative revenue, earnings, or cash-flow guidance.
  • Management expects investment partnership gains and losses to continue causing significant earnings volatility because they include unrealized market-value changes. Management states that investment gains and losses are generally not meaningful for assessing underlying operating performance.
  • Oil and gas results remain highly dependent on volatile oil and natural gas prices. The filing also identifies commodity-price exposure, including the lower 2023 average oil price.
  • Steak n Shake had 27 closed company-operated stores at September 30, 2023. Three were contracted for sale, 16 were listed for lease or sale, and the remainder were expected to be reopened or refranchised.
  • The company recorded $2.4 million of store impairment charges during the first nine months and $13.6 million of oil and gas property-related gain. These items are unusual and affect comparability.
  • Southern Pioneer continued to report underwriting losses, primarily related to weather-related personal-line losses and higher expenses associated with a new policy administration system.
  • The $30.0 million revolving credit facility matures on September 12, 2024 and includes financial maintenance covenants. The company stated that it was in compliance with all covenants at September 30, 2023.
  • The company is subject to legal proceedings and unresolved claims, but management believes any liability beyond recorded amounts is unlikely to materially affect results, financial position, or cash flow.
  • Biglari Enterprises, an entity owned by Mr. Biglari, received $6.3 million in service fees during the first nine months of 2023. Investment-management and capital-allocation decisions are substantially centralized with Mr. Biglari.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Reconcile reported earnings with operating-business earnings by separately analyzing investment partnership mark-to-market results and related tax effects.
  2. Review the carrying value, liquidity, leverage, and concentration of the investment partnerships, including the company stock held by those partnerships.
  3. Assess the sustainability of restaurant earnings amid the continuing transition from company-operated stores to franchise partners and the reduction in total locations.
  4. Determine whether the Abraxas royalty arrangement and $13.6 million gain are nonrecurring and how future production and reserves may develop without company-funded exploration expenditures.
  5. Monitor oil and gas prices, production volumes, depletion expense, and Southern Oil’s declining revenue and earnings.
  6. Evaluate Southern Pioneer’s underwriting performance, reserve adequacy, weather exposure, and policy-system implementation costs.
  7. Confirm availability and covenant compliance under the revolving credit facility before its September 2024 maturity.
  8. Review related-party service fees, incentive arrangements, and the implications of Mr. Biglari’s controlling voting and economic interests.