CITIGROUP INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2014

Citigroup Inc. — Q1 2014 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2014. Citigroup is a global financial services holding company operating through Citicorp, its core consumer and institutional businesses, and Citi Holdings, a portfolio being wound down.

Financial results and position

MetricQ1 2014Comparison
Revenue, net of interest expense$20.124 billionDown 1% year over year
Net interest revenue$11.759 billionUp 1%; net interest margin was 2.90%, versus 2.88%
Operating expenses$12.149 billionDown 1%
Provisions for credit losses and benefits and claims$1.974 billionDown 20%
Income before tax / income tax$6.001 billion / $2.050 billionPre-tax income up 9%; tax expense up 31%
Citigroup net income$3.943 billionUp 4%; diluted EPS $1.23, unchanged
Operating cash flow from continuing operations$9.844 billionVersus $25.021 billion in Q1 2013
Total assets / deposits$1.895 trillion / $966.3 billionAssets up 1% and deposits up 3% year over year
Long-term debt$222.7 billionDown 5% year over year
Allowance for loan losses$18.9 billion; 2.87% of loansVersus $23.7 billion; 3.70% a year earlier
Estimated full-implementation Basel III ratiosTier 1 Common 10.47%; Tier 1 11.12%; Total Capital 12.53%; Supplementary Leverage 5.61%Company estimates
Liquidity resources / estimated Basel Committee LCR$424.8 billion / 120%HQLA exceeded estimated net outflows by $69.6 billion

Operating cash flow was substantially below the prior-year quarter; the filing’s cash-flow statement includes significant movements in trading assets and liabilities, repos and other working-capital items. The filing reports return on average assets of 0.85%, return on average common equity of 7.8%, and an efficiency ratio of 60%.

Material changes versus Q1 2013

  • Revenue declined modestly as lower North American mortgage origination activity, fixed-income market weakness and global spread compression outweighed growth in Citi Holdings.
  • Citicorp revenue fell 3% to $18.7 billion. ICG revenue fell 4% reported and 7% excluding CVA/DVA; fixed-income markets revenue declined 18% and investment banking revenue declined 10%.
  • Citi Holdings revenue rose 61% to $1.5 billion, and its reported net loss narrowed to $284 million from $804 million. Holdings assets fell 23% year over year to $114 billion. The revenue improvement included a roughly $75 million debt-transaction gain that Citi said was not expected to recur, as well as the absence of prior-year mortgage repurchase-reserve builds.
  • Net credit losses declined 15% to $2.4 billion; non-accrual assets fell 19% year over year to $9.0 billion. Corporate net credit losses increased to $145 million from $45 million.
  • Common stockholders’ equity rose 6% year over year to $201.2 billion. The estimated full-implementation Basel III Tier 1 Common ratio was 10.47%, compared with 9.34% a year earlier.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management described the operating environment as challenging and expected mortgage origination weakness, fixed-income market uncertainty and spread compression to continue affecting results during 2014. Legal and related expenses were also expected to remain elevated; Q1 costs were $945 million versus $710 million a year earlier. Repositioning charges were $211 million versus $148 million, with elevated Q2 charges expected, partly due to accelerated restructuring in Korea.
  • Reported results included a $210 million tax charge from state tax reforms. The effective tax rate was 34.2%, or 30.7% excluding that charge. Citi reduced net deferred tax assets by about $1.1 billion in the quarter; $51.7 billion remained at quarter-end.
  • The Federal Reserve objected to Citi’s 2014 CCAR capital plan, preventing the requested increase in shareholder capital returns. Citi could continue its existing $1.2 billion repurchase program and $0.01 quarterly common dividend through Q1 2015, subject to board approval. The filing says Citi would focus on addressing the Fed’s concerns for the 2015 CCAR process.
  • Citi recorded about $165 million of incremental Q1 credit costs related to the Pemex supplier program, including exposure to Oceanografía and uncertainty over Pemex’s payment obligations. U.S. and Mexican authorities were investigating; Citi said it was cooperating.
  • After quarter-end, Citi agreed to offer $1.125 billion, plus fees and expenses, to resolve certain legacy private-label mortgage securitization claims, subject to trustee acceptance and other conditions. The agreement covered 68 trusts that issued $59.4 billion of residential mortgage-backed securities; it did not cover CitiMortgage-sponsored private-label trusts.
  • Management highlighted risks from possible Russian sanctions and the Ukraine situation, foreign-exchange controls and devaluation in Argentina and Venezuela, and regulatory changes in multiple markets. Citi recorded a roughly $100 million foreign-exchange loss after beginning to remeasure Venezuelan bolivar monetary assets using the SICAD I rate.
  • Home equity lines of credit present potential reset risk: Citi estimated payments on HELOCs resetting in 2015–2017 could rise on average by about $360 per month, or 180%; higher rates could increase the impact. Citi also cited extensive litigation and regulatory proceedings and an estimated aggregate reasonably possible loss in excess of accruals of approximately $5 billion.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Citi can sustain earnings and cash generation as mortgage originations, fixed-income markets and global spreads remain pressured; assess the composition and repeatability of Q1 operating cash flow.
  • How much of the Citi Holdings improvement reflects recurring performance versus reserve timing, mark-to-market gains and the nonrecurring debt-transaction gain, and whether asset run-off continues.
  • Developments in the Federal Reserve’s CCAR objections, Citi’s 2015 capital plan, and the timing and limits of shareholder returns.
  • Actual outcomes and additional costs from legal matters, including the mortgage settlement proposal and Pemex-related investigations; compare losses with accruals and the disclosed possible-loss estimate.
  • Credit performance and reserve adequacy, especially in Mexico, corporate exposures and HELOCs approaching reset; monitor delinquencies and realized losses against management estimates.
  • Realizability of the $51.7 billion of net deferred tax assets and the effect of future tax-law or tax-rate changes on earnings and regulatory capital.
  • Liquidity and capital measures are estimates subject to regulatory interpretation and implementation; verify changes in Basel III requirements, liquidity rules and rating-related funding exposures.