GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

Graphic Packaging Holding Company — Q2 2016 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Unaudited quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016. The company provides paperboard packaging for food, beverage and other consumer products markets.

Financial results

MetricQ2 2016Q2 2015Six months 2016Six months 2015
Net sales$1,103.2 million$1,057.1 million$2,137.2 million$2,065.3 million
Income from operations$105.6 million$110.2 million$212.8 million$215.5 million
Net income$77.8 million$57.6 million$135.3 million$112.7 million
Diluted EPS$0.24$0.17$0.42$0.34
  • Q2 sales rose 4.4%; operating income fell 4.2%. Operating margin was approximately 9.6%, versus 10.4% a year earlier.
  • First-half sales rose 3.5%; operating income declined 1.3%. Operating margin was approximately 10.0%, versus 10.4%.
  • Net income increased despite lower operating income, helped by a $22.4 million discrete tax benefit related to an IRS agreement and use of previously expired net operating loss carryforwards. Q2 tax expense was $10.1 million, compared with $35.1 million in Q2 2015.
  • Net interest expense was $18.2 million in Q2 and $35.1 million for the first half, modestly higher year over year, primarily due to higher average debt.

Cash flow, balance sheet and liquidity

  • First-half operating cash flow was $247.0 million, up from $177.3 million. Investing cash outflow was $517.7 million, including $328.9 million for acquisitions and $186.0 million in capital investment. Financing cash inflow was $253.5 million. Cash declined by $16.2 million to $38.7 million.
  • At June 30, total debt was $2,250.6 million, including $61.8 million of short-term debt and current maturities; long-term debt was $2,212.9 million. Debt increased from $1,878.4 million at year-end 2015, primarily reflecting acquisition funding. Cash less total debt was approximately $2,211.9 million.
  • Current assets were $1,169.0 million and current liabilities $726.3 million. Revolving credit facilities had $805.9 million available, net of applicable reductions.
  • The company reported compliance with debt covenants: leverage ratio 2.75 versus a maximum of 4.25; interest coverage ratio 12.73 versus a minimum of 3.00. About 50.4% of debt was floating-rate.
  • Share repurchases totaled $79.7 million and dividends paid were $32.4 million in the first half. The quarterly dividend was $0.05 per share; approximately $105 million remained under the $250 million repurchase authorization.

Changes and operating drivers

  • Q2 sales benefited from acquisitions and higher beverage volumes, partly offset by lower pricing, unfavorable currency, weaker volume in some consumer products and asset closures. Acquisition-related sales were $73.1 million in Q2.
  • Operating income was pressured by approximately $15 million of downtime to upgrade the West Monroe, Louisiana paper machine, inflation, lower pricing and unfavorable currency. Productivity savings and acquisitions partly offset these items.
  • The company completed four 2016 acquisitions: Colorpak, Metro Packaging & Imaging, Walter G. Anderson and G-Box. Consideration was approximately $329 million net of acquired cash, with approximately $31 million of assumed debt. Purchase accounting remained preliminary.
  • Americas Paperboard Packaging improved, supported by acquisitions and operating performance. Paperboard Mills and Europe Paperboard Packaging operating income declined year over year.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • 2016 capital investment guidance: $280–$290 million. Depreciation and amortization guidance: $290–$310 million, excluding purchase-accounting effects from the 2016 acquisitions.
  • Management expected 2016 interest expense of $70–$80 million and $360–$380 million of cash flow available for net debt reduction, dividends and repurchases, excluding M&A and capital-market activity. Expected pension contributions were $40–$60 million.
  • The company expected to have $245–$295 million of U.S. federal NOLs remaining at year-end 2016 and did not expect to become a meaningful U.S. federal cash taxpayer until 2019, based on NOLs and other tax benefits.
  • Key exposures include raw-material and energy cost volatility, pricing and product substitution, consumer demand, competition, foreign exchange, acquisition integration, floating-rate debt, covenant restrictions and the ability to realize cost savings. The company hedged approximately 67% of expected natural-gas use for the remainder of 2016 and 29% for 2017.
  • Environmental investigations and ordinary-course lawsuits were disclosed; management said accrued and reasonably possible environmental losses were not material and did not expect the lawsuits to have a material adverse effect. No material risk-factor changes were reported.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the $22.4 million tax benefit and the IRS agreement’s treatment of prior-year NOLs affect future cash taxes as expected.
  • Whether acquisition integration and purchase accounting deliver the anticipated growth, savings and returns, given the increase in debt.
  • Whether operating performance, working capital and receivables-sale activity support the $360–$380 million cash-flow outlook.
  • Whether capital spending remains within guidance and whether debt, interest-rate exposure and covenant headroom remain manageable.
  • Whether pricing, inflation, foreign exchange and product-volume trends continue to pressure operating margins.