Oscar Health, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2022

Oscar Health, Inc. — Q2 2022 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2022. Unaudited results; comparisons are with the corresponding 2021 periods. Oscar sells Individual, Small Group and Medicare Advantage health plans and provides technology and administrative services through +Oscar.

Financial performance and key metrics

MetricQ2 2022Q2 2021Six months 2022Six months 2021
Total revenue$1.017bn$529.3m$1.990bn$898.7m
Net loss$112.1m$73.3m$189.4m$162.2m
Net loss per share, basic and diluted$0.53$0.35$0.89$1.09
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$(75.8)m$(50.6)m$(112.8)m$(78.4)m
Medical loss ratio82.2%82.4%79.9%78.7%
InsuranceCo administrative expense ratio19.5%19.8%19.7%19.8%
InsuranceCo combined ratio101.7%102.2%99.6%98.5%
  • Q2 premiums earned, net of ceded reinsurance, were $994.6m, up 88%; administrative services revenue was $20.5m, versus $0.4m. For the six months, premiums earned were $1.950bn, up 117%, and administrative services revenue was $38.9m.
  • Membership rose 84% year over year to 1,036,720 at June 30, including 986,017 Individual and Small Group members, 4,658 Medicare Advantage members and 46,045 Cigna + Oscar members.
  • Q2 claims incurred, net, increased 93% to $808.6m; six-month claims increased 124% to $1.543bn. Management attributed the increases primarily to membership growth and higher utilization.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $2.363bn at June 30. Short- and long-term investments totaled $1.224bn. Total assets were $4.751bn; total liabilities were $3.503bn; stockholders’ equity was $1.248bn.
  • Operating cash flow was $777.3m for the six months, versus $373.0m in 2021. Investing activities provided $181.4m, compared with $742.3m used in 2021; financing provided $300.2m, versus $1.215bn in 2021. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash increased $1.259bn.
  • Long-term debt was $297.6m net carrying value. Oscar issued $305m of 7.25% convertible notes due 2031 in February; the notes are convertible at an initial price of approximately $8.32 per share. No borrowings were outstanding under the $200m revolving facility.

Changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue grew faster than membership’s 84% increase, supported by higher premiums, rate increases, a shift toward higher-premium Silver plans and new Cigna + Oscar membership. The new Health First +Oscar client also contributed to service revenue growth.
  • Despite revenue growth, Q2 net loss widened by $38.8m to $112.1m, as operating expenses rose 87% to $1.124bn. For the first six months, net loss widened by $27.2m to $189.4m.
  • Q2 MLR improved slightly, which management attributed mainly to lower net COVID-19-related costs and member mix, partly offset by prior-period development. Six-month MLR worsened, primarily because of unfavorable prior-period risk-adjustment development. Administrative expense ratios improved, but six-month combined ratio worsened.
  • Interest expense increased, reflecting the new convertible notes. The 2021 six-month comparison included a $20.2m loss on extinguishment of debt, which did not recur in 2022.

Liquidity, outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management stated that Holdco cash and investments, excluding restricted cash, were expected to fund operating requirements for at least the next 12 months. It reported $611m of cash and investments at Holdco and $3.0bn at regulated insurance subsidiaries; these pools are subject to different restrictions.
  • Oscar expected to pay approximately $785m into the risk-adjustment program in Q3 2022 for the 2021 policy year. The risk-adjustment payable was $1.498bn at June 30, up from $794.4m at year-end. Management said operating cash flow is sensitive to the timing of risk-adjustment and reinsurance payments and receipts.
  • Insurance subsidiaries’ statutory capital and surplus was $668.8m, above stated minimum requirements. Holdco contributed $268m to subsidiaries in the first half. Oscar estimated that without quota-share reinsurance, subsidiaries would have needed about $452m of additional capital at June 30.
  • Management gave no clear numerical full-year financial guidance in the provided filing text. It cited uncertainty from COVID-19 utilization and costs, healthcare inflation, risk adjustment, Medicaid redeterminations after the public health emergency, reinsurance arrangements, regulatory changes and continued growth-related expenses.
  • A securities class action filed in May 2022 alleges omissions in Oscar’s IPO registration statement concerning COVID-19 costs, Special Enrollment Period membership and risk-adjustment validation results. Oscar said it believes it has meritorious defenses, but could not estimate the outcome or potential loss.
  • Disclosure controls and procedures were reported ineffective due to a material weakness in IT general controls, including program change management, user access and software-development controls. Remediation was ongoing and had not been validated as effective.
  • Available-for-sale investments had $15.3m of gross unrealized losses at June 30, which management attributed to market movements rather than credit losses. A hypothetical immediate 1% interest-rate increase was estimated to reduce investment fair value by approximately $6.4m.
  • As a post-quarter item, the board approved reinstating the CEO’s $600,000 annual base salary on August 11, 2022, after a voluntary reduction to $430,000 in 2020.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether the anticipated $785m Q3 risk-adjustment payment, the elevated risk-adjustment payable and subsequent settlements materially affect cash at the regulated subsidiaries and Holdco.
  2. Whether membership growth translates into sustainable underwriting results, particularly given the six-month combined ratio of 99.6%, higher utilization and uncertainty in risk-adjustment estimates.
  3. How much of operating cash flow reflects timing and growth in payables, reinsurance balances and risk adjustment rather than recurring earnings.
  4. Progress in remediating and independently validating the material weakness in financial-reporting controls.
  5. Developments in the securities class action, regulatory reviews and any resulting financial exposure or required business changes.
  6. The terms and potential dilution or cash obligations of the convertible notes, and the availability of liquidity across regulated subsidiaries versus Holdco.