Business Context and Reporting Period
This Form 10-Q covers The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. for the quarterly and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2006. PNC is a diversified financial services company operating in retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, asset management, and global fund processing. The reporting period is significantly impacted by the closing of the BlackRock/MLIM transaction on September 29, 2006, which resulted in the deconsolidation of BlackRock from PNC's balance sheet and a reduction in PNC's ownership interest to approximately 34%.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric | Q3 2006 | Q3 2005 | 9M 2006 | 9M 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3,517 million | $1,682 million | $7,057 million | $4,638 million |
| Net Income | $1,484 million | $334 million | $2,219 million | $970 million |
| Diluted EPS | $5.01 | $1.14 | $7.46 | $3.35 |
| Net Interest Margin (TE) | 2.89% | 2.96% | 2.92% | 2.99% |
| Efficiency Ratio | 34% | 69% | 50% | 69% |
| Return on Avg. Common Equity | 65.94% | 16.13% | 33.87% | 16.49% |
| Total Assets | $98,436 million | $93,241 million | N/A | N/A |
| Shareholders' Equity | $10,758 million | $8,317 million | N/A | N/A |
| Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital | 10.4% | 8.4% | N/A | N/A |
Note: Q3 2006 results include a $2.1 billion pre-tax gain on the BlackRock/MLIM transaction and $244 million in pre-tax charges from balance sheet repositioning.
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Surge: Total revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, increased 52% compared to the prior year, driven primarily by a $2.1 billion pre-tax gain on the BlackRock/MLIM transaction. Excluding this gain, organic revenue growth was modest.
- Net Income Growth: Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, rose 129% to $2.219 billion. The increase was largely attributable to the after-tax gain of approximately $1.3 billion from the BlackRock transaction.
- Balance Sheet Shift: Total assets increased to $98.4 billion. The deconsolidation of BlackRock reduced reported assets under management from $469 billion (Sep 2005) to $52 billion (Sep 2006), as BlackRock's assets are no longer consolidated.
- Margin Compression: Net interest margin declined slightly to 2.92% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, compared to 2.99% in the prior year, due to higher rates paid on deposits and borrowed funds outpacing yield increases on earning assets.
- Asset Quality: Nonperforming assets to loans, loans held for sale, and foreclosed assets improved to 0.36% from 0.42% at year-end 2005. Net charge-offs to average loans were 0.37% for the quarter.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- BlackRock/MLIM Transaction: Following the transaction, PNC accounts for its 34% interest in BlackRock using the equity method. Future earnings from BlackRock will be reported as a separate line item within noninterest income, reducing reported revenue and expense categories compared to the prior consolidated presentation.
- Mercantile Acquisition: On October 8, 2006, PNC agreed to acquire Mercantile Bankshares for approximately $6.0 billion. The transaction is expected to close in Q1 2007, subject to regulatory and shareholder approval.
- One PNC Initiative: PNC expects to realize $400 million in annual pretax earnings benefits by mid-2007 from this efficiency initiative. Approximately $300 million is expected from cost savings, with $100 million from revenue growth.
- Securities Repositioning: PNC executed a portfolio rebalancing in Q3 2006, selling $6.0 billion of securities at a pretax loss of $196 million to optimize the portfolio for a steeper yield curve and reduce interest rate volatility exposure.
- Accounting Changes: Adoption of FSP FAS 13-2 effective January 1, 2007, is expected to result in an after-tax charge to opening retained earnings of approximately $140 million to $160 million related to cross-border lease transactions.
- Risks: Key risks include interest rate volatility, credit quality deterioration (management notes current asset quality levels are not sustainable long-term), integration risks from the Mercantile acquisition, and regulatory changes.
Investor Verification Checklist
- BlackRock Gain Sustainability: Verify the one-time nature of the $1.3 billion after-tax gain and its impact on normalized earnings per share.
- Normalized Efficiency Ratio: Assess the efficiency ratio excluding the impact of the BlackRock transaction and balance sheet repositioning charges to gauge operational performance.
- Net Interest Margin Outlook: Monitor the impact of rising deposit costs on future net interest margins, particularly given the flat or inverted yield curve environment.
- Mercantile Integration: Review the timeline and potential costs associated with the pending Mercantile Bankshares acquisition.
- Securities Portfolio: Evaluate the remaining unrealized losses in the securities portfolio ($151 million net unrealized loss) and the strategy for managing interest rate risk.
- Future Accounting Charges: Confirm the timing and magnitude of the expected $140-$160 million charge related to cross-border lease accounting changes in 2007.