PORTLAND GENERAL ELECTRIC CO quarterly report, Q1 FY2019

Business context and reporting period

Portland General Electric Company (PGE) is a vertically integrated, regulated electric utility operating in Oregon. This unaudited Form 10-Q covers the three months ended March 31, 2019, compared with the first quarter of 2018. PGE served approximately 887,000 retail customers.

Financial and operating performance

MetricQ1 2019Q1 2018
Total revenues$573 million$493 million
Gross margin (non-GAAP)$394 million; 69% of revenue$363 million; 74% of revenue
Operating income$111 million$100 million
Net income$73 million$64 million
Diluted EPS$0.82$0.72
Operating cash flow$156 million$194 million
Capital expenditures$150 million$131 million

Revenue rose 16% year over year, while net income increased 14%. Retail revenue benefited from colder weather, higher deliveries, tariff changes and decoupling-related collections; wholesale and other operating revenues also increased. Retail deliveries grew 4.3%, but weather-adjusted deliveries declined 0.3%. Gross margin as a percentage of revenue fell five percentage points as purchased power and fuel expense increased 38% to $179 million, reflecting higher market prices and weaker hydro and wind output. Operating margin was 19%, versus 20%; net margin was 13% in both periods.

At March 31, cash and cash equivalents were $89 million, down from $119 million at year-end 2018. Current assets were $596 million and current liabilities were $731 million. Long-term debt, net of unamortized debt expense, was $2.478 billion, including $300 million classified as current. The company had $500 million of unused revolving-credit capacity and $83 million of letters of credit outstanding under separate facilities. Debt-to-total capitalization under the credit agreement was 49.3%; the common equity ratio was 50.7%.

Material changes versus the prior period

  • Purchased power and fuel costs rose $49 million, with average variable power cost increasing to $31.59/MWh from $22.96/MWh. PGE cited colder weather, regional gas supply constraints, and reduced hydro and wind generation.
  • Cash from operations declined $38 million, primarily due to working-capital movements, including higher receivables and unbilled revenue.
  • Plant availability improved to 98% from 82%; PGE-owned generation supplied 82% of retail load, versus 70% a year earlier.
  • Quarterly dividends declared were $0.3625 per share, compared with $0.3400 in Q1 2018.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected 2019 capital expenditures of $600 million, excluding allowance for funds used during construction, and operating cash flow of $550 million to $600 million. PGE expected to issue up to $450 million of debt securities to help fund requirements.
  • The company forecast 2019 net variable power costs below baseline but within the PCAM deadband; it therefore expected no PCAM refund for 2019. It expected hydro output to be 0%–5% below AUT projections and wind output up to 10% below projections for the year.
  • On April 12, 2019, after quarter-end, PGE issued $200 million of 4.30% First Mortgage Bonds due 2049; proceeds were used to repay the $300 million debt maturity on April 15.
  • Oregon’s clean-energy requirements, the planned cessation of coal-fired operations at Boardman by the end of 2020, and proposed climate legislation may affect resource planning, costs and rates. PGE was preparing a 2019 Integrated Resource Plan for anticipated filing in summer 2019.
  • Portland Harbor Superfund costs are probable to be shared by PGE, but the company said it could not reasonably estimate its liability or allocation; the amount could be material to financial position. The company expects to pursue third-party and, if necessary, customer recovery, subject to regulatory review.
  • Trojan-related customer class actions remained on appeal; management said a loss was reasonably possible but could not estimate an amount. PGE had prevailed in the Deschutes River Alliance case, which the plaintiff appealed.
  • Commodity prices, weather, generation outages and renewable output, fuel availability, regulatory decisions, environmental requirements, capital-market access and collateral demands are among the stated risks. PGE reported investment-grade ratings and no material change to previously disclosed risk factors.
  • Adoption of the new lease standard resulted in $44 million of lease right-of-use assets and liabilities, alongside derecognition of certain build-to-suit and lease balances; management reported no material impact on financial position or expected ongoing results.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether power and fuel costs, hydro and wind production, and wholesale-market conditions track management’s 2019 expectations.
  • Actual 2019 operating cash flow and capital spending versus the stated ranges, and the funding and refinancing of debt maturities.
  • Developments in Portland Harbor allocation, recoveries and potential exposure, and the outcomes of the Trojan appeal and other legal matters.
  • Regulatory decisions affecting capital-cost recovery, customer rates, the PCAM, clean-energy requirements and proposed Oregon climate legislation.
  • Potential liquidity and collateral requirements if market prices move adversely or credit ratings change.