Business Context and Reporting Period
This Form 10-Q covers the quarterly period ended March 31, 2009, for The Southern Company and its subsidiary operating companies: Alabama Power, Georgia Power, Gulf Power, Mississippi Power, and Southern Power. The registrants operate as vertically integrated utilities in the Southeast and a wholesale power generator. The reporting period was significantly impacted by recessionary economic conditions, which reduced industrial energy demand, and a major litigation settlement.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric | Q1 2009 | Q1 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Operating Revenues | $3,666.3 million | $3,682.9 million |
| Operating Income | $489.7 million | $708.1 million |
| Consolidated Net Income | $141.9 million | $375.4 million |
| Net Income After Preferred Dividends | $125.7 million | $359.2 million |
| Earnings Per Share (Diluted) | $0.16 | $0.47 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $401.1 million | $537.1 million |
| Investing Cash Flow | ($1,122.0 million) | ($995.2 million) |
| Financing Cash Flow | $976.5 million | $506.4 million |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents (End of Period) | $672.2 million | $248.8 million |
| Long-Term Debt | $17,806.0 million | $16,816.4 million |
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Net Income Decline: Net income after preferred dividends decreased by 65.0% ($233.5 million) compared to Q1 2008. The primary driver was a $202.0 million litigation settlement charge related to MC Asset Recovery (Mirant matters).
- Revenue Mix: Retail revenues increased 2.0% due to rate adjustments and cost recovery, while wholesale revenues decreased 12.1% due to lower energy prices and reduced sales volumes.
- Expense Increases: Depreciation and amortization increased 13.3% due to new plant in service (environmental and transmission projects). Other operations and maintenance expenses decreased 2.9% due to fewer outages and lower advertising costs, partially offset by a $27.1 million charge for a voluntary attrition program at Georgia Power.
- Industrial Sales: Weather-adjusted industrial KWH sales decreased 16.9% system-wide, reflecting the recessionary economy.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- Economic Outlook: Management expects the recession to continue negatively impacting energy sales, particularly to industrial customers. Future earnings depend on the timing and extent of economic recovery.
- Regulatory Matters:
- FERC: Southern Company commenced a "must offer" energy auction in April 2009 to mitigate market power presumptions. A generation dominance proceeding remains pending.
- State PSCs: Georgia Power delayed its fuel case filing until September 2009 due to volatile fuel prices and economic uncertainty. New fuel rates are expected effective January 1, 2010.
- Construction Projects:
- Plant Vogtle: Georgia PSC certified construction of Units 3 and 4 at an in-service cost of $6.4 billion. Financing cost recovery is approved starting in 2011.
- Kemper IGCC: Mississippi Power continues planning for the Integrated Coal Gasification Combined Cycle project. Regulatory approval for the gasification portion is pending.
- Environmental Risks: Potential legislation regarding greenhouse gas emissions and EPA regulations on cooling water intake structures could result in significant compliance costs if not recovered through rates.
- Liquidity: The company maintains adequate access to capital with $4.2 billion in unused credit arrangements. Cash balances increased significantly in Q1 2009.
Investor Verification Checklist
- MC Asset Recovery Settlement: Verify the final tax treatment and potential for recovery of the $202 million charge through insurance or bankruptcy claims.
- Under-Recovered Fuel Costs: Monitor the balance of under-recovered fuel costs (approx. $1.0 billion system-wide) and the timing of rate adjustments to recover these costs.
- Industrial Demand Trends: Track weather-adjusted industrial sales volumes to gauge the severity of the economic downturn's impact on core utility revenues.
- Regulatory Approvals: Confirm the status of the Kemper IGCC gasification approval in Mississippi and the outcome of Georgia Power's delayed fuel case.
- Dividend Sustainability: Review the company's ability to maintain its dividend policy ($0.42/share in Q1 2009, increased to $0.4375 for Q2) given the significant drop in earnings.