VISA INC. quarterly report, Q2 FY2014

Visa Inc. — Q2 FY2014 Form 10-Q

Business and period: Visa operates a global payments network and provides payment processing and related services; it does not issue cards or extend credit. This filing covers the quarter and six months ended March 31, 2014. Comparisons are with the corresponding 2013 periods unless noted.

Financial results and liquidity

  • Quarter revenue: $3.163 billion, up 7%. Service revenue rose 7%, data processing 7%, and international transaction revenue 5%; client incentives deducted from revenue increased 4% to $587 million.
  • Quarter profit: Operating income was $2.048 billion, up 10%; operating margin was 64.7%, versus 62.9%. Net income was $1.598 billion, up 26%; diluted Class A EPS was $2.52, versus $1.92.
  • Six-month results: Revenue was $6.318 billion, up 9%; operating income was $4.125 billion, up 13%; net income was $3.005 billion, up 17%. Diluted Class A EPS was $4.72, versus $3.86.
  • Business drivers: Six-month nominal payments volume grew 9%; VisaNet processed transactions increased 12%. International cross-border volume growth was 8% for the six-month comparison.
  • Cash flow: Six-month operating cash flow was $3.470 billion, compared with a $1.180 billion use in 2013; investing used $106 million and financing used $3.730 billion. Cash flow comparisons were heavily affected by interchange-litigation escrow movements. Management expected approximately $5 billion in full-year FY2014 free cash flow.
  • Balance sheet and funding: At March 31, cash and cash equivalents were $1.820 billion; restricted litigation escrow cash was $1.105 billion. Available-for-sale securities totaled $4.658 billion. Current assets were $8.507 billion and current liabilities $4.961 billion. The filing reports no borrowings under its $3.0 billion revolving credit facility; Visa said it expected liquidity to cover needs for more than 12 months.
  • Capital returns: Visa repurchased $2.210 billion of shares and paid $507 million in dividends during the six months. The October 2013 repurchase authorization had $3.0 billion remaining at quarter-end. A $0.40-per-share dividend was declared in April.

Material changes and outlook

  • Revenue growth reflected higher payments volume, transaction processing and cross-border activity, partly offset by higher client incentives. Personnel expense declined, while marketing, network and processing, and depreciation and amortization costs increased.
  • The effective tax rate was 22% for the quarter and 27% for the six months, versus 32% and 30%, respectively, a year earlier. A $218 million domestic production activities tax benefit was a major factor, including $184 million related to prior fiscal years.
  • Management expected client incentives to be 16.5%–17.5% of gross revenue for FY2014. It estimated that U.S. dollar strength would reduce full-year revenue growth by about two percentage points, net of hedges. Marketing spending was expected to continue in the second half, including support for the FIFA World Cup.
  • Management described the global recovery as tepid. It cited continued growth in electronic payments, with transaction growth remaining in double digits, and identified expansion of digital, e-commerce and mobile services as opportunities.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Interchange litigation: The court approved the class settlement, but appeals remained unresolved. Visa received approximately $1.1 billion in opt-out merchant takedown payments and returned the amount to litigation escrow; it recorded a related $1.056 billion litigation accrual. More than 30 opt-out cases had been filed, with additional claims possible. The accrued amount is an estimate and may not equal ultimate exposure.
  • Other legal exposure: Existing U.K. merchant claims relating to European interchange fees sought damages that may exceed $1.0 billion. Visa Europe disputed its indemnification obligation, while Visa asserted that it should indemnify Visa Inc. The filing also describes Canadian competition proceedings and a payment-card data-breach lawsuit.
  • Visa Europe put option: Visa Europe may require Visa to acquire all its outstanding shares. The recorded fair-value liability was $145 million, but the potential purchase price could be several billion dollars or more and may require external financing.
  • Settlement guarantee: Estimated maximum settlement exposure was $56.2 billion; $3.1 billion was covered by collateral. Visa noted that exposure is limited to unsettled transactions and requires collateral from certain clients.
  • Tax uncertainty: Gross unrecognized tax benefits increased by $180 million over the six months, primarily due to potential audit exposure across jurisdictions. Most of the increase would favorably affect the effective tax rate if recognized.
  • Other stated risks include regulation of interchange and payment networks, litigation and enforcement, economic and currency conditions, competition and technology changes, processing disruption, fraud or data breaches, and the Visa Europe put option. Management reported disclosure controls were effective and no material change in internal control over financial reporting.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • Progress and final cost of interchange class and opt-out litigation, including appeals and the adequacy of the litigation accrual.
  • Whether the Visa Europe indemnification dispute is resolved and how the put option’s potential purchase price could develop.
  • Delivery of the approximately $5 billion FY2014 free-cash-flow outlook after remaining litigation-related tax payments.
  • Revenue effects from currency movements and whether client incentives remain within the projected 16.5%–17.5% range.
  • Durability of payment-volume and transaction growth alongside rising investment, marketing expense and regulatory or data-security risks.