POOL CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2015

POOL Corporation — Q3 2015 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. The filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2015. Pool Corporation distributes swimming pool, spa and related leisure products through 331 sales centers across North America, Europe, South America and Australia. Results are seasonal, with sales and operating income generally highest in Q2 and Q3.

Key financial results

MetricQ3 2015Q3 2014Nine months 2015Nine months 2014
Net sales$645.8 million$615.5 million$1,948.1 million$1,870.1 million
Gross profit$184.3 million$176.2 million$557.3 million$537.3 million
Operating income$65.5 million$58.5 million$210.2 million$189.6 million
Net income attributable to Pool Corporation$39.4 million$34.8 million$125.8 million$112.9 million
Diluted EPS$0.90$0.78$2.83$2.47
  • Margins: Q3 gross margin was 28.5%, down 0.1 percentage point year over year; operating margin rose to 10.1% from 9.5%. For the nine months, gross margin was 28.6% versus 28.7%, while operating margin improved to 10.8% from 10.1%.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $78.0 million, compared with $37.2 million in 2014. Investing used $23.6 million and financing used $32.5 million. Cash at September 30 was $29.5 million.
  • Debt and liquidity: Total debt was $394.9 million, broadly unchanged from $393.7 million a year earlier. The company reported $178.1 million available under its $465 million revolving credit facility and $110.2 million outstanding under its receivables facility. It was in compliance with debt covenants; leverage ratio was 1.65 against a maximum of 3.25, and fixed-charge coverage was 5.02 against a minimum of 2.25.
  • Capital returns: Nine-month dividends paid were $32.0 million and share repurchases were $90.3 million. The quarterly dividend declared was $0.26 per share, versus $0.22 a year earlier.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Q3 sales increased 5%, with base-business sales also up 5%; nine-month sales increased 4%. Q3 sales growth reflected improved weather after a rain-disrupted Q2 and continued recovery in discretionary remodeling and replacement spending.
  • Q3 diluted EPS rose 15%; nine-month diluted EPS also rose 15%. Lower share counts contributed to per-share growth.
  • Building materials and tile sales grew 12% in both the quarter and year-to-date periods; equipment sales rose 10% in Q3 and 8% year to date.
  • Foreign currency translation reduced consolidated sales by about 2% in both the quarter and year-to-date periods. Management estimated currency effects reduced EPS by $0.01 in Q3 and $0.04 for the first nine months.
  • Q3 interest expense increased 33%, mainly due to higher foreign-currency transaction losses; borrowing interest expense rose 2%. Nine-month interest expense increased 12% on higher average debt, despite a lower average effective interest rate.
  • Nine-month operating cash flow improved substantially, reflecting earnings growth, working-capital management and the timing of inventory purchases and payments.

Guidance, commentary and risks

  • Management raised 2015 diluted EPS guidance to $2.80–$2.85 from its prior range of $2.72–$2.82, and expected full-year sales growth of about 4%, including an estimated 2% adverse currency impact.
  • Management expected full-year gross margin to be relatively flat versus 2014, an effective tax rate of approximately 38.5%, and operating expense growth at less than half the rate of gross profit growth. It expected operating cash flow to be in line with net income and approximately $100 million of share repurchases for the year.
  • Management cited increased market share, gradual recovery in consumer discretionary spending, improved late-season weather and operating efficiencies. It noted unfavorable product mix and discounted early-buy shipments pressured gross margin.
  • Key risks include weather variability, economic and housing-market conditions, foreign-exchange movements, supplier relationships and competition. The business is highly seasonal; quarterly results are not necessarily indicative of full-year performance.
  • Interest-rate swaps hedge portions of variable-rate debt; the swaps had a reported unrealized loss of $4.8 million at September 30. Management said it expected covenant compliance over the next 12 months. The receivables facility was amended October 15, 2015, extending its term to October 2017 and providing seasonal capacity of $55 million to $200 million.
  • No material changes to previously disclosed risk factors or legal proceedings were reported. Management concluded disclosure controls were effective and reported no material quarterly change in internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether full-year sales and EPS guidance is achieved, particularly given weather exposure and the seasonal fourth quarter.
  • Whether the reported Q3 sales and earnings momentum persists, and how much reflects base-business growth, market share gains, weather, acquisitions or currency translation.
  • Gross-margin trends and the effect of product mix, early-buy discounts and cost inflation.
  • Working-capital cash-flow trends, seasonal borrowing needs, debt availability and continued covenant compliance.
  • Share repurchase pace and funding relative to operating cash flow, debt and dividend commitments.