ADT Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2021

ADT Inc. — Q3 2021 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021. ADT provides security, automation, and smart-home services to U.S. residential, small-business, and commercial customers. It reported approximately 6.6 million recurring customers at quarter-end, excluding monitored-but-not-owned contracts.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2021Q3 2020Nine months 2021Nine months 2020
Revenue$1.317 billion$1.299 billion$3.926 billion$4.000 billion
Operating income$23 million$63 million$5 million$24 million
Net loss$109 million$113 million$283 million$520 million
Adjusted EBITDA$554 million$564 million$1.638 billion$1.666 billion
Operating cash flowNot separately presentedNot separately presented$1.155 billion$993 million

Q3 monitoring and related-services revenue rose $53 million to $1.098 billion, while installation and other revenue fell $35 million to $219 million. Q3 interest expense was $133 million, and debt-extinguishment loss was $37 million. For the first nine months, interest expense was $348 million and debt-extinguishment loss was $37 million. The filing reports no separate gross-margin figure.

At September 30, cash and cash equivalents were $61 million, versus $205 million at December 31, 2020. Total debt carrying value was $9.610 billion, including $101 million of current maturities; long-term debt was $9.508 billion. ADT reported $575 million available on its revolving credit facility and $35 million of uncommitted capacity under its receivables facility. Total assets were $16.022 billion and stockholders’ equity was $2.740 billion.

For the nine months, investing cash outflow was $1.171 billion and financing cash outflow was $124 million. Higher purchases of customer accounts and subscriber-system assets contributed to investing outflows. Operating cash flow increased from 2020, reflecting lower cash interest and other factors, partly offset by increased radio-conversion spending.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • Q3 revenue increased 1.4%, but operating income declined to $23 million from $63 million and Adjusted EBITDA decreased $10 million. Nine-month revenue declined 1.8% and Adjusted EBITDA declined $28 million; the net loss narrowed substantially, primarily alongside lower interest expense and lower debt-extinguishment losses.
  • Recurring monthly revenue was $356 million, up from $341 million a year earlier. Gross customer revenue attrition increased to 13.4% from 12.9%; management cited increased relocations and fewer dealer charge-backs, partly offset by retention initiatives and fewer non-payment disconnects.
  • Commercial revenue grew, while CSB revenue declined for the nine-month period. CSB Adjusted EBITDA fell to $1.558 billion from $1.637 billion; Commercial Adjusted EBITDA rose to $80 million from $30 million.
  • ADT issued $1.0 billion of 4.125% secured notes due 2029 and used the proceeds, along with cash, to redeem $1.0 billion of 3.50% notes due 2022. The redemption contributed to a $37 million debt-extinguishment loss in the first nine months.
  • Substantially all new residential transactions since March 2021 used the Company-owned model. ADT said this model transition affects revenue and cash-flow comparisons, including lower outright-sale installation revenue and greater subscriber-system investment.

Outlook, risks, and unusual items

  • Radio conversion: ADT estimated total net costs of $260–$290 million for replacing equipment ahead of 3G/CDMA network retirements. It had incurred $249 million through September 30, 2021, including $172 million in 2021. About 480,000 customer sites remained to be converted; most remaining costs were expected in Q4 2021, with program spending continuing through 2022. Component shortages, access to customer sites, and conversion delays could result in customer attrition.
  • Liquidity and leverage: Management stated that cash, borrowing capacity, and operating cash flows were expected to meet operational and liquidity needs, including over the next 12 months. ADT described itself as highly leveraged and reported compliance with debt covenants at quarter-end.
  • Subsequent events: In October 2021, ADT amended its receivables facility, adding lenders, increasing its uncommitted limit from $200 million to $400 million, and extending the revolving period to October 2022. In November, it agreed to acquire Sunpro Solar for $160 million in cash and approximately 77.8 million ADT shares, subject to adjustments and closing conditions; closing was expected in Q4 2021.
  • Other risks and contingencies: ADT cited COVID-19 and possible employee vaccine or testing requirements, supply-chain disruption, interest-rate exposure, competition and customer attrition. It disclosed lawsuits relating to alleged unauthorized access by a former technician, employment matters, and other ordinary-course claims; the amount of potential losses was not clearly quantifiable in the filing. The Los Angeles alarm-permit class action settlement received final approval in August 2021.
  • Unusual item: ADT recorded an $18 million intangible-asset impairment related primarily to its Cell Bounce technology, citing lower expected benefits amid electronic-component shortages. No specific numerical full-year revenue or earnings guidance was provided.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • Whether ADT can complete the radio conversions before the 2022 network sunsets, and whether actual costs remain within the $260–$290 million estimate.
  • Whether recurring-revenue growth can offset rising customer attrition and the decline in installation revenue.
  • Debt-service burden, refinancing terms, available liquidity, and the effect of interest-rate changes and hedges on earnings and cash flows.
  • Sunpro Solar transaction closing, share issuance and dilution, integration requirements, and the acquired business’s exposure to solar-market regulation, incentives, and supply constraints.
  • Developments and potential financial exposure from the disclosed lawsuits and other contingencies.