GEO GROUP INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

The GEO Group, Inc. — Q3 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Thirteen and thirty-nine weeks ended September 30, 2012, compared with the corresponding periods ended October 2, 2011. Amounts below are in millions of dollars, except per-share data. GEO provides government-outsourced correctional, detention, mental health, residential treatment, re-entry, monitoring and transportation services. At quarter-end, it managed or owned approximately 75,000 beds at 108 facilities and monitored more than 70,000 people in the community.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ3 2012Q3 2011Nine months 2012Nine months 2011
Revenue$411.5$395.7$1,225.1$1,172.8
Operating income$54.7$50.2$153.6$139.0
Income from continuing operations$16.5$20.7$54.5$56.6
Net income attributable to GEO$15.6$21.5$53.1$59.9
Diluted EPS attributable to GEO$0.25$0.34$0.87$0.93
Cash provided by operating activitiesNot presented for the quarter$226.4$164.1
Cash and cash equivalents at period end—$69.1$44.0

Operating margin was approximately 13.3% in Q3 and 12.5% for the nine-month period, versus 12.7% and 11.9%, respectively, in the comparable periods. Nine-month operating cash flow included favorable working-capital movements. Capital expenditures were $92.4 million, and cash used in investing activities was $80.5 million. Cash used in financing activities was $121.6 million.

At September 30, cash was $69.1 million, current assets were $398.6 million and current liabilities were $286.8 million. Total debt, including capital leases and non-recourse debt, was $1.498 billion; long-term debt was $1.325 billion. The $500 million revolving facility had $230 million drawn and $56.4 million of letters of credit, leaving $213.6 million available. GEO reported compliance with its debt covenants. Restricted cash and investments are not necessarily freely available for general use.

Changes versus the prior comparable periods

  • Q3 revenue increased 4.0%; nine-month revenue increased 4.5%. Growth reflected facility activations and population or service increases, partly offset by contract terminations, lower populations at some facilities and foreign exchange effects.
  • Operating income increased in both periods, while attributable net income and diluted EPS declined. Q3 results included an $8.5 million loss on early debt extinguishment; interest expense also rose. The nine-month period additionally had higher depreciation and amortization.
  • Nine-month operating cash flow rose to $226.4 million from $164.1 million. Investing cash use fell substantially from the prior period, which included the $409.6 million BI acquisition.
  • Total debt declined from $1.594 billion at January 1, 2012, principally reflecting redemption of MCF non-recourse bonds, while GEO’s long-term debt balance increased modestly. The company acquired the remaining MCF partnership interests for $35.2 million and redeemed approximately $77.9 million of MCF bonds, financed in part with a new $100 million term loan.

Management commentary, outlook and significant items

  • Operations and growth: Average occupancy in U.S. Corrections and Detention facilities, excluding idle facilities, was 96.6% in Q3 and 96.3% for the first nine months. GEO cited new or expanded operations including Adelanto, Riverbend and Karnes. It was pursuing domestic and international procurement opportunities; awards and timing were uncertain.
  • Contracts and unused capacity: GEO discontinued three Mississippi managed-only contracts during 2012 and reported approximately 6,000 vacant beds at seven idle facilities, with a carrying value of $241.6 million. Management estimated 2012 carrying costs for these beds at $14.6 million, including $7.5 million of depreciation. The Guantanamo contract also ended, without material financial impact.
  • Capital spending and liquidity: Existing development projects were estimated to require $41.5 million more through 2014. 2012 maintenance capital expenditures were expected to be $30–35 million. Management believed cash, operating cash flow and credit availability would cover stated needs through 2014, but warned that further projects or acquisitions could increase funding needs and require additional financing.
  • Dividends and tax: GEO paid a $0.20-per-share dividend in September and declared another $0.20 dividend for November 2012. Management expected a 2012 effective tax rate of 40–41%; no specific revenue or EPS guidance was provided.
  • REIT review: GEO was evaluating a possible REIT conversion and had requested an IRS private letter ruling. A January 2013 conversion was under consideration, with January 2014 identified as a possible later date; no decision to convert had been made.
  • Unusual debt item: The MCF bond redemption generated an $8.5 million accounting loss, including a $14.9 million make-whole payment and redemption costs, partly offset by an unamortized bond premium.
  • Contingencies: GEO was appealing an $8.4 million wrongful-death judgment, with the company responsible for the first $3 million under its insurance plan. A separate Australian property-damage lawsuit seeks up to approximately AUD 18 million plus interest; the company is uninsured for this claim and says an unfavorable outcome could materially affect financial condition, results or cash flows.
  • Other risks: Management highlighted government budget constraints, contract losses or non-renewals, occupancy and labor costs, debt service and refinancing, foreign exchange, litigation and claims, and the possibility that new self-financed projects could materially increase capital requirements. A 1% increase in rates on Senior Credit Facility borrowings was estimated to raise annual interest expense by $8.0 million.
  • Subsequent developments: After quarter-end, GEO announced contracts or extensions for Aurora, Golden State and Blackwater River. These announcements should be distinguished from results earned during the reported quarter.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Reconcile reported earnings and EPS to continuing operations, discontinued operations and the $8.5 million MCF debt-extinguishment loss.
  2. Assess whether new facility activations and contract awards can offset the Mississippi terminations and monetise the approximately 6,000 idle beds.
  3. Verify liquidity available for general corporate purposes, covenant headroom, debt maturities and exposure to variable interest rates.
  4. Review the status and potential exposure of the Australian litigation and the wrongful-death appeal, including insurance and recorded reserves.
  5. Track capital spending, the declared dividends, and any board decision or IRS ruling affecting the potential REIT conversion.