STARBUCKS CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2008

Starbucks Corporation 10-Q Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This filing is a Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for Starbucks Corporation for the 13-week and 26-week periods ended March 30, 2008 (Fiscal 2008 Q2). The company reported a significant downturn in U.S. store traffic attributed to the broader economic environment, including high gas and food prices and falling home values. In response, management announced a "transformation agenda" to reinvigorate the customer experience, slow U.S. store openings, and rationalize the store portfolio.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (in millions) 13 Weeks Ended Mar 30, 2008 26 Weeks Ended Mar 30, 2008
Total Net Revenues $2,526.0 $5,293.6
Operating Income $178.2 $511.3
Net Earnings $108.7 $316.8
Diluted EPS $0.15 $0.43
Operating Margin 7.1% 9.7%
Cash from Operating Activities N/A $765.1
Total Debt $1,252.4 $1,252.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents $303.4 $303.4

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Total net revenues increased 12.0% for the quarter and 14.8% for the six-month period compared to the prior year, driven by new store openings and favorable foreign currency exchange rates.
  • Profitability Decline: Operating income decreased 26.1% for the quarter and 8.8% for the six-month period. Operating margins contracted significantly (from 10.7% to 7.1% in the quarter) due to softness in U.S. comparable store sales, higher occupancy costs, and charges related to store rationalization.
  • EPS Decline: Diluted EPS fell 21% to $0.15 per share for the quarter, impacted by lower operating income and transformation costs.
  • Segment Performance: The U.S. segment saw a mid-single-digit decline in comparable store sales. The International segment grew revenues by 27.4% but saw operating income decline 15.6% due to rationalization costs. The Global Consumer Products Group (CPG) saw operating income rise 13.3% despite margin compression from equity investee write-offs.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Full Year 2008 Outlook: The company expects consolidated revenue growth of approximately 13-14% for the full fiscal year. EPS is expected to be lower than the $0.87 reported in fiscal 2007. Capital expenditures are projected at approximately $1.1 billion.
  • Store Targets: The U.S. net new store opening target was lowered to 1,020 for the year. The International target remains at 975 net new stores.
  • Long-Term Targets (2009-2011): Management outlined targets including International revenue growth of 20% CAGR, U.S. revenue growth of just over 6% CAGR, and consolidated operating margins stabilizing at approximately 11.5% for the U.S. segment by 2009-2011.
  • Liquidity Risk: The company holds $70.5 million in auction rate securities which have experienced failed auctions, limiting liquidity. However, management believes these are high-quality assets backed by government guarantees and will not materially impact working capital needs.
  • Legal Contingency: A California court ordered the company to pay approximately $87 million in restitution regarding tip pooling practices. The company plans to appeal and has not accrued a loss, deeming the ultimate loss "reasonably possible" rather than probable.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the impact of the "transformation agenda" on U.S. comparable store sales trends in subsequent quarters.
  • Monitor the liquidity status of the $70.5 million in auction rate securities and any potential impairment charges.
  • Track the progress of the appeal regarding the $87 million California tip-pooling judgment.
  • Assess whether the reduced U.S. store opening pace successfully stabilizes operating margins as projected.
  • Review the execution of the new product initiatives (e.g., Pike Place Roast) and their effect on customer traffic.