ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2016

ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2016. The company develops, owns and operates upscale restaurants and provides food-and-beverage services. As of November 14, 2016, it reported 12 owned and operated and 20 managed restaurants and lounges, including 13 STKs; it also provided services at seven hotels and casinos.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2016Q3 2015First 9 months 2016First 9 months 2015
Total revenue$18.38 million$15.25 million$52.00 million$41.93 million
Income (loss) from continuing operations before tax$(2.37) million$(0.97) million$(3.90) million$(0.14) million
Net income (loss) attributable to ONE Group$1.48 million$(2.02) million$(0.54) million$5.28 million
Adjusted EBITDA, company-reported non-GAAP$1.08 million$1.14 million$3.41 million$3.70 million
  • Q3 revenue grew 20.5%; nine-month revenue grew 24.0%, primarily as newly opened or reopened owned STKs added sales. Comparable owned STK sales fell 9.2% in Q3 and 5.0% year to date; comparable owned and managed STK sales fell 4.2% and 2.4%, respectively.
  • Owned STK segment profit was $1.35 million in Q3 and $4.41 million year to date. For the first nine months, food and beverage costs were 24.9% of owned-unit revenue versus 25.4% a year earlier; unit operating expenses were 64.5% versus 66.2%. G&A was 15.7% of total revenue versus 18.5%.
  • Q3 GAAP net income included a $4.05 million income-tax benefit despite a pretax loss. The nine-month loss contrasts with 2015 net income, which included a substantial tax benefit and $3.9 million of noncash derivative income. Results are therefore affected by significant tax and noncash items.
  • Cash provided by operations was $3.34 million for the nine months, compared with $0.91 million used in 2015. Investing activities used $8.33 million, mainly for restaurant construction and capital expenditures; financing provided $5.10 million. Cash declined $0.05 million to $1.79 million.

Balance sheet and liquidity

  • At September 30, cash was $1.79 million; current assets were $10.53 million and current liabilities $13.07 million, a working-capital deficit of about $2.54 million. Total assets were $66.71 million.
  • Total debt was $15.18 million, including $3.15 million current and $12.03 million long-term. Debt rose from $12.64 million at year-end 2015, reflecting promissory notes and equipment financing. BankUnited term loans bear 5% interest and are secured by substantially all company assets; 2016 unsecured notes bear 10% and mature in 2021.
  • Operating lease commitments, net of disclosed minimum sublease income, totaled $126.49 million, including $97.06 million thereafter. The company also had approximately $1.5 million of outstanding letters of credit.
  • Management expected available operating cash, landlord construction allowances, financing and the October 2016 $2.25 million Anson loan to fund anticipated needs for 12–18 months, subject to operating performance. It cautioned that financing beyond that period was not assured.

Outlook, risks and notable items

  • Management expected to open as many as two to three STKs annually over the next three years, pursue at least one to two new F&B hospitality projects every 12 months, and target long-term same-store sales growth of approximately 0%–1%. These are targets, not assurances, and depend on capital, suitable sites and staffing.
  • Management cited weaker private-event and à la carte dining demand, consistent with a broader hospitality-industry decline, as drivers of comparable-sales weakness. It also noted that new restaurants typically have elevated opening and operating costs and that results are seasonal and may fluctuate.
  • The board authorized a review of strategic alternatives and engaged Stifel as financial adviser. There is no timetable or assurance of a transaction; the process may divert management attention, raise expenses and increase share-price volatility.
  • The company reported disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were not effective as of September 30, 2016, and remediation was incomplete.
  • Net deferred tax assets were $13.8 million, including NOL and tax-credit carryforwards. The company warned that failure to meet taxable-income projections could require a substantial valuation allowance and materially harm results.
  • Ordinary-course litigation was described as not expected to have a material adverse effect. Bagatelle LA closed June 30, 2016. STK Toronto began operations September 30, 2016. The October Anson note added $2.25 million of debt at 10% and included a warrant for 340,000 shares at $2.39.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether comparable-sales declines persist and whether new openings generate sustainable unit-level returns.
  2. Whether operating cash flow can cover expansion spending, lease commitments and debt service, given low cash and negative working capital.
  3. The effect of the strategic review, the terms and dilution potential of lender warrants, and the company’s need for additional financing.
  4. Whether the company meets taxable-income projections supporting its deferred tax assets and remains compliant with debt covenants.
  5. Progress and testing of control remediation, and the drivers behind the substantial Q3 tax benefit and year-over-year earnings volatility.